| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 57 | NA | NA | 3.91474 | NA |
| 2 | 56 | NA | NA | -9.71026 | NA |
| 3 | 55 | NA | NA | -10.0621 | NA |
| 4 | 53 | NA | NA | -9.11767 | NA |
| 5 | 73 | NA | NA | 7.44252 | NA |
| 6 | 72 | NA | NA | 12.461 | NA |
| 7 | 57 | 56.4981 | 55 | 1.49807 | 0.501929 |
| 8 | 47 | 51.674 | 53.7917 | -2.11767 | -4.674 |
| 9 | 48 | 50.6971 | 52.2083 | -1.51119 | -2.69715 |
| 10 | 48 | 44.6555 | 50.5417 | -5.88619 | 3.34452 |
| 11 | 49 | 54.2388 | 48.9167 | 5.32215 | -5.23881 |
| 12 | 51 | 55.1416 | 47.375 | 7.76659 | -4.14159 |
| 13 | 45 | 49.8731 | 45.9583 | 3.91474 | -4.87307 |
| 14 | 39 | 34.4981 | 44.2083 | -9.71026 | 4.50193 |
| 15 | 34 | 32.3962 | 42.4583 | -10.0621 | 1.60378 |
| 16 | 34 | 31.924 | 41.0417 | -9.11767 | 2.076 |
| 17 | 53 | 47.3592 | 39.9167 | 7.44252 | 5.64082 |
| 18 | 55 | 51.6277 | 39.1667 | 12.461 | 3.3723 |
| 19 | 40 | 40.2064 | 38.7083 | 1.49807 | -0.206404 |
| 20 | 22 | 36.1323 | 38.25 | -2.11767 | -14.1323 |
| 21 | 31 | 36.5305 | 38.0417 | -1.51119 | -5.53048 |
| 22 | 31 | 32.3221 | 38.2083 | -5.88619 | -1.32215 |
| 23 | 39 | 43.5305 | 38.2083 | 5.32215 | -4.53048 |
| 24 | 43 | 45.6416 | 37.875 | 7.76659 | -2.64159 |
| 25 | 42 | 41.1231 | 37.2083 | 3.91474 | 0.876929 |
| 26 | 31 | 26.9981 | 36.7083 | -9.71026 | 4.00193 |
| 27 | 37 | 26.4796 | 36.5417 | -10.0621 | 10.5204 |
| 28 | 35 | 27.5073 | 36.625 | -9.11767 | 7.49267 |
| 29 | 52 | 44.1092 | 36.6667 | 7.44252 | 7.89082 |
| 30 | 48 | 48.961 | 36.5 | 12.461 | -0.961034 |
| 31 | 31 | 37.4981 | 36 | 1.49807 | -6.49807 |
| 32 | 19 | 33.2157 | 35.3333 | -2.11767 | -14.2157 |
| 33 | 30 | 33.1971 | 34.7083 | -1.51119 | -3.19715 |
| 34 | 34 | 28.1971 | 34.0833 | -5.88619 | 5.80285 |
| 35 | 37 | 39.3221 | 34 | 5.32215 | -2.32215 |
| 36 | 41 | 42.2666 | 34.5 | 7.76659 | -1.26659 |
| 37 | 32 | 39.1647 | 35.25 | 3.91474 | -7.16474 |
| 38 | 25 | 26.7897 | 36.5 | -9.71026 | -1.78974 |
| 39 | 28 | 27.8962 | 37.9583 | -10.0621 | 0.103781 |
| 40 | 29 | 29.799 | 38.9167 | -9.11767 | -0.798997 |
| 41 | 56 | 47.2342 | 39.7917 | 7.44252 | 8.76582 |
| 42 | 56 | 53.586 | 41.125 | 12.461 | 2.41397 |
| 43 | 41 | 44.6647 | 43.1667 | 1.49807 | -3.66474 |
| 44 | 39 | 43.2573 | 45.375 | -2.11767 | -4.25733 |
| 45 | 45 | 45.4888 | 47 | -1.51119 | -0.488812 |
| 46 | 42 | 42.2388 | 48.125 | -5.88619 | -0.238812 |
| 47 | 50 | 54.3638 | 49.0417 | 5.32215 | -4.36381 |
| 48 | 60 | 57.8083 | 50.0417 | 7.76659 | 2.19174 |
| 49 | 62 | 55.4564 | 51.5417 | 3.91474 | 6.5436 |
| 50 | 48 | 44.0397 | 53.75 | -9.71026 | 3.96026 |
| 51 | 44 | 45.8962 | 55.9583 | -10.0621 | -1.89622 |
| 52 | 40 | 48.549 | 57.6667 | -9.11767 | -8.549 |
| 53 | 67 | 66.6508 | 59.2083 | 7.44252 | 0.349151 |
| 54 | 69 | 73.2527 | 60.7917 | 12.461 | -4.2527 |
| 55 | 64 | 63.9564 | 62.4583 | 1.49807 | 0.0435957 |
| 56 | 69 | 62.174 | 64.2917 | -2.11767 | 6.826 |
| 57 | 68 | 64.5305 | 66.0417 | -1.51119 | 3.46952 |
| 58 | 60 | 62.1555 | 68.0417 | -5.88619 | -2.15548 |
| 59 | 69 | 75.7388 | 70.4167 | 5.32215 | -6.73881 |
| 60 | 79 | 80.7666 | 73 | 7.76659 | -1.76659 |
