Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9912.8067	9376.3581	10449.2554	0.2505	0.6327	0.7805	0.6327
65	9115	9130.0378	8584.6792	9675.3964	0.4784	3e-04	0.6146	0.0066
66	10411	10157.5307	9603.8933	10711.1682	0.1848	0.9999	0.4542	0.8839
67	9678	9769.0794	9207.7494	10330.4094	0.3752	0.0125	0.5872	0.4294
68	10408	9851.1633	9282.6875	10419.639	0.0274	0.7248	0.6168	0.5428
69	10153	9869.8299	9294.7204	10444.9395	0.1673	0.0333	0.4685	0.5674
70	10368	10241.7467	9660.484	10823.0094	0.3352	0.6176	0.7983	0.9225
71	10581	10358.0396	9771.0769	10945.0022	0.2283	0.4867	0.4012	0.9638
72	10597	10012.0025	9419.7682	10604.2369	0.0264	0.0298	0.42	0.7374
73	10680	10082.9333	9489.4282	10676.4384	0.0243	0.0448	0.4618	0.8074
74	9738	9313.9358	8715.6738	9912.1977	0.0824	0	0.5624	0.0487
75	9556	9783.0436	9180.332	10385.7552	0.2302	0.5582	0.4522	0.4522

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
64	0.0276	0.0182	0.0182	0.0184	33927.1554	0	0	0.3588	0.3588
65	0.0305	-0.0016	0.0099	0.01	226.1353	17076.6453	130.6776	-0.0293	0.194
66	0.0278	0.0243	0.0147	0.0149	64246.6649	32799.9852	181.1077	0.4937	0.2939
67	0.0293	-0.0094	0.0134	0.0135	8295.4549	26673.8526	163.3213	-0.1774	0.2648
68	0.0294	0.0535	0.0214	0.0218	310067.146	83352.5113	288.7083	1.0847	0.4288
69	0.0297	0.0279	0.0225	0.0229	80185.2845	82824.6402	287.7927	0.5516	0.4493
70	0.029	0.0122	0.021	0.0214	15939.8985	73269.6771	270.6837	0.2459	0.4202
71	0.0289	0.0211	0.021	0.0214	49711.3533	70324.8866	265.1884	0.4343	0.422
72	0.0302	0.0552	0.0248	0.0253	342222.0556	100535.6831	317.0736	1.1395	0.5017
73	0.03	0.0559	0.0279	0.0285	356488.6306	126130.9779	355.1492	1.163	0.5678
74	0.0328	0.0435	0.0294	0.03	179830.4573	131012.7487	361.9568	0.8261	0.5913
75	0.0314	-0.0238	0.0289	0.0294	51548.7974	124390.7528	352.6907	-0.4423	0.5789