| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1528 | 0.2175 | -0.3677 | -0.6062 |
| (p-val) | (0.6892 ) | (0.1323 ) | (0.3294 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1827 | -0.223 | -0.6121 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1685 ) | (0.0792 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1806 | -0.6313 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0977 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6702 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 221.114426584339 |
| -544.761519371535 |
| 7768.65911740526 |
| 1525.1090684975 |
| 250.577449023464 |
| 5148.37263572313 |
| 3894.48550098647 |
| 53806.5312757356 |
| -27505.015565859 |
| -3659.54559686022 |
| 15140.308674586 |
| 5152.70611857344 |
| -17305.5088669709 |
| -3390.79242742934 |
| -11959.3813541888 |
| 5992.49062018349 |
| 20845.3285565736 |
| -41411.5441598116 |
| 23340.0741252185 |
| -35252.0785554835 |
| 28968.5089540911 |
| 36223.0092781525 |
| 23838.3054543696 |
| 23744.9776395904 |
| 30333.5484016432 |
| 18237.706551464 |
| 6102.64865604439 |
| -4434.79108423886 |
| -5347.12782216038 |
| -22777.5565900513 |
| -20803.0605185224 |
| -34832.5467565453 |
| 9255.30721224752 |
| 8180.67277391587 |
| -2544.19091103912 |
| -7365.23456456217 |
| -468.601677888425 |
| -10988.9812794859 |
| 15219.9021426399 |
| 12805.4159483226 |
| -38337.7834913198 |
| 16906.7894544556 |
| -5747.1110962867 |
| -12808.338826988 |
| 27252.154934195 |
| 9489.50103361177 |
| 4864.37278323446 |
| 2874.88009294599 |
| -3907.12515417225 |
| 5406.65531390919 |
| -12534.052547706 |
| -15405.8813543064 |
| -3489.05559745098 |
| -19712.8428801592 |
| -6381.58831820532 |
| -19262.9835065518 |
| 17517.9697055469 |
| 2653.64864305109 |
| 1612.08856414439 |
| -2589.89338260277 |
| -1226.41992220594 |
