Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 841 | 0 | 85 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 54.3 | 58.1002467733822 | -7.32311650513967 | 57.8228697317574 | 3.80024677338224 |
2 | 55.9 | 59.3447094121358 | -6.94184159528943 | 59.3971321831536 | 3.4447094121358 |
3 | 63.9 | 67.9606022378047 | -1.13199687235447 | 60.9713946345498 | 4.06060223780465 |
4 | 64 | 61.3735556865103 | 4.02756569534185 | 62.5988786181478 | -2.62644431348966 |
5 | 60.7 | 53.1007868688936 | 4.07285052936066 | 64.2263626017458 | -7.59921313110645 |
6 | 67.8 | 61.9941628637491 | 7.77127584775323 | 65.8345612884977 | -5.80583713625093 |
7 | 70.5 | 64.5018291849277 | 9.05541083982264 | 67.4427599752496 | -5.99817081507226 |
8 | 76.6 | 78.9330650064596 | 5.25736665421236 | 69.009568339328 | 2.33306500645963 |
9 | 76.2 | 80.9928723635803 | 0.830750933013364 | 70.5763767034064 | 4.79287236358026 |
10 | 71.8 | 75.1076303772613 | -3.83452474526802 | 72.3268943680067 | 3.30763037726129 |
11 | 67.8 | 66.2652446317754 | -4.74265666438251 | 74.0774120326071 | -1.53475536822458 |
12 | 69.7 | 70.9007936345989 | -7.04108631192533 | 75.5402926773264 | 1.20079363459888 |
13 | 76.7 | 83.7199431830938 | -7.32311650513967 | 77.0031733220458 | 7.01994318309384 |
14 | 74.2 | 77.5418275375623 | -6.94184159528943 | 77.8000140577272 | 3.34182753756227 |
15 | 75.8 | 74.135142078946 | -1.13199687235447 | 78.5968547934085 | -1.66485792105404 |
16 | 84.3 | 85.7533077623623 | 4.02756569534185 | 78.8191265422959 | 1.45330776236226 |
17 | 84.9 | 86.6857511794561 | 4.07285052936066 | 79.0413982911833 | 1.78575117945607 |
18 | 84.4 | 82.0521783772019 | 7.77127584775323 | 78.9765457750448 | -2.34782162279807 |
19 | 89.4 | 90.832895901271 | 9.05541083982264 | 78.9116932589064 | 1.43289590127095 |
20 | 88.5 | 93.0645067764384 | 5.25736665421236 | 78.6781265693492 | 4.56450677643845 |
21 | 76.5 | 73.7246891871947 | 0.830750933013364 | 78.444559879792 | -2.77531081280534 |
22 | 71.4 | 68.4108936224696 | -3.83452474526802 | 78.2236311227984 | -2.98910637753036 |
23 | 72.1 | 70.9399542985777 | -4.74265666438251 | 78.0027023658048 | -1.16004570142231 |
24 | 75.8 | 80.7151127809391 | -7.04108631192533 | 77.9259735309862 | 4.91511278093913 |
25 | 66.6 | 62.6738718089721 | -7.32311650513967 | 77.8492446961676 | -3.92612819102791 |
26 | 71.7 | 71.8940432720431 | -6.94184159528943 | 78.4477983232463 | 0.194043272043132 |
27 | 75.4 | 72.8856449220294 | -1.13199687235447 | 79.046351950325 | -2.51435507797058 |
28 | 80.9 | 76.7072284610794 | 4.02756569534185 | 81.0652058435788 | -4.19277153892064 |
29 | 80.7 | 74.2430897338068 | 4.07285052936066 | 83.0840597368325 | -6.4569102661932 |
30 | 85 | 75.7752132415345 | 7.77127584775323 | 86.4535109107123 | -9.2247867584655 |
31 | 91.5 | 84.1216270755854 | 9.05541083982264 | 89.822962084592 | -7.37837292441463 |
32 | 87.7 | 75.9391703380975 | 5.25736665421236 | 94.2034630076901 | -11.7608296619025 |
33 | 95.3 | 91.1852851361983 | 0.830750933013364 | 98.5839639307883 | -4.11471486380167 |
34 | 102.4 | 104.691189760457 | -3.83452474526802 | 103.943334984811 | 2.29118976045687 |
35 | 114.2 | 123.839950625548 | -4.74265666438251 | 109.302706038834 | 9.63995062554849 |
36 | 111.7 | 115.121874231292 | -7.04108631192533 | 115.319212080633 | 3.42187423129205 |
37 | 113.7 | 113.387398382707 | -7.32311650513967 | 121.335718122433 | -0.31260161729287 |
38 | 118.8 | 118.738105029557 | -6.94184159528943 | 125.803736565733 | -0.0618949704434897 |
39 | 129 | 128.860241863321 | -1.13199687235447 | 130.271755009033 | -0.139758136678836 |
40 | 136.4 | 138.15506955092 | 4.02756569534185 | 130.617364753738 | 1.75506955092015 |
41 | 155 | 174.964174972197 | 4.07285052936066 | 130.962974498443 | 19.9641749721966 |
