Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2443.6 | NA | NA | -0.662907 | NA |
2 | 2460.2 | NA | NA | 0.665009 | NA |
3 | 2448.2 | NA | NA | -0.322907 | NA |
4 | 2470.4 | NA | NA | 5.11043 | NA |
5 | 2484.7 | NA | NA | 0.837093 | NA |
6 | 2466.8 | NA | NA | -8.80874 | NA |
7 | 2487.9 | 2488.38 | 2493.84 | -5.46188 | -0.479782 |
8 | 2508.4 | 2503.48 | 2502.36 | 1.11804 | 4.91946 |
9 | 2510.5 | 2508.37 | 2509.88 | -1.51166 | 2.13249 |
10 | 2497.4 | 2516.77 | 2517.44 | -0.669157 | -19.3683 |
11 | 2532.5 | 2533.52 | 2525.41 | 8.10668 | -1.01501 |
12 | 2556.8 | 2536.05 | 2534.45 | 1.60001 | 20.7542 |
13 | 2561 | 2542.34 | 2543 | -0.662907 | 18.6587 |
14 | 2547.3 | 2550.86 | 2550.2 | 0.665009 | -3.56084 |
15 | 2541.5 | 2556.76 | 2557.09 | -0.322907 | -15.2646 |
16 | 2558.5 | 2569.81 | 2564.7 | 5.11043 | -11.3104 |
17 | 2587.9 | 2571.97 | 2571.14 | 0.837093 | 15.9254 |
18 | 2580.5 | 2566.13 | 2574.94 | -8.80874 | 14.3712 |
19 | 2579.6 | 2572.63 | 2578.09 | -5.46188 | 6.97438 |
20 | 2589.3 | 2582.49 | 2581.37 | 1.11804 | 6.81113 |
21 | 2595 | 2582.77 | 2584.28 | -1.51166 | 12.2283 |
22 | 2595.6 | 2586.56 | 2587.23 | -0.669157 | 9.03999 |
23 | 2588.8 | 2597.49 | 2589.38 | 8.10668 | -8.68584 |
24 | 2591.7 | 2591.1 | 2589.5 | 1.60001 | 0.604157 |
25 | 2601.7 | 2588 | 2588.66 | -0.662907 | 13.7046 |
26 | 2585.4 | 2588.72 | 2588.05 | 0.665009 | -3.31501 |
27 | 2573.3 | 2588.12 | 2588.44 | -0.322907 | -14.8188 |
28 | 2597.4 | 2595.03 | 2589.92 | 5.11043 | 2.37291 |
29 | 2600.6 | 2593 | 2592.16 | 0.837093 | 7.60457 |
30 | 2570.6 | 2582.56 | 2591.37 | -8.80874 | -11.9579 |
31 | 2569.4 | 2581.8 | 2587.27 | -5.46188 | -12.4048 |
32 | 2584.9 | 2587.11 | 2585.99 | 1.11804 | -2.20554 |
33 | 2608.8 | 2587.23 | 2588.75 | -1.51166 | 21.5658 |
34 | 2617.2 | 2591.95 | 2592.62 | -0.669157 | 25.2483 |
35 | 2621 | 2604.2 | 2596.1 | 8.10668 | 16.7975 |
36 | 2540.5 | 2601.42 | 2599.82 | 1.60001 | -60.9167 |
37 | 2554.5 | 2603.49 | 2604.15 | -0.662907 | -48.9871 |
38 | 2601.9 | 2609.32 | 2608.65 | 0.665009 | -7.41918 |
39 | 2623 | 2612.09 | 2612.41 | -0.322907 | 10.9104 |
40 | 2640.7 | 2621.66 | 2616.55 | 5.11043 | 19.0396 |
41 | 2640.7 | 2621.99 | 2621.15 | 0.837093 | 18.7129 |
42 | 2619.8 | 2619.51 | 2628.32 | -8.80874 | 0.287907 |
43 | 2624.2 | 2632.56 | 2638.02 | -5.46188 | -8.36312 |
44 | 2638.2 | 2646.41 | 2645.29 | 1.11804 | -8.20554 |
45 | 2645.7 | 2647.76 | 2649.27 | -1.51166 | -2.06334 |
