| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9943 | -0.8058 | 0.4999 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0067 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.972 | -0.8011 | 0 | -0.2349 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2879 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9626 | -0.8055 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.25195257820208 |
| 31.4837491744904 |
| -53.8375661074373 |
| 49.0656537817098 |
| -252.549356700669 |
| 151.810940935818 |
| -87.5521109458833 |
| -570.306111129969 |
| -570.289068748504 |
| -374.418959626741 |
| 184.424587173728 |
| -50.5526592494221 |
| 296.359508851428 |
| 74.2508085418858 |
| -224.746846544376 |
| 304.63972704557 |
| 176.420026973615 |
| -9.25498649312967 |
| -347.951277824471 |
| 557.661914668662 |
| -246.947543704105 |
| 424.783953114928 |
| 237.946708349251 |
| -264.725112658979 |
| 389.694081992717 |
| -228.534019751451 |
| 20.2603651591147 |
| 371.602332758393 |
| 73.5066000875794 |
| 378.936043548143 |
| 251.850163519333 |
| -339.376362533148 |
| -231.928748471343 |
| 522.667938541229 |
| 41.0200481426318 |
| 459.017193303177 |
| 64.6735007616493 |
| -50.3537959523241 |
| 342.744757136969 |
| 211.612038678539 |
| -252.082439333474 |
| -110.379728055022 |
| 388.270470566601 |
| 180.456222790328 |
| 363.939309315851 |
| -113.573534551091 |
| -599.748977671162 |
| 256.714796351286 |
| 25.6640698981685 |
| 248.436222342946 |
| -183.235057474964 |
| -259.391245085104 |
| 211.646456899967 |
| -127.858272912583 |
| 166.381726713118 |
| -140.197167503203 |
| 609.427175106258 |
| 28.0610841442252 |
| 24.2606389494193 |
| -22.952770315052 |
| 319.47770454597 |
| 368.125102560325 |
| 125.02231375314 |
| -649.080704506459 |
