| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1052 | -0.0694 | -0.2205 | -0.4445 | -0.7085 | 0.2229 | 0.8862 |
| (p-val) | (0.6994 ) | (0.6851 ) | (0.088 ) | (0.1044 ) | (0.3882 ) | (0.1712 ) | (0.3582 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.0244 | -0.1931 | -0.536 | -0.7484 | 0.22 | 0.9319 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.8455 ) | (0.0916 ) | (0 ) | (0.1369 ) | (0.1385 ) | (0.1677 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1901 | -0.5448 | -0.6944 | 0.2218 | 0.8714 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0952 ) | (0 ) | (0.54 ) | (0.2206 ) | (0.5012 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1864 | -0.5524 | 0 | 0.1182 | 0.1598 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1011 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.3899 ) | (0.1966 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1853 | -0.5554 | 0 | 0 | 0.1462 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1019 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2046 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1824 | -0.5766 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1087 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6263 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0369999745003413 |
| -5.9623186537317 |
| 13.199750510756 |
| -4.38134104653015 |
| -8.55664024772041 |
| 11.1858500834747 |
| 43.1600828172584 |
| -18.0555098078549 |
| -1.03390376859901 |
| -21.480207773057 |
| 12.9526883745974 |
| 92.7450087068449 |
| -7.62959923006792 |
| -36.3793071886167 |
| 6.34670392141556 |
| 5.4438142475064 |
| 11.2068476762212 |
| -9.34880084666512 |
| 70.7983973254214 |
| -21.4398345761841 |
| 19.3537016552739 |
| -24.3407859893616 |
| -47.8930389401323 |
| -5.23120399526416 |
| 15.0447379573563 |
| 2.66174086946239 |
| -18.5463802136914 |
| 24.2312685058628 |
| -22.3926123716306 |
| 30.8921837808626 |
| 10.2858183676532 |
| -17.6363037027495 |
| -6.4130297615578 |
| -14.0694124848462 |
| -34.2139388425848 |
| 23.3594254521777 |
| 7.01011297221759 |
| -10.153611430772 |
| -14.8280599663193 |
| 13.537714424612 |
| 10.981865403099 |
| 33.2311335292979 |
| -13.6424737570068 |
| 35.0456012872994 |
| 2.68076271897523 |
| -6.2039576547908 |
| -1.91546067977486 |
| 21.6997226809524 |
| 31.3300726113285 |
| -6.0290002401709 |
| -20.550957597228 |
| -7.38401440956276 |
| -22.453555756565 |
| -42.9605320118509 |
| -26.5894843205177 |
| -29.8859887428515 |
| -4.97592443186665 |
| -14.2340692287293 |
| -2.3967562794556 |
| 15.7192136412636 |
| -23.9426635182183 |
| -4.34641981100157 |
| -14.9522778744557 |
| -5.27697234321827 |
| 1.41659439929679 |
| -13.9195439755118 |
| -3.38446142046753 |
| -4.40427257572364 |
| -1.7286971613264 |
| 0.550474509876316 |
| -8.22986146756033 |
| 3.80177197561401 |
| 10.3746038348396 |
| -6.47719720961919 |
| -8.27547947953864 |
| -4.31240532620612 |
| -1.49329925845406 |
| -4.95561884498003 |
| -0.0399352246639766 |
| -6.47575127776272 |
