Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 196088 | NA | NA | 13588.4 | NA |
2 | 192639 | NA | NA | -33300.5 | NA |
3 | 189187 | NA | NA | -34820.9 | NA |
4 | 182286 | NA | NA | -31447.9 | NA |
5 | 252115 | NA | NA | 25458.5 | NA |
6 | 248662 | NA | NA | 43040.5 | NA |
7 | 196088 | 194358 | 189168 | 5190.28 | 1730.18 |
8 | 161176 | 177926 | 184947 | -7021.5 | -16749.7 |
9 | 164624 | 174511 | 179414 | -4903.76 | -9886.74 |
10 | 164624 | 153119 | 173593 | -20473.9 | 11505 |
11 | 168076 | 186321 | 167916 | 18405 | -18245.3 |
12 | 175352 | 188814 | 162529 | 26285.7 | -13462.3 |
13 | 154275 | 171161 | 157572 | 13588.4 | -16885.8 |
14 | 133164 | 118292 | 151593 | -33300.5 | 14871.9 |
15 | 115877 | 110936 | 145757 | -34820.9 | 4941.19 |
16 | 115877 | 109640 | 141088 | -31447.9 | 6236.79 |
17 | 182286 | 162758 | 137299 | 25458.5 | 19528.3 |
18 | 189187 | 177718 | 134677 | 43040.5 | 11469.1 |
19 | 136613 | 138268 | 133077 | 5190.28 | -1654.65 |
20 | 77137 | 124600 | 131621 | -7021.5 | -47462.6 |
21 | 108601 | 126127 | 131030 | -4903.76 | -17525.7 |
22 | 108601 | 111133 | 131607 | -20473.9 | -2532.13 |
23 | 133164 | 150011 | 131606 | 18405 | -16846.8 |
24 | 147340 | 156723 | 130437 | 26285.7 | -9382.89 |
25 | 143888 | 141835 | 128247 | 13588.4 | 2053.01 |
26 | 108601 | 93346.3 | 126647 | -33300.5 | 15254.7 |
27 | 126263 | 91249.4 | 126070 | -34820.9 | 35013.6 |
28 | 119329 | 94781.8 | 126230 | -31447.9 | 24547.2 |
29 | 178804 | 151704 | 126245 | 25458.5 | 27100.2 |
30 | 164624 | 168695 | 125655 | 43040.5 | -4071.17 |
31 | 108601 | 129215 | 124025 | 5190.28 | -20614.2 |
32 | 66754 | 114813 | 121834 | -7021.5 | -48058.8 |
33 | 105149 | 114899 | 119803 | -4903.76 | -9750.44 |
34 | 115877 | 97427.7 | 117902 | -20473.9 | 18449.3 |
35 | 126263 | 136148 | 117743 | 18405 | -9885.47 |
36 | 140065 | 145773 | 119487 | 26285.7 | -5707.89 |
37 | 112050 | 135554 | 121966 | 13588.4 | -23503.9 |
38 | 87865 | 92743.1 | 126044 | -33300.5 | -4878.08 |
39 | 98252 | 96036.7 | 130858 | -34820.9 | 2215.32 |
40 | 101700 | 102624 | 134072 | -31447.9 | -923.713 |
41 | 192639 | 162599 | 137140 | 25458.5 | 30040.1 |
42 | 192639 | 184864 | 141823 | 43040.5 | 7775.08 |
43 | 140065 | 154032 | 148842 | 5190.28 | -13967.4 |
44 | 133164 | 149256 | 156278 | -7021.5 | -16092.5 |
45 | 154275 | 156762 | 161665 | -4903.76 | -2486.53 |
46 | 143888 | 144835 | 165309 | -20473.9 | -947.176 |
47 | 171903 | 186783 | 168378 | 18405 | -14879.9 |
48 | 206816 | 198181 | 171895 | 26285.7 | 8635.24 |
49 | 213750 | 190744 | 177156 | 13588.4 | 23005.7 |
50 | 164624 | 151594 | 184895 | -33300.5 | 13029.6 |
51 | 150789 | 157812 | 192632 | -34820.9 | -7022.51 |
52 | 136613 | 167163 | 198611 | -31447.9 | -30549.8 |
53 | 231378 | 229458 | 204000 | 25458.5 | 1919.64 |
54 | 238313 | 252574 | 209534 | 43040.5 | -14261.5 |
55 | 220651 | 220560 | 215370 | 5190.28 | 90.8889 |
56 | 238313 | 214775 | 221797 | -7021.5 | 23537.9 |
57 | 234827 | 223018 | 227922 | -4903.76 | 11809.2 |
58 | 206816 | 214452 | 234926 | -20473.9 | -7636.3 |
59 | 238313 | 261647 | 243242 | 18405 | -23333.6 |
60 | 273225 | 278562 | 252276 | 26285.7 | -5336.51 |
