Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1301 | 0 | 131 |
Trend | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 178421 | 190175.955111803 | -624.849718545118 | 167290.894606742 | 11754.9551118029 |
2 | 139871 | 131636.286439369 | 475.573713116861 | 147630.139847514 | -8234.71356063089 |
3 | 118159 | 108493.324994838 | -1339.68490787443 | 129164.359913036 | -9665.67500516167 |
4 | 109763 | 105350.649791482 | 1488.96088179898 | 112686.389326719 | -4412.35020851756 |
5 | 97415 | 87223.0378135016 | -624.849718545118 | 108231.811905043 | -10191.9621864984 |
6 | 119190 | 132853.823237886 | 475.573713116861 | 105050.603048998 | 13663.8232378856 |
7 | 97903 | 95073.4377389072 | -1339.68490787443 | 102072.247168967 | -2829.56226109283 |
8 | 96953 | 96570.9810716669 | 1488.96088179898 | 95846.0580465341 | -382.018928333055 |
9 | 87888 | 85810.1195806154 | -624.849718545118 | 90590.7301379297 | -2077.88041938459 |
10 | 84637 | 79405.8176514171 | 475.573713116861 | 89392.6086354661 | -5231.18234858291 |
11 | 90549 | 91466.4880732922 | -1339.68490787443 | 90971.1968345822 | 917.488073292247 |
12 | 95680 | 97254.585492202 | 1488.96088179898 | 92616.453625999 | 1574.58549220201 |
13 | 99371 | 108114.153610377 | -624.849718545118 | 91252.6961081684 | 8743.15361037667 |
14 | 79984 | 70587.8178845765 | 475.573713116861 | 88904.6084023066 | -9396.18211542349 |
15 | 86752 | 89004.2757169119 | -1339.68490787443 | 85839.4091909625 | 2252.27571691191 |
16 | 85733 | 85527.1289671913 | 1488.96088179898 | 84449.9101510097 | -205.871032808704 |
17 | 84906 | 84469.4311597505 | -624.849718545118 | 85967.4185587946 | -436.568840249514 |
18 | 78356 | 65221.5942763285 | 475.573713116861 | 91014.8320105546 | -13134.4057236715 |
19 | 108895 | 125848.817609069 | -1339.68490787443 | 93280.8672988052 | 16953.8176090692 |
20 | 101768 | 111722.225255332 | 1488.96088179898 | 90324.8138628686 | 9954.22525533245 |
21 | 73285 | 65622.1253502633 | -624.849718545118 | 81572.7243682818 | -7662.87464973672 |
22 | 65724 | 59042.0682888995 | 475.573713116861 | 71930.3579979836 | -6681.93171110049 |
23 | 67457 | 68535.3068120663 | -1339.68490787443 | 67718.3780958081 | 1078.30681206629 |
24 | 67203 | 63924.0509790928 | 1488.96088179898 | 68992.9881391083 | -3278.94902090724 |
25 | 69273 | 67123.3813250889 | -624.849718545118 | 72047.4683934562 | -2149.61867491106 |
26 | 80807 | 86618.1981298077 | 475.573713116861 | 74520.2281570755 | 5811.19812980769 |
27 | 75129 | 76325.7968173623 | -1339.68490787443 | 75271.8880905121 | 1196.79681736232 |
28 | 74991 | 74769.2499469124 | 1488.96088179898 | 73723.7891712886 | -221.750053087599 |
29 | 68157 | 64607.2914507176 | -624.849718545118 | 72331.5582678275 | -3549.70854928238 |
30 | 73858 | 74126.5708776637 | 475.573713116861 | 73113.8554092194 | 268.570877663748 |
31 | 71349 | 66667.7184886686 | -1339.68490787443 | 77369.9664192058 | -4681.2815113314 |
32 | 85634 | 84429.3585758702 | 1488.96088179898 | 85349.6805423309 | -1204.64142412985 |
33 | 91624 | 86773.7003874851 | -624.849718545118 | 97099.14933106 | -4850.29961251488 |
34 | 116014 | 124468.410169654 | 475.573713116861 | 107084.01611723 | 8454.41016965357 |
35 | 120033 | 129623.99748934 | -1339.68490787443 | 111781.687418534 | 9590.99748934047 |
36 | 108651 | 101334.88111815 | 1488.96088179898 | 114478.158000051 | -7316.11888184957 |
37 | 105378 | 92387.9481350997 | -624.849718545118 | 118992.901583445 | -12990.0518649003 |
38 | 138939 | 151924.971589048 | 475.573713116861 | 125477.454697835 | 12985.9715890484 |
39 | 132974 | 132971.20495412 | -1339.68490787443 | 134316.479953754 | -2.79504587958218 |
40 | 135277 | 127238.335085751 | 1488.96088179898 | 141826.70403245 | -8038.66491424874 |
41 | 152741 | 157949.920665 | -624.849718545118 | 148156.929053546 | 5208.92066499958 |
42 | 158417 | 158328.177765055 | 475.573713116861 | 158030.248521828 | -88.8222349450225 |
43 | 157460 | 149990.193624683 | -1339.68490787443 | 166269.491283192 | -7469.80637531725 |
