| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.5069 | -0.3666 | -0.1068 |
| (p-val) | (0.2673 ) | (0.1347 ) | (0.8321 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.599 | -0.4034 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.008 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 221.114385335279 |
| -541.658038458393 |
| 7699.66063867279 |
| 119.918461655316 |
| -24.3244828083869 |
| 4993.00631024603 |
| 2900.57200267351 |
| 51956.7664788345 |
| -36421.0721919461 |
| 1280.82618527615 |
| 15460.3159420947 |
| 2365.58843197215 |
| -17716.075511449 |
| -565.161644688339 |
| -11173.2791875738 |
| 7857.32230738204 |
| 19056.2419456623 |
| -43708.6676458565 |
| 29631.1234865029 |
| -39604.1957866939 |
| 35157.5244532399 |
| 29842.6935571535 |
| 16215.0282863449 |
| 18672.5067955142 |
| 25597.2905728771 |
| 13094.9425736828 |
| 3775.64000146981 |
| -5373.31938180658 |
| -4030.26865288976 |
| -22800.7347488831 |
| -15587.6761110008 |
| -24389.3118734135 |
| 10977.0632993775 |
| 7794.44658137119 |
| -1040.84670741035 |
| -6054.37435646237 |
| -1129.36011825466 |
| -10857.1571298913 |
| 14965.4852659754 |
| 10781.696931855 |
| -39276.0355900971 |
| 19028.4988051257 |
| -6837.70297227528 |
| -24991.9916330197 |
| 39622.0270991356 |
| 7105.6689639851 |
| 1826.45588636261 |
| 3220.30213779503 |
| 1072.88634413923 |
| 7143.65969352402 |
| -11284.3599227611 |
| -15314.7647050411 |
| -4810.2027830269 |
| -11271.6695112064 |
| -10306.5767617736 |
| -12690.6860183313 |
| 15061.957119863 |
| -6685.36966776389 |
| -3068.09515122222 |
| -7455.91525870014 |
| -5758.73147699848 |