46 | 2679.6 | 2649.45 | 2650.12 | -0.669157 | 30.1483 |
47 | 2669 | 2657.23 | 2649.12 | 8.10668 | 11.7725 |
48 | 2664.6 | 2651.05 | 2649.45 | 1.60001 | 13.5458 |
49 | 2663.3 | 2649.78 | 2650.44 | -0.662907 | 13.5212 |
50 | 2667.4 | 2649.83 | 2649.17 | 0.665009 | 17.5683 |
51 | 2653.2 | 2645.36 | 2645.69 | -0.322907 | 7.83541 |
52 | 2630.8 | 2644.66 | 2639.55 | 5.11043 | -13.8604 |
53 | 2626.6 | 2633.04 | 2632.2 | 0.837093 | -6.44126 |
54 | 2641.9 | 2617.37 | 2626.18 | -8.80874 | 24.5296 |
55 | 2625.8 | 2614.55 | 2620.01 | -5.46188 | 11.2536 |
56 | 2606 | 2613.85 | 2612.73 | 1.11804 | -7.85137 |
57 | 2594.4 | 2605.13 | 2606.64 | -1.51166 | -10.73 |
58 | 2583.6 | 2602.2 | 2602.87 | -0.669157 | -18.5975 |
59 | 2588.7 | 2608.36 | 2600.25 | 8.10668 | -19.6567 |
60 | 2600.3 | 2599.86 | 2598.26 | 1.60001 | 0.441657 |
61 | 2579.5 | 2597.58 | 2598.24 | -0.662907 | -18.0788 |
62 | 2576.6 | 2601.32 | 2600.66 | 0.665009 | -24.7233 |
63 | 2597.8 | 2603.23 | 2603.55 | -0.322907 | -5.42709 |
64 | 2595.6 | 2611.67 | 2606.56 | 5.11043 | -16.0688 |
65 | 2599 | 2609.42 | 2608.58 | 0.837093 | -10.4163 |
66 | 2621.7 | 2600.05 | 2608.86 | -8.80874 | 21.6504 |
67 | 2645.6 | 2603.55 | 2609.02 | -5.46188 | 42.0452 |
68 | 2644.2 | 2610.08 | 2608.97 | 1.11804 | 34.1153 |
69 | 2625.6 | 2605.43 | 2606.94 | -1.51166 | 20.17 |
70 | 2624.6 | 2603.61 | 2604.28 | -0.669157 | 20.99 |
71 | 2596.2 | 2610.58 | 2602.47 | 8.10668 | -14.3775 |
72 | 2599.5 | 2601.36 | 2599.76 | 1.60001 | -1.86251 |
73 | 2584.1 | 2594.95 | 2595.61 | -0.662907 | -10.8496 |
74 | 2570.8 | 2592.11 | 2591.45 | 0.665009 | -21.3108 |
75 | 2555 | 2587.25 | 2587.57 | -0.322907 | -32.2479 |
76 | 2574.5 | 2587.89 | 2582.78 | 5.11043 | -13.3896 |
77 | 2576.7 | 2579.44 | 2578.6 | 0.837093 | -2.74126 |
78 | 2579 | 2565.37 | 2574.18 | -8.80874 | 13.6337 |
79 | 2588.7 | 2562.85 | 2568.32 | -5.46188 | 25.8452 |
80 | 2601.1 | 2566.03 | 2564.91 | 1.11804 | 35.0695 |
81 | 2575.7 | 2562.82 | 2564.33 | -1.51166 | 12.8825 |
82 | 2559.5 | 2563.7 | 2564.37 | -0.669157 | -4.19751 |
83 | 2561.1 | 2572.14 | 2564.03 | 8.10668 | -11.0358 |
84 | 2528.3 | 2563.95 | 2562.35 | 1.60001 | -35.6542 |
85 | 2514.7 | 2557.92 | 2558.59 | -0.662907 | -43.2246 |
86 | 2558.5 | 2554.21 | 2553.54 | 0.665009 | 4.29332 |
87 | 2553.3 | 2548.98 | 2549.3 | -0.322907 | 4.31874 |
88 | 2577.1 | 2551.79 | 2546.68 | 5.11043 | 25.3104 |
89 | 2566 | 2546.53 | 2545.7 | 0.837093 | 19.4671 |
