Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 297295 | NA | NA | 343.215 | NA |
2 | 295008 | NA | NA | -4137.79 | NA |
3 | 296917 | NA | NA | 454.083 | NA |
4 | 298982 | NA | NA | 6988.94 | NA |
5 | 300562 | NA | NA | 9901.74 | NA |
6 | 294292 | NA | NA | 9010.69 | NA |
7 | 272817 | 274561 | 288666 | -14104.6 | -1744.44 |
8 | 274405 | 274997 | 286980 | -11983.4 | -591.52 |
9 | 278601 | 280747 | 285319 | -4572.04 | -2145.75 |
10 | 283654 | 282555 | 283848 | -1293.62 | 1099.49 |
11 | 290770 | 286454 | 282601 | 3853.26 | 4315.91 |
12 | 290604 | 287191 | 281652 | 5539.58 | 3412.92 |
13 | 277466 | 281191 | 280847 | 343.215 | -3724.63 |
14 | 274371 | 275957 | 280095 | -4137.79 | -1586.17 |
15 | 277686 | 279953 | 279499 | 454.083 | -2267.37 |
16 | 282917 | 285968 | 278979 | 6988.94 | -3051.4 |
17 | 286692 | 288286 | 278384 | 9901.74 | -1593.53 |
18 | 285378 | 286842 | 277831 | 9010.69 | -1463.56 |
19 | 262433 | 263776 | 277881 | -14104.6 | -1343.27 |
20 | 266730 | 266383 | 278367 | -11983.4 | 346.896 |
21 | 271980 | 274426 | 278998 | -4572.04 | -2446.37 |
22 | 277799 | 278663 | 279956 | -1293.62 | -863.715 |
23 | 282329 | 284952 | 281099 | 3853.26 | -2622.8 |
24 | 285775 | 287941 | 282401 | 5539.58 | -2165.99 |
25 | 283495 | 284110 | 283767 | 343.215 | -614.881 |
26 | 279998 | 280723 | 284861 | -4137.79 | -725.249 |
27 | 287224 | 286324 | 285870 | 454.083 | 900.126 |
28 | 296369 | 294018 | 287029 | 6988.94 | 2351.23 |
29 | 300653 | 298206 | 288304 | 9901.74 | 2447.13 |
30 | 302686 | 298600 | 289590 | 9010.69 | 4085.81 |
31 | 277891 | 276683 | 290787 | -14104.6 | 1208.4 |
32 | 277537 | 279659 | 291643 | -11983.4 | -2122.44 |
33 | 285383 | 287396 | 291968 | -4572.04 | -2012.79 |
34 | 292213 | 290603 | 291896 | -1293.62 | 1610.37 |
35 | 298522 | 295423 | 291570 | 3853.26 | 3099.24 |
36 | 300431 | 296495 | 290955 | 5539.58 | 3936.42 |
37 | 297584 | 290637 | 290294 | 343.215 | 6947.2 |
38 | 286445 | 285489 | 289627 | -4137.79 | 956.084 |
39 | 288576 | 289184 | 288730 | 454.083 | -607.833 |
40 | 293299 | 294444 | 287455 | 6988.94 | -1145.23 |
41 | 295881 | 295301 | 285399 | 9901.74 | 579.883 |
42 | 292710 | 291648 | 282637 | 9010.69 | 1061.9 |
43 | 271993 | 265286 | 279390 | -14104.6 | 6707.31 |
44 | 267430 | 263990 | 275974 | -11983.4 | 3439.85 |
45 | 273963 | 267916 | 272488 | -4572.04 | 6047.29 |
46 | 273046 | 267452 | 268746 | -1293.62 | 5593.87 |
47 | 268347 | 268687 | 264834 | 3853.26 | -340.423 |
48 | 264319 | 266527 | 260987 | 5539.58 | -2207.91 |
49 | 255765 | 257583 | 257240 | 343.215 | -1818.46 |
50 | 246263 | 249476 | 253614 | -4137.79 | -3213.21 |
51 | 245098 | 250787 | 250333 | 454.083 | -5688.67 |
52 | 246969 | 254286 | 247297 | 6988.94 | -7317.35 |
53 | 248333 | 254729 | 244828 | 9901.74 | -6396.41 |
54 | 247934 | 252210 | 243199 | 9010.69 | -4275.77 |
55 | 226839 | 228076 | 242181 | -14104.6 | -1237.23 |
56 | 225554 | 229718 | 241702 | -11983.4 | -4164.19 |
57 | 237085 | 237242 | 241814 | -4572.04 | -157.249 |
58 | 237080 | 241072 | 242366 | -1293.62 | -3992.3 |
59 | 245039 | 247067 | 243214 | 3853.26 | -2028.26 |
60 | 248541 | 249724 | 244184 | 5539.58 | -1182.66 |
61 | 247105 | 245325 | 244982 | 343.215 | 1779.58 |
62 | 243422 | 242054 | 246192 | -4137.79 | 1367.75 |
63 | 250643 | 248178 | 247724 | 454.083 | 2464.75 |
64 | 254663 | 256146 | 249157 | 6988.94 | -1482.85 |
65 | 260993 | 260611 | 250709 | 9901.74 | 382.049 |
66 | 258556 | 261371 | 252360 | 9010.69 | -2815.15 |
67 | 235372 | 239891 | 253996 | -14104.6 | -4519.23 |
68 | 246057 | 243894 | 255878 | -11983.4 | 2162.94 |
69 | 253353 | 253567 | 258139 | -4572.04 | -213.583 |
70 | 255198 | 259574 | 260868 | -1293.62 | -4376.17 |
71 | 264176 | 267528 | 263675 | 3853.26 | -3352.13 |
72 | 269034 | 271755 | 266216 | 5539.58 | -2721.24 |
73 | 265861 | 269358 | 269015 | 343.215 | -3497.26 |
74 | 269826 | 267554 | 271691 | -4137.79 | 2272.33 |
75 | 278506 | 274235 | 273781 | 454.083 | 4270.54 |
76 | 292300 | 282583 | 275594 | 6988.94 | 9717.15 |
77 | 290726 | 287074 | 277172 | 9901.74 | 3652.42 |
78 | 289802 | 287324 | 278313 | 9010.69 | 2478.31 |
79 | 271311 | NA | NA | -14104.6 | NA |
80 | 274352 | NA | NA | -11983.4 | NA |
81 | 275216 | NA | NA | -4572.04 | NA |
82 | 276836 | NA | NA | -1293.62 | NA |
83 | 280408 | NA | NA | 3853.26 | NA |
84 | 280190 | NA | NA | 5539.58 | NA |