Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 970 | 910 | 60 |
4 | 950 | 910 | 40 |
5 | 980 | 910 | 70 |
6 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
7 | 920 | 910 | 10 |
8 | 950 | 910 | 40 |
9 | 900 | 910 | -10 |
10 | 950 | 910 | 40 |
11 | 950 | 910 | 40 |
12 | 940 | 910 | 30 |
13 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
14 | 810 | 910 | -100 |
15 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
16 | 960 | 910 | 50 |
17 | 970 | 910 | 60 |
18 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
19 | 850 | 910 | -60 |
20 | 910 | 910 | 0 |
21 | 970 | 910 | 60 |
22 | 980 | 910 | 70 |
23 | 970 | 910 | 60 |
24 | 1000 | 910 | 90 |
25 | 910 | 910 | 0 |
26 | 740 | 910 | -170 |
27 | 810 | 910 | -100 |
28 | 1050 | 910 | 140 |
29 | 920 | 910 | 10 |
30 | 830 | 910 | -80 |
31 | 880 | 910 | -30 |
32 | 910 | 910 | 0 |
33 | 880 | 910 | -30 |
34 | 960 | 910 | 50 |
35 | 900 | 910 | -10 |
36 | 1110 | 910 | 200 |
37 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
38 | 720 | 910 | -190 |
39 | 780 | 910 | -130 |
40 | 970 | 910 | 60 |
41 | 1020 | 910 | 110 |
42 | 830 | 910 | -80 |
43 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
44 | 920 | 910 | 10 |
45 | 840 | 910 | -70 |
46 | 920 | 910 | 10 |
47 | 920 | 910 | 10 |
48 | 1150 | 910 | 240 |
49 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
50 | 760 | 910 | -150 |
51 | 760 | 910 | -150 |
52 | 960 | 910 | 50 |
53 | 1010 | 910 | 100 |
54 | 790 | 910 | -120 |
55 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
56 | 880 | 910 | -30 |
57 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
58 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
59 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
60 | 1230 | 910 | 320 |
61 | 760 | 910 | -150 |
62 | 810 | 910 | -100 |
63 | 850 | 910 | -60 |
64 | 990 | 910 | 80 |
65 | 940 | 910 | 30 |
66 | 850 | 910 | -60 |
67 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
68 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
69 | 780 | 910 | -130 |
70 | 880 | 910 | -30 |
71 | 850 | 910 | -60 |
72 | 1220 | 910 | 310 |
73 | 850 | 910 | -60 |
74 | 800 | 910 | -110 |
75 | 840 | 910 | -70 |
76 | 1090 | 910 | 180 |
77 | 810 | 910 | -100 |
78 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
79 | 810 | 910 | -100 |
80 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
81 | 800 | 910 | -110 |
82 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
83 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
84 | 1220 | 910 | 310 |
85 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
86 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
87 | 750 | 910 | -160 |
88 | 1020 | 910 | 110 |
89 | 780 | 910 | -130 |
90 | 830 | 910 | -80 |
91 | 860 | 910 | -50 |
92 | 850 | 910 | -60 |
93 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
94 | 790 | 910 | -120 |
95 | 1020 | 910 | 110 |
96 | 1230 | 910 | 320 |
97 | 760 | 910 | -150 |
98 | 880 | 910 | -30 |
99 | 760 | 910 | -150 |
100 | 1090 | 910 | 180 |
101 | 840 | 910 | -70 |
102 | 900 | 910 | -10 |
103 | 930 | 910 | 20 |
104 | 820 | 910 | -90 |
105 | 780 | 910 | -130 |
106 | 870 | 910 | -40 |
107 | 990 | 910 | 80 |
108 | 1270 | 910 | 360 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
109 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
110 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
111 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
112 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
113 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
114 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
115 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
116 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
117 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
118 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
119 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |
120 | 910 | 688.954422631618 | 1131.04557736838 |