61 | 287402 | 276225 | 262637 | 13588.4 | 11176.8 |
62 | 245214 | 239985 | 273285 | -33300.5 | 5229.42 |
63 | 217199 | 248953 | 283774 | -34820.9 | -31754.1 |
64 | 238313 | 262529 | 293977 | -31447.9 | -24215.9 |
65 | 329249 | 330516 | 305058 | 25458.5 | -1267.44 |
66 | 357263 | 359481 | 316441 | 43040.5 | -2218.29 |
67 | 350363 | 332423 | 327233 | 5190.28 | 17939.8 |
68 | 364161 | 330413 | 337434 | -7021.5 | 33748.2 |
69 | 360712 | 342012 | 346916 | -4903.76 | 18700.2 |
70 | 325800 | 336354 | 356828 | -20473.9 | -10554.3 |
71 | 385275 | 384425 | 366020 | 18405 | 849.653 |
72 | 399451 | 401801 | 375516 | 26285.7 | -2350.39 |
73 | 420187 | 399607 | 386019 | 13588.4 | 20579.8 |
74 | 357263 | 362343 | 395644 | -33300.5 | -5080.29 |
75 | 332701 | 370306 | 405126 | -34820.9 | -37604.6 |
76 | 360712 | 384039 | 415487 | -31447.9 | -23327.3 |
77 | 427463 | 451897 | 426439 | 25458.5 | -24434.2 |
78 | 486938 | 479985 | 436945 | 43040.5 | 6952.67 |
79 | 472762 | 450739 | 445549 | 5190.28 | 22022.5 |
80 | 472762 | 445963 | 452985 | -7021.5 | 26798.6 |
81 | 479696 | 457130 | 462033 | -4903.76 | 22566.4 |
82 | 455474 | 451200 | 471674 | -20473.9 | 4273.91 |
83 | 518436 | 497962 | 479557 | 18405 | 20474.2 |
84 | 518436 | 512846 | 486560 | 26285.7 | 5590.4 |
85 | 507708 | 505984 | 492396 | 13588.4 | 1723.8 |
86 | 448199 | 464644 | 497944 | -33300.5 | -16444.6 |
87 | 458927 | 468526 | 503347 | -34820.9 | -9599.47 |
88 | 465861 | 476856 | 508304 | -31447.9 | -10994.8 |
89 | 511501 | 540031 | 514572 | 25458.5 | -28529.9 |
90 | 570976 | 563880 | 520840 | 43040.5 | 7095.88 |
91 | 528785 | 530985 | 525794 | 5190.28 | -2199.74 |
92 | 549899 | 524176 | 531198 | -7021.5 | 25722.8 |
93 | 532237 | 533730 | 538634 | -4903.76 | -1492.74 |
94 | 521884 | 527050 | 547524 | -20473.9 | -5166.13 |
95 | 602474 | 574243 | 555838 | 18405 | 28230.9 |
96 | 584812 | 588103 | 561818 | 26285.7 | -3291.31 |
97 | 560249 | 580665 | 567077 | 13588.4 | -20416.4 |
98 | 525336 | 539467 | 572768 | -33300.5 | -14131.3 |
99 | 560249 | 543336 | 578157 | -34820.9 | 16913.2 |
100 | 577911 | 552243 | 583691 | -31447.9 | 25668 |
101 | 598988 | 615259 | 589800 | 25458.5 | -16270.6 |
102 | 626999 | 640276 | 597236 | 43040.5 | -13277.3 |
103 | 598988 | 610757 | 605567 | 5190.28 | -11769 |
104 | 616275 | 606140 | 613162 | -7021.5 | 10134.5 |
105 | 595195 | 615550 | 620454 | -4903.76 | -20355.3 |
106 | 591746 | 607560 | 628034 | -20473.9 | -15813.8 |
107 | 679233 | 654018 | 635613 | 18405 | 25214.6 |
108 | 686508 | 669624 | 643338 | 26285.7 | 16884 |
109 | 658497 | 664652 | 651063 | 13588.4 | -6154.62 |
110 | 609374 | 625647 | 658947 | -33300.5 | -16272.9 |
111 | 651221 | 632745 | 667566 | -34820.9 | 18475.8 |
112 | 668850 | 643712 | 675160 | -31447.9 | 25137.9 |
113 | 689961 | 706469 | 681010 | 25458.5 | -16507.6 |
114 | 721424 | 729310 | 686270 | 43040.5 | -7886.12 |
115 | 689961 | NA | NA | 5190.28 | NA |
116 | 714523 | NA | NA | -7021.5 | NA |
117 | 703796 | NA | NA | -4903.76 | NA |
118 | 665398 | NA | NA | -20473.9 | NA |
119 | 745984 | NA | NA | 18405 | NA |
120 | 745984 | NA | NA | 26285.7 | NA |