Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 12960 | NA | NA | 1631.56 | NA |
2 | 12480 | NA | NA | -2295.94 | NA |
3 | 13200 | NA | NA | -2629.69 | NA |
4 | 10560 | NA | NA | -5019.69 | NA |
5 | 13680 | NA | NA | -1293.44 | NA |
6 | 13440 | NA | NA | -1717.19 | NA |
7 | 14400 | 15851.6 | 14000 | 1851.56 | -1451.56 |
8 | 14880 | 15254.1 | 13990 | 1264.06 | -374.062 |
9 | 16560 | 13475.3 | 13900 | -424.688 | 3084.69 |
10 | 14400 | 16306.6 | 13840 | 2466.56 | -1906.56 |
11 | 13680 | 14452.8 | 13790 | 662.812 | -772.812 |
12 | 17040 | 19184.1 | 13680 | 5504.06 | -2144.06 |
13 | 14400 | 15221.6 | 13590 | 1631.56 | -821.562 |
14 | 10800 | 11234.1 | 13530 | -2295.94 | -434.062 |
15 | 12720 | 10720.3 | 13350 | -2629.69 | 1999.69 |
16 | 9600 | 8270.31 | 13290 | -5019.69 | 1329.69 |
17 | 13440 | 12116.6 | 13410 | -1293.44 | 1323.44 |
18 | 11040 | 11812.8 | 13530 | -1717.19 | -772.812 |
19 | 14640 | 15381.6 | 13530 | 1851.56 | -741.562 |
20 | 13200 | 14754.1 | 13490 | 1264.06 | -1554.06 |
21 | 13920 | 13055.3 | 13480 | -424.688 | 864.688 |
22 | 15600 | 15896.6 | 13430 | 2466.56 | -296.562 |
23 | 15360 | 14032.8 | 13370 | 662.812 | 1327.19 |
24 | 18240 | 18794.1 | 13290 | 5504.06 | -554.062 |
25 | 13200 | 14841.6 | 13210 | 1631.56 | -1641.56 |
26 | 11040 | 10884.1 | 13180 | -2295.94 | 155.938 |
27 | 12240 | 10460.3 | 13090 | -2629.69 | 1779.69 |
28 | 8880 | 8030.31 | 13050 | -5019.69 | 849.688 |
29 | 12720 | 11796.6 | 13090 | -1293.44 | 923.438 |
30 | 9840 | 11322.8 | 13040 | -1717.19 | -1482.81 |
31 | 13920 | 14841.6 | 12990 | 1851.56 | -921.562 |
32 | 13200 | 14284.1 | 13020 | 1264.06 | -1084.06 |
33 | 11760 | 12575.3 | 13000 | -424.688 | -815.312 |
34 | 16800 | 15406.6 | 12940 | 2466.56 | 1393.44 |
35 | 15120 | 13562.8 | 12900 | 662.812 | 1557.19 |
36 | 17280 | 18394.1 | 12890 | 5504.06 | -1114.06 |
37 | 12960 | 14571.6 | 12940 | 1631.56 | -1611.56 |
38 | 12000 | 10694.1 | 12990 | -2295.94 | 1305.94 |
39 | 10800 | 10400.3 | 13030 | -2629.69 | 399.688 |
40 | 8880 | 7990.31 | 13010 | -5019.69 | 889.688 |
41 | 11760 | 11676.6 | 12970 | -1293.44 | 83.4375 |
42 | 10560 | 11322.8 | 13040 | -1717.19 | -762.812 |
43 | 14400 | 15071.6 | 13220 | 1851.56 | -671.562 |
44 | 13920 | 14474.1 | 13210 | 1264.06 | -554.062 |
45 | 12000 | 12615.3 | 13040 | -424.688 | -615.312 |
46 | 16080 | 15466.6 | 13000 | 2466.56 | 613.438 |
47 | 14880 | 13652.8 | 12990 | 662.812 | 1227.19 |
48 | 19200 | 18484.1 | 12980 | 5504.06 | 715.938 |
49 | 15360 | 14651.6 | 13020 | 1631.56 | 708.438 |
50 | 9360 | 10734.1 | 13030 | -2295.94 | -1374.06 |
51 | 9360 | 10400.3 | 13030 | -2629.69 | -1040.31 |
52 | 9360 | 7990.31 | 13010 | -5019.69 | 1369.69 |
53 | 11040 | 11656.6 | 12950 | -1293.44 | -616.562 |
54 | 11040 | 11252.8 | 12970 | -1717.19 | -212.812 |