44 | 193997 | 220331.563826156 | 1488.96088179898 | 166173.475292045 | 26334.5638261556 |
45 | 154089 | 144988.319521975 | -624.849718545118 | 163814.53019657 | -9100.6804780252 |
46 | 147570 | 136165.889841606 | 475.573713116861 | 158498.536445277 | -11404.1101583944 |
47 | 162924 | 172163.380317213 | -1339.68490787443 | 155024.304590661 | 9239.38031721348 |
48 | 153629 | 145391.141741651 | 1488.96088179898 | 160377.89737655 | -8237.85825834921 |
49 | 155907 | 136276.075285285 | -624.849718545118 | 176162.77443326 | -19630.9247147147 |
50 | 197675 | 191747.615732286 | 475.573713116861 | 203126.810554598 | -5927.38426771449 |
51 | 250708 | 275124.782828162 | -1339.68490787443 | 227630.902079712 | 24416.7828281621 |
52 | 266652 | 300824.582201455 | 1488.96088179898 | 230990.456916746 | 34172.5822014548 |
53 | 209842 | 210426.958249448 | -624.849718545118 | 209881.891469097 | 584.958249447664 |
54 | 165826 | 152785.058849053 | 475.573713116861 | 178391.36743783 | -13040.9411509467 |
55 | 137152 | 119535.574293642 | -1339.68490787443 | 156108.110614232 | -17616.4257063578 |
56 | 150581 | 154616.342836889 | 1488.96088179898 | 145056.696281312 | 4035.34283688923 |
57 | 145973 | 154394.829718854 | -624.849718545118 | 138176.019999691 | 8421.82971885413 |
58 | 126532 | 122142.232028692 | 475.573713116861 | 130446.194258191 | -4389.76797130797 |
59 | 115437 | 110280.815236169 | -1339.68490787443 | 121932.869671705 | -5156.18476383075 |
60 | 119526 | 122855.788621041 | 1488.96088179898 | 114707.25049716 | 3329.78862104079 |
61 | 110856 | 113044.382442181 | -624.849718545118 | 109292.467276364 | 2188.38244218095 |
62 | 97243 | 87364.2291255919 | 475.573713116861 | 106646.197161291 | -9878.77087440807 |
63 | 103876 | 102434.311499397 | -1339.68490787443 | 106657.373408477 | -1441.68850060289 |
64 | 116370 | 123550.153620982 | 1488.96088179898 | 107700.885497219 | 7180.15362098157 |
65 | 109616 | 113942.950525886 | -624.849718545118 | 105913.899192659 | 4326.95052588587 |
66 | 98365 | 96113.1476555436 | 475.573713116861 | 100141.27863134 | -2251.85234445641 |
67 | 90440 | 88026.3691384947 | -1339.68490787443 | 94193.3157693797 | -2413.63086150528 |
68 | 88899 | 85250.5280005265 | 1488.96088179898 | 91058.5111176746 | -3648.47199947355 |
69 | 92358 | 94547.6778440517 | -624.849718545118 | 90793.1718744934 | 2189.67784405171 |
70 | 88394 | 81746.8620660548 | 475.573713116861 | 94565.5642208283 | -6647.13793394515 |
71 | 98219 | 97833.0723073284 | -1339.68490787443 | 99944.612600546 | -385.927692671554 |
72 | 113546 | 123759.988634502 | 1488.96088179898 | 101843.050483699 | 10213.9886345022 |
73 | 107168 | 117929.528045242 | -624.849718545118 | 97031.3216733027 | 10761.5280452424 |
74 | 77540 | 66652.092427728 | 475.573713116861 | 87952.3338591552 | -10887.907572272 |
75 | 74944 | 72112.6026026191 | -1339.68490787443 | 79115.0823052553 | -2831.3973973809 |
76 | 75641 | 72915.835145099 | 1488.96088179898 | 76877.203973102 | -2725.16485490103 |
77 | 75910 | 72943.9240431159 | -624.849718545118 | 79500.9256754292 | -2966.0759568841 |
78 | 87384 | 92362.6579023794 | 475.573713116861 | 81929.7683845038 | 4978.65790237936 |
79 | 84615 | 87568.5533317347 | -1339.68490787443 | 83001.1315761398 | 2953.55333173466 |
80 | 80420 | 77133.1264794088 | 1488.96088179898 | 82217.9126387922 | -3286.87352059121 |
81 | 80784 | 81259.7724938361 | -624.849718545118 | 80933.077224709 | 475.772493836106 |
82 | 79933 | 77411.8162321939 | 475.573713116861 | 81978.6100546892 | -2521.18376780608 |
83 | 82118 | 78728.0102531394 | -1339.68490787443 | 86847.674654735 | -3389.98974686062 |
84 | 91420 | 85786.5734013661 | 1488.96088179898 | 95564.4657168349 | -5633.42659863389 |
85 | 112426 | 119125.288325998 | -624.849718545118 | 106351.561392547 | 6699.28832599844 |
86 | 114528 | 112411.322278374 | 475.573713116861 | 116169.104008509 | -2116.67772162607 |
87 | 131025 | 144161.188733046 | -1339.68490787443 | 119228.496174828 | 13136.1887330463 |