90 | 2549.5 | 2537.91 | 2546.72 | -8.80874 | 11.5921 |
91 | 2527.8 | 2544.9 | 2550.36 | -5.46188 | -17.0964 |
92 | 2540.9 | 2553.51 | 2552.39 | 1.11804 | -12.6097 |
93 | 2534.2 | 2550.73 | 2552.24 | -1.51166 | -16.5258 |
94 | 2538 | 2550.64 | 2551.31 | -0.669157 | -12.6433 |
95 | 2559 | 2555.52 | 2547.41 | 8.10668 | 3.48082 |
96 | 2554.9 | 2542.78 | 2541.18 | 1.60001 | 12.1167 |
97 | 2575.5 | 2534.62 | 2535.28 | -0.662907 | 40.8796 |
98 | 2546.5 | 2530.42 | 2529.76 | 0.665009 | 16.0767 |
99 | 2561.6 | 2522.55 | 2522.87 | -0.322907 | 39.0521 |
100 | 2546.6 | 2520.91 | 2515.8 | 5.11043 | 25.6896 |
101 | 2502.9 | 2509.58 | 2508.75 | 0.837093 | -6.68293 |
102 | 2463.1 | 2491.82 | 2500.62 | -8.80874 | -28.7163 |
103 | 2472.6 | 2484.57 | 2490.03 | -5.46188 | -11.9673 |
104 | 2463.5 | 2479.76 | 2478.65 | 1.11804 | -16.2639 |
105 | 2446.3 | 2465.76 | 2467.27 | -1.51166 | -19.4592 |
106 | 2456.2 | 2455.22 | 2455.89 | -0.669157 | 0.977491 |
107 | 2471.5 | 2455.44 | 2447.33 | 8.10668 | 16.0642 |
108 | 2447.5 | 2443.3 | 2441.7 | 1.60001 | 4.20416 |
109 | 2428.6 | 2435.2 | 2435.86 | -0.662907 | -6.59959 |
110 | 2420.2 | 2430.79 | 2430.12 | 0.665009 | -10.5858 |
111 | 2414.9 | 2425.29 | 2425.61 | -0.322907 | -10.3896 |
112 | 2420.2 | 2425.29 | 2420.18 | 5.11043 | -5.09376 |
113 | 2423.8 | 2415.85 | 2415.01 | 0.837093 | 7.95457 |
114 | 2407 | 2404.36 | 2413.17 | -8.80874 | 2.63791 |
115 | 2388.7 | 2408.39 | 2413.85 | -5.46188 | -19.6881 |
116 | 2409.6 | 2416.01 | 2414.89 | 1.11804 | -6.40554 |
117 | 2392 | 2413.85 | 2415.36 | -1.51166 | -21.8508 |
118 | 2380.2 | 2413.45 | 2414.12 | -0.669157 | -33.2475 |
119 | 2423.3 | 2418.29 | 2410.19 | 8.10668 | 5.00582 |
120 | 2451.6 | 2406.48 | 2404.88 | 1.60001 | 45.1167 |
121 | 2440.8 | 2401.47 | 2402.14 | -0.662907 | 39.3254 |
122 | 2432.9 | 2401.57 | 2400.91 | 0.665009 | 31.3267 |
123 | 2413.6 | 2399.22 | 2399.54 | -0.322907 | 14.3812 |
124 | 2391.6 | 2405.94 | 2400.83 | 5.11043 | -14.3396 |
125 | 2358.1 | 2403.13 | 2402.3 | 0.837093 | -45.0329 |
126 | 2345.4 | 2395.08 | 2403.89 | -8.80874 | -49.6788 |
127 | 2384.4 | 2402.33 | 2407.8 | -5.46188 | -17.9339 |
128 | 2384.4 | 2413.59 | 2412.47 | 1.11804 | -29.1889 |
129 | 2384.4 | NA | NA | -1.51166 | NA |
130 | 2418.7 | NA | NA | -0.669157 | NA |
131 | 2420 | NA | NA | 8.10668 | NA |
132 | 2493.1 | NA | NA | 1.60001 | NA |
133 | 2493.1 | NA | NA | -0.662907 | NA |
134 | 2492.8 | NA | NA | 0.665009 | NA |