Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613962.186939.792384.58150.02120.6430.57590.643
624954.050131.603176.4970.32960.90560.43240.3651
635859.332336.782781.88190.45390.81540.54610.5461
644749.065426.47171.65980.42890.21920.46770.2192
654251.653729.037274.27030.20140.65660.52260.2912
666252.542629.915275.170.20630.81940.48420.3182
673937.3214.687359.95270.44220.01630.51110.0367
684021.7761-0.859244.41140.05730.06790.49239e-04
697255.156732.520177.79320.07240.90530.50540.4028
707069.890447.253292.52760.49620.42750.49620.8484
715462.076739.439284.71420.24220.24640.50260.6379
726557.946335.308780.5840.27070.63370.49810.4981


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
610.1837-0.59450.59450.4583537.630500-1.82181.8218
620.2119-0.10310.34880.278225.5034281.566916.78-0.39681.1093
630.1939-0.0230.24020.1931.775188.30313.7224-0.10470.7744
640.2349-0.04390.19110.15554.2659142.293711.9287-0.16230.6214
650.2234-0.22990.19890.165693.1944132.473811.5097-0.75850.6488
660.21970.15250.19120.165689.4425125.301911.19380.74310.6645
670.30940.04310.170.14822.8223107.804810.38290.1320.5885
680.53030.45560.20570.2034332.111135.843111.65521.43190.6939
690.20940.23390.20880.2103283.6979152.271412.33981.32340.7638
700.16530.00160.18810.18940.012137.045511.70660.00860.6883
710.1861-0.14960.18460.184865.233130.517111.4244-0.63460.6834
720.19930.10850.17830.17949.7541123.786811.1260.55420.6727