Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613960.697838.151583.24410.02960.59270.52420.5927
62495633.395578.60450.27190.92980.50.4312
63585835.395580.60450.50.78240.50.5
64475027.395572.60450.39740.24390.50.2439
65425128.395573.60450.21760.63560.50.2719
66625330.395575.60450.21760.82990.50.3323
67393714.395559.60450.43120.01510.50.0343
684022-0.604544.60450.05930.07020.59e-04
69725532.395577.60450.07020.90330.50.3974
70707047.395592.60450.50.43120.50.8509
71546239.395584.60450.24390.24390.50.6356
72655835.395580.60450.27190.63560.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
610.1895-0.55640.55640.4353470.794800-1.70481.7048
620.2059-0.14290.34960.284349259.897416.1213-0.551.1274
630.198800.23310.18950173.264913.16300.7516
640.2307-0.06380.19080.15769132.198711.4978-0.23570.6226
650.2261-0.21430.19550.164881121.95911.0435-0.70710.6395
660.21760.14520.18710.163481115.132510.730.70710.6508
670.31170.05130.16770.1476499.25649.96280.15710.5803
680.52420.450.2030.2017324127.349311.28491.41430.6845
690.20970.23610.20670.2091289145.310512.05451.33570.7569
700.164800.1860.18820130.779511.435900.6812
710.186-0.14810.18250.183664124.708611.1673-0.62860.6764
720.19880.10770.17630.177849118.399610.88120.550.6659