55 | 14880 | 14901.6 | 13050 | 1851.56 | -21.5625 |
56 | 13680 | 14344.1 | 13080 | 1264.06 | -664.062 |
57 | 12240 | 12675.3 | 13100 | -424.688 | -435.312 |
58 | 15360 | 15536.6 | 13070 | 2466.56 | -176.562 |
59 | 14160 | 13692.8 | 13030 | 662.812 | 467.188 |
60 | 20400 | 18624.1 | 13120 | 5504.06 | 1775.94 |
61 | 16080 | 14891.6 | 13260 | 1631.56 | 1188.44 |
62 | 9360 | 11124.1 | 13420 | -2295.94 | -1764.06 |
63 | 9840 | 10920.3 | 13550 | -2629.69 | -1080.31 |
64 | 8160 | 8550.31 | 13570 | -5019.69 | -390.312 |
65 | 11280 | 12236.6 | 13530 | -1293.44 | -956.562 |
66 | 12960 | 11732.8 | 13450 | -1717.19 | 1227.19 |
67 | 16320 | 15191.6 | 13340 | 1851.56 | 1128.44 |
68 | 16080 | 14644.1 | 13380 | 1264.06 | 1435.94 |
69 | 12960 | 13085.3 | 13510 | -424.688 | -125.312 |
70 | 15120 | 15996.6 | 13530 | 2466.56 | -876.562 |
71 | 13440 | 14202.8 | 13540 | 662.812 | -762.812 |
72 | 19200 | 19114.1 | 13610 | 5504.06 | 85.9375 |
73 | 14640 | 15301.6 | 13670 | 1631.56 | -661.562 |
74 | 11760 | 11364.1 | 13660 | -2295.94 | 395.938 |
75 | 10560 | 10950.3 | 13580 | -2629.69 | -390.312 |
76 | 7920 | 8560.31 | 13580 | -5019.69 | -640.312 |
77 | 11760 | 12326.6 | 13620 | -1293.44 | -566.562 |
78 | 14160 | 11912.8 | 13630 | -1717.19 | 2247.19 |
79 | 16560 | 15591.6 | 13740 | 1851.56 | 968.438 |
80 | 15600 | 15094.1 | 13830 | 1264.06 | 505.938 |
81 | 11520 | 13435.3 | 13860 | -424.688 | -1915.31 |
82 | 16560 | 16326.6 | 13860 | 2466.56 | 233.438 |
83 | 12960 | 14502.8 | 13840 | 662.812 | -1542.81 |
84 | 19920 | 19224.1 | 13720 | 5504.06 | 695.938 |
85 | 16560 | 15251.6 | 13620 | 1631.56 | 1308.44 |
86 | 12000 | 11404.1 | 13700 | -2295.94 | 595.938 |
87 | 11040 | 11190.3 | 13820 | -2629.69 | -150.312 |
88 | 7440 | 8870.31 | 13890 | -5019.69 | -1430.31 |
89 | 11760 | 12586.6 | 13880 | -1293.44 | -826.562 |
90 | 11280 | 12122.8 | 13840 | -1717.19 | -842.812 |
91 | 17040 | 15671.6 | 13820 | 1851.56 | 1368.44 |
92 | 17040 | 15094.1 | 13830 | 1264.06 | 1945.94 |
93 | 12960 | 13345.3 | 13770 | -424.688 | -385.312 |
94 | 16800 | 16126.6 | 13660 | 2466.56 | 673.438 |
95 | 12480 | 14322.8 | 13660 | 662.812 | -1842.81 |
96 | 19440 | 19244.1 | 13740 | 5504.06 | 195.938 |
97 | 16560 | 15371.6 | 13740 | 1631.56 | 1188.44 |
98 | 12240 | 11464.1 | 13760 | -2295.94 | 775.938 |
99 | 9360 | 11220.3 | 13850 | -2629.69 | -1860.31 |
100 | 6480 | 8800.31 | 13820 | -5019.69 | -2320.31 |
101 | 12720 | 12426.6 | 13720 | -1293.44 | 293.438 |
102 | 12240 | 11982.8 | 13700 | -1717.19 | 257.188 |
103 | 16080 | NA | NA | 1851.56 | NA |
104 | 18480 | NA | NA | 1264.06 | NA |
105 | 13680 | NA | NA | -424.688 | NA |
106 | 15360 | NA | NA | 2466.56 | NA |
107 | 11520 | NA | NA | 662.812 | NA |
108 | 19920 | NA | NA | 5504.06 | NA |