42 | 166 | 197.03932549272 | 7.77127584775323 | 127.189398659526 | 31.0393254927204 |
43 | 168.7 | 204.928766339567 | 9.05541083982264 | 123.41582282061 | 36.2287663395673 |
44 | 145.5 | 168.60937247187 | 5.25736665421236 | 117.133260873918 | 23.1093724718695 |
45 | 127.3 | 142.91855013976 | 0.830750933013364 | 110.850698927226 | 15.6185501397604 |
46 | 91.5 | 83.5233390501997 | -3.83452474526802 | 103.311185695068 | -7.9766609498003 |
47 | 69 | 46.9709842014721 | -4.74265666438251 | 95.7716724629104 | -22.0290157985279 |
48 | 54 | 26.3727749315685 | -7.04108631192533 | 88.6683113803568 | -27.6272250684315 |
49 | 56.3 | 38.3581662073365 | -7.32311650513967 | 81.5649502978031 | -17.9418337926635 |
50 | 54.2 | 37.954323366392 | -6.94184159528943 | 77.3875182288974 | -16.245676633608 |
51 | 59.3 | 46.5219107123628 | -1.13199687235447 | 73.2100861599917 | -12.7780892876372 |
52 | 63.4 | 49.519157933686 | 4.02756569534185 | 73.2532763709722 | -13.880842066314 |
53 | 73.3 | 69.2306828886866 | 4.07285052936066 | 73.2964665819527 | -4.06931711131335 |
54 | 86.7 | 89.3796234709416 | 7.77127584775323 | 76.2491006813052 | 2.67962347094155 |
55 | 81.3 | 74.3428543795196 | 9.05541083982264 | 79.2017347806578 | -6.9571456204804 |
56 | 89.6 | 91.0904794927493 | 5.25736665421236 | 82.8521538530383 | 1.49047949274933 |
57 | 85.3 | 83.2666761415678 | 0.830750933013364 | 86.5025729254188 | -2.03332385843221 |
58 | 92.4 | 99.1572398737242 | -3.83452474526802 | 89.4772848715438 | 6.75723987372422 |
59 | 96.8 | 105.890659846714 | -4.74265666438251 | 92.4519968176688 | 9.09065984671373 |
60 | 93.6 | 100.23729007076 | -7.04108631192533 | 94.0037962411655 | 6.63729007075985 |
61 | 97.6 | 106.967520840477 | -7.32311650513967 | 95.5555956646622 | 9.36752084047748 |
62 | 94.2 | 99.2585318743629 | -6.94184159528943 | 96.0833097209265 | 5.05853187436293 |
63 | 99.9 | 104.320973095164 | -1.13199687235447 | 96.6110237771908 | 4.42097309516363 |
64 | 106.4 | 111.747516304464 | 4.02756569534185 | 97.0249180001939 | 5.34751630446424 |
65 | 96 | 90.4883372474423 | 4.07285052936066 | 97.438812223197 | -5.51166275255767 |
66 | 94.9 | 83.3903622231846 | 7.77127584775323 | 98.6383619290622 | -11.5096377768154 |
67 | 94.8 | 80.70667752525 | 9.05541083982264 | 99.8379116349274 | -14.09332247475 |
68 | 95.9 | 84.168792363553 | 5.25736665421236 | 102.373840982235 | -11.7312076364471 |
69 | 96.2 | 86.6594787374446 | 0.830750933013364 | 104.909770329542 | -9.54052126255537 |
70 | 103.1 | 101.469178406729 | -3.83452474526802 | 108.565346338539 | -1.63082159327072 |
71 | 106.9 | 106.321734316847 | -4.74265666438251 | 112.220922347535 | -0.578265683152978 |
72 | 114.2 | 119.446019906191 | -7.04108631192533 | 115.995066405734 | 5.24601990619085 |
73 | 118.2 | 123.953906041206 | -7.32311650513967 | 119.769210463933 | 5.75390604120621 |
74 | 123.9 | 132.09010883286 | -6.94184159528943 | 122.651732762429 | 8.19010883286009 |
75 | 137.1 | 149.797741811429 | -1.13199687235447 | 125.534255060925 | 12.6977418114293 |
76 | 146.2 | 161.631660292943 | 4.02756569534185 | 126.740774011715 | 15.4316602929432 |
77 | 136.4 | 140.779856508135 | 4.07285052936066 | 127.947292962505 | 4.37985650813465 |
78 | 133.2 | 129.456859206803 | 7.77127584775323 | 129.171864945444 | -3.74314079319691 |
79 | 135.9 | 132.348152231795 | 9.05541083982264 | 130.396436928383 | -3.55184776820529 |
80 | 127.1 | 117.548743592088 | 5.25736665421236 | 131.3938897537 | -9.55125640791205 |
81 | 128.5 | 123.77790648797 | 0.830750933013364 | 132.391342579017 | -4.72209351203007 |
82 | 126.6 | 123.81720348344 | -3.83452474526802 | 133.217321261828 | -2.78279651655973 |
83 | 132.6 | 135.899356719744 | -4.74265666438251 | 134.043299944639 | 3.29935671974368 |
84 | 130.9 | 134.032227302137 | -7.04108631192533 | 134.808859009789 | 3.13222730213678 |