| 61 | 83 | 79.8731 | 75.9583 | 3.91474 | 3.12693 |
| 62 | 71 | 69.2897 | 79 | -9.71026 | 1.71026 |
| 63 | 63 | 71.9379 | 82 | -10.0621 | -8.93789 |
| 64 | 69 | 75.799 | 84.9167 | -9.11767 | -6.799 |
| 65 | 95 | 95.5258 | 88.0833 | 7.44252 | -0.525849 |
| 66 | 103 | 103.836 | 91.375 | 12.461 | -0.836034 |
| 67 | 101 | 96.0397 | 94.5417 | 1.49807 | 4.96026 |
| 68 | 105 | 95.3823 | 97.5 | -2.11767 | 9.61767 |
| 69 | 104 | 98.6971 | 100.208 | -1.51119 | 5.30285 |
| 70 | 94 | 97.1555 | 103.042 | -5.88619 | -3.15548 |
| 71 | 111 | 111.03 | 105.708 | 5.32215 | -0.0304784 |
| 72 | 116 | 116.267 | 108.5 | 7.76659 | -0.26659 |
| 73 | 122 | 115.498 | 111.583 | 3.91474 | 6.50193 |
| 74 | 103 | 104.706 | 114.417 | -9.71026 | -1.7064 |
| 75 | 96 | 107.146 | 117.208 | -10.0621 | -11.1462 |
| 76 | 104 | 111.132 | 120.25 | -9.11767 | -7.13233 |
| 77 | 124 | 130.901 | 123.458 | 7.44252 | -6.90085 |
| 78 | 141 | 138.961 | 126.5 | 12.461 | 2.03897 |
| 79 | 137 | 130.456 | 128.958 | 1.49807 | 6.5436 |
| 80 | 137 | 129.007 | 131.125 | -2.11767 | 7.99267 |
| 81 | 139 | 132.28 | 133.792 | -1.51119 | 6.71952 |
| 82 | 132 | 130.739 | 136.625 | -5.88619 | 1.26119 |
| 83 | 150 | 144.239 | 138.917 | 5.32215 | 5.76119 |
| 84 | 150 | 148.683 | 140.917 | 7.76659 | 1.31674 |
| 85 | 147 | 146.498 | 142.583 | 3.91474 | 0.501929 |
| 86 | 130 | 134.456 | 144.167 | -9.71026 | -4.4564 |
| 87 | 133 | 135.646 | 145.708 | -10.0621 | -2.64622 |
| 88 | 135 | 138.007 | 147.125 | -9.11767 | -3.00733 |
| 89 | 148 | 156.359 | 148.917 | 7.44252 | -8.35918 |
| 90 | 165 | 163.169 | 150.708 | 12.461 | 1.83063 |
| 91 | 153 | 153.623 | 152.125 | 1.49807 | -0.623071 |
| 92 | 159 | 151.549 | 153.667 | -2.11767 | 7.451 |
| 93 | 154 | 154.28 | 155.792 | -1.51119 | -0.280478 |
| 94 | 151 | 152.447 | 158.333 | -5.88619 | -1.44715 |
| 95 | 174 | 166.03 | 160.708 | 5.32215 | 7.96952 |
| 96 | 169 | 170.183 | 162.417 | 7.76659 | -1.18326 |
| 97 | 162 | 167.831 | 163.917 | 3.91474 | -5.8314 |
| 98 | 152 | 155.831 | 165.542 | -9.71026 | -3.8314 |
| 99 | 162 | 157.021 | 167.083 | -10.0621 | 4.97878 |
| 100 | 167 | 159.549 | 168.667 | -9.11767 | 7.451 |
| 101 | 173 | 177.859 | 170.417 | 7.44252 | -4.85918 |
| 102 | 181 | 185.044 | 172.583 | 12.461 | -4.04437 |
| 103 | 173 | 176.498 | 175 | 1.49807 | -3.49807 |
| 104 | 178 | 175.049 | 177.167 | -2.11767 | 2.951 |
| 105 | 172 | 177.739 | 179.25 | -1.51119 | -5.73881 |
| 106 | 171 | 175.53 | 181.417 | -5.88619 | -4.53048 |
| 107 | 196 | 188.947 | 183.625 | 5.32215 | 7.05285 |
| 108 | 199 | 193.683 | 185.917 | 7.76659 | 5.31674 |
| 109 | 190 | 192.123 | 188.208 | 3.91474 | -2.12307 |
| 110 | 176 | 180.831 | 190.542 | -9.71026 | -4.8314 |
| 111 | 188 | 183.021 | 193.083 | -10.0621 | 4.97878 |
| 112 | 193 | 186.174 | 195.292 | -9.11767 | 6.826 |
| 113 | 200 | 204.443 | 197 | 7.44252 | -4.44252 |
| 114 | 209 | 211.003 | 198.542 | 12.461 | -2.0027 |
| 115 | 200 | NA | NA | 1.49807 | NA |
| 116 | 207 | NA | NA | -2.11767 | NA |
| 117 | 204 | NA | NA | -1.51119 | NA |
| 118 | 192 | NA | NA | -5.88619 | NA |
| 119 | 216 | NA | NA | 5.32215 | NA |
| 120 | 216 | NA | NA | 7.76659 | NA |
