Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 679 | NA | NA | -41.3958 | NA |
2 | 687 | NA | NA | -30.5833 | NA |
3 | 638 | NA | NA | 38.1528 | NA |
4 | 628 | NA | NA | 26.8264 | NA |
5 | 604 | NA | NA | 95.5208 | NA |
6 | 713 | NA | NA | 53.4514 | NA |
7 | 712 | 654.278 | 621.25 | 33.0278 | 57.7222 |
8 | 693 | 594.403 | 601.458 | -7.05556 | 98.5972 |
9 | 697 | 586.847 | 580 | 6.84722 | 110.153 |
10 | 555 | 506.924 | 559.042 | -52.1181 | 48.0764 |
11 | 486 | 470 | 539.375 | -69.375 | 16 |
12 | 470 | 462.91 | 516.208 | -53.2986 | 7.09028 |
13 | 465 | 445.896 | 487.292 | -41.3958 | 19.1042 |
14 | 426 | 427.208 | 457.792 | -30.5833 | -1.20833 |
15 | 384 | 466.569 | 428.417 | 38.1528 | -82.5694 |
16 | 379 | 431.201 | 404.375 | 26.8264 | -52.2014 |
17 | 381 | 484.396 | 388.875 | 95.5208 | -103.396 |
18 | 380 | 429.868 | 376.417 | 53.4514 | -49.8681 |
19 | 351 | 397.486 | 364.458 | 33.0278 | -46.4861 |
20 | 346 | 347.153 | 354.208 | -7.05556 | -1.15278 |
21 | 339 | 353.347 | 346.5 | 6.84722 | -14.3472 |
22 | 336 | 289.549 | 341.667 | -52.1181 | 46.4514 |
23 | 333 | 271.875 | 341.25 | -69.375 | 61.125 |
24 | 324 | 289.41 | 342.708 | -53.2986 | 34.5903 |
25 | 324 | 302.104 | 343.5 | -41.3958 | 21.8958 |
26 | 321 | 313.625 | 344.208 | -30.5833 | 7.375 |
27 | 304 | 383.569 | 345.417 | 38.1528 | -79.5694 |
28 | 343 | 375.285 | 348.458 | 26.8264 | -32.2847 |
29 | 407 | 461.062 | 365.542 | 95.5208 | -54.0625 |
30 | 389 | 449.785 | 396.333 | 53.4514 | -60.7847 |
31 | 361 | 462.611 | 429.583 | 33.0278 | -101.611 |
32 | 353 | 456.611 | 463.667 | -7.05556 | -103.611 |
33 | 361 | 509.639 | 502.792 | 6.84722 | -148.639 |
34 | 387 | 494.132 | 546.25 | -52.1181 | -107.132 |
35 | 692 | 520.292 | 589.667 | -69.375 | 171.708 |
36 | 704 | 581.993 | 635.292 | -53.2986 | 122.007 |
37 | 742 | 641.479 | 682.875 | -41.3958 | 100.521 |
38 | 721 | 701.333 | 731.917 | -30.5833 | 19.6667 |
39 | 843 | 824.778 | 786.625 | 38.1528 | 18.2222 |
40 | 847 | 872.16 | 845.333 | 26.8264 | -25.1597 |
41 | 945 | 974.854 | 879.333 | 95.5208 | -29.8542 |
42 | 946 | 943.451 | 890 | 53.4514 | 2.54861 |
43 | 946 | 932.903 | 899.875 | 33.0278 | 13.0972 |
44 | 945 | 912.736 | 919.792 | -7.05556 | 32.2639 |
45 | 1082 | 957.014 | 950.167 | 6.84722 | 124.986 |
46 | 1075 | 929.382 | 981.5 | -52.1181 | 145.618 |
47 | 820 | 953.042 | 1022.42 | -69.375 | -133.042 |
48 | 832 | 1017.91 | 1071.21 | -53.2986 | -185.91 |
49 | 851 | 1076.27 | 1117.67 | -41.3958 | -225.271 |
50 | 1090 | 1130.46 | 1161.04 | -30.5833 | -40.4583 |
51 | 1203 | 1232.86 | 1194.71 | 38.1528 | -29.8611 |
52 | 1239 | 1246.83 | 1220 | 26.8264 | -7.82639 |
53 | 1535 | 1353.65 | 1258.12 | 95.5208 | 181.354 |
54 | 1527 | 1359.62 | 1306.17 | 53.4514 | 167.382 |
55 | 1480 | 1393.15 | 1360.12 | 33.0278 | 86.8472 |
56 | 1452 | 1405.49 | 1412.54 | -7.05556 | 46.5139 |
57 | 1383 | 1473.85 | 1467 | 6.84722 | -90.8472 |
58 | 1381 | 1478.17 | 1530.29 | -52.1181 | -97.1736 |
59 | 1429 | 1510.12 | 1579.5 | -69.375 | -81.125 |
60 | 1376 | 1564.58 | 1617.87 | -53.2986 | -188.576 |
61 | 1602 | 1622.65 | 1664.04 | -41.3958 | -20.6458 |
62 | 1597 | 1688.12 | 1718.71 | -30.5833 | -91.125 |
63 | 2003 | 1822.57 | 1784.42 | 38.1528 | 180.431 |
64 | 1958 | 1885.53 | 1858.71 | 26.8264 | 72.4653 |
65 | 1997 | 2027.1 | 1931.58 | 95.5208 | -30.1042 |
66 | 1986 | 2074.7 | 2021.25 | 53.4514 | -88.7014 |
67 | 2129 | 2149.99 | 2116.96 | 33.0278 | -20.9861 |
68 | 2115 | 2199.03 | 2206.08 | -7.05556 | -84.0278 |
69 | 2297 | 2289.72 | 2282.88 | 6.84722 | 7.27778 |
70 | 2250 | 2297.26 | 2349.38 | -52.1181 | -47.2569 |
71 | 2309 | 2355.08 | 2424.46 | -69.375 | -46.0833 |
72 | 2648 | 2448.62 | 2501.92 | -53.2986 | 199.382 |
73 | 2627 | 2534.02 | 2575.42 | -41.3958 | 92.9792 |
74 | 2711 | 2616.67 | 2647.25 | -30.5833 | 94.3333 |
75 | 2732 | 2750.07 | 2711.92 | 38.1528 | -18.0694 |
76 | 2825 | 2791.41 | 2764.58 | 26.8264 | 33.5903 |
77 | 2932 | 2907.35 | 2811.83 | 95.5208 | 24.6458 |
78 | 2910 | 2891.99 | 2838.54 | 53.4514 | 18.0069 |
79 | 2969 | NA | NA | 33.0278 | NA |
80 | 2999 | NA | NA | -7.05556 | NA |
81 | 2965 | NA | NA | 6.84722 | NA |
82 | 2846 | NA | NA | -52.1181 | NA |
83 | 2847 | NA | NA | -69.375 | NA |
84 | 2751 | NA | NA | -53.2986 | NA |