88 | 116460 | 108894.905696684 | 1488.96088179898 | 122536.133421517 | -7565.09430331581 |
89 | 111258 | 92946.8463444983 | -624.849718545118 | 130194.003374047 | -18311.1536555017 |
90 | 155318 | 172072.535952229 | 475.573713116861 | 138087.890334654 | 16754.5359522288 |
91 | 155078 | 167445.140760427 | -1339.68490787443 | 144050.544147447 | 12367.1407604275 |
92 | 134794 | 118337.252710541 | 1488.96088179898 | 149761.78640766 | -16456.7472894588 |
93 | 139985 | 122166.299597342 | -624.849718545118 | 158428.550121203 | -17818.7004026575 |
94 | 198778 | 229383.365266537 | 475.573713116861 | 167697.061020346 | 30605.3652665371 |
95 | 172436 | 167865.478474795 | -1339.68490787443 | 178346.206433079 | -4570.52152520471 |
96 | 169585 | 144429.309802732 | 1488.96088179898 | 193251.729315469 | -25155.6901972682 |
97 | 203702 | 194386.944089082 | -624.849718545118 | 213641.905629463 | -9315.05591091796 |
98 | 282392 | 337933.472380504 | 475.573713116861 | 226374.953906379 | 55541.4723805041 |
99 | 220658 | 209712.765688091 | -1339.68490787443 | 232942.919219783 | -10945.234311909 |
100 | 194472 | 156232.676392683 | 1488.96088179898 | 231222.362725518 | -38239.3236073168 |
101 | 269246 | 312875.612795663 | -624.849718545118 | 226241.236922882 | 43629.6127956627 |
102 | 215340 | 204261.343662341 | 475.573713116861 | 225943.082624542 | -11078.6563376588 |
103 | 218319 | 225486.881253173 | -1339.68490787443 | 212490.803654702 | 7167.88125317288 |
104 | 195724 | 194275.819184989 | 1488.96088179898 | 195683.219933212 | -1448.180815011 |
105 | 174614 | 168386.18989429 | -624.849718545118 | 181466.659824255 | -6227.81010570962 |
106 | 172085 | 171833.269602618 | 475.573713116861 | 171861.156684265 | -251.730397382256 |
107 | 152347 | 134690.39000309 | -1339.68490787443 | 171343.294904785 | -17656.6099969101 |
108 | 189615 | 207903.241046045 | 1488.96088179898 | 169837.798072156 | 18288.2410460446 |
109 | 173804 | 183815.585075278 | -624.849718545118 | 164417.264643267 | 10011.5850752777 |
110 | 145683 | 139097.613030094 | 475.573713116861 | 151792.813256789 | -6585.38696990605 |
111 | 133550 | 133075.169959227 | -1339.68490787443 | 135364.514948648 | -474.830040773173 |
112 | 121156 | 116430.498844258 | 1488.96088179898 | 124392.540273943 | -4725.50115574179 |
113 | 112040 | 104495.491583267 | -624.849718545118 | 120209.358135278 | -7544.50841673255 |
114 | 120767 | 119264.248611086 | 475.573713116861 | 121794.177675797 | -1502.75138891354 |
115 | 127019 | 130436.196454538 | -1339.68490787443 | 124941.488453337 | 3417.19645453789 |
116 | 136295 | 147469.978777171 | 1488.96088179898 | 123631.06034103 | 11174.9787771706 |
117 | 113425 | 109634.109321984 | -624.849718545118 | 117840.740396561 | -3790.89067801618 |
118 | 107815 | 105986.925211436 | 475.573713116861 | 109167.501075447 | -1828.07478856378 |
119 | 100298 | 99379.1413341647 | -1339.68490787443 | 102556.54357371 | -918.858665835272 |
120 | 97048 | 93112.3659205624 | 1488.96088179898 | 99494.6731976386 | -3935.6340794376 |
121 | 98750 | 99594.0383235187 | -624.849718545118 | 98530.8113950264 | 844.038323518733 |
122 | 98235 | 92765.3199568708 | 475.573713116861 | 103229.106330012 | -5469.68004312919 |
123 | 101254 | 90415.1680191101 | -1339.68490787443 | 113432.516888764 | -10838.8319808899 |
124 | 139589 | 159208.609613989 | 1488.96088179898 | 118480.429504212 | 19619.6096139887 |
125 | 134921 | 157219.138124757 | -624.849718545118 | 113247.711593788 | 22298.1381247567 |
126 | 80355 | 59700.3125602878 | 475.573713116861 | 100534.113726595 | -20654.6874397122 |
127 | 80396 | 75895.3072080487 | -1339.68490787443 | 86236.3776998257 | -4500.6927919513 |
128 | 82183 | 78570.3080653795 | 1488.96088179898 | 84306.7310528215 | -3612.69193462047 |
129 | 79709 | 76078.1067233462 | -624.849718545118 | 83964.742995199 | -3630.89327665385 |
130 | 90781 | 96561.6396317215 | 475.573713116861 | 84524.7866551617 | 5780.63963172145 |