Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Totale_industrie[t] = -0.892024032278412 + 0.0909930217903144`Voedings-en_genotmiddelen`[t] + 0.0360180253190341Textiel_en_kleding[t] -0.00503279796129003Leer_en_schoeisel[t] + 0.00667328507354064Hout[t] + 0.0638323584917605Papier_en_karton[t] + 0.0129364130340047`Cokes_raffinage_splijt-en_kweekstoffen`[t] + 0.134624727987984Chemische_nijverheid[t] + 0.0421320457363634`Rubber-en_kunststof`[t] + 0.0406572356994023`Niet-metaalhoudende_minerale_producten`[t] + 0.10254413237684Metallurgie_en_producten_van_metaal[t] + 0.0353760022865413Machines[t] + 0.0571353963706806Elektronische_apparaten[t] + 0.0681946371740258Transportmiddelen[t] + 0.0157184086087146Overige_industrie[t] + 0.0960626980551969Elektriciteit_gas_en_water[t] + 0.212026573837518Bouwnijverheid[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -0.892024032278412 | 0.794558 | -1.1227 | 0.264115 | 0.132058 |
`Voedings-en_genotmiddelen` | 0.0909930217903144 | 0.007009 | 12.9815 | 0 | 0 |
Textiel_en_kleding | 0.0360180253190341 | 0.005686 | 6.3345 | 0 | 0 |
Leer_en_schoeisel | -0.00503279796129003 | 0.001878 | -2.6806 | 0.008524 | 0.004262 |
Hout | 0.00667328507354064 | 0.006706 | 0.995 | 0.321978 | 0.160989 |
Papier_en_karton | 0.0638323584917605 | 0.007403 | 8.6228 | 0 | 0 |
`Cokes_raffinage_splijt-en_kweekstoffen` | 0.0129364130340047 | 0.003582 | 3.6113 | 0.000467 | 0.000234 |
Chemische_nijverheid | 0.134624727987984 | 0.005116 | 26.3154 | 0 | 0 |
`Rubber-en_kunststof` | 0.0421320457363634 | 0.007886 | 5.3428 | 1e-06 | 0 |
`Niet-metaalhoudende_minerale_producten` | 0.0406572356994023 | 0.006551 | 6.2058 | 0 | 0 |
Metallurgie_en_producten_van_metaal | 0.10254413237684 | 0.005413 | 18.9455 | 0 | 0 |
Machines | 0.0353760022865413 | 0.003611 | 9.7959 | 0 | 0 |
Elektronische_apparaten | 0.0571353963706806 | 0.00621 | 9.2006 | 0 | 0 |
Transportmiddelen | 0.0681946371740258 | 0.003777 | 18.0545 | 0 | 0 |
Overige_industrie | 0.0157184086087146 | 0.006083 | 2.584 | 0.011128 | 0.005564 |
Elektriciteit_gas_en_water | 0.0960626980551969 | 0.004672 | 20.5623 | 0 | 0 |
Bouwnijverheid | 0.212026573837518 | 0.005128 | 41.3469 | 0 | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.999405326964136 |
R-squared | 0.998811007564292 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.998631537007958 |
F-TEST (value) | 5565.31961548753 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 16 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 106 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.337486995484754 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 12.0731320448606 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 98.8 | 98.5577567804619 | 0.242243219538121 |
2 | 100.5 | 100.699601240932 | -0.199601240932247 |
3 | 110.4 | 110.547355256124 | -0.147355256124217 |
4 | 96.4 | 96.4339810666494 | -0.0339810666493447 |
5 | 101.9 | 102.380544444202 | -0.480544444202075 |
6 | 106.2 | 106.538811418088 | -0.338811418087566 |
7 | 81 | 79.7726549559404 | 1.22734504405962 |
8 | 94.7 | 95.3561212646981 | -0.656121264698147 |
9 | 101 | 101.253762260084 | -0.253762260084352 |
10 | 109.4 | 110.340898351089 | -0.940898351089477 |
11 | 102.3 | 102.453305030618 | -0.153305030618048 |
12 | 90.7 | 89.9046134213377 | 0.795386578662264 |
13 | 96.2 | 95.8446144053515 | 0.355385594648557 |
14 | 96.1 | 95.9068363939566 | 0.193163606043378 |
15 | 106 | 105.90723840662 | 0.0927615933795584 |
16 | 103.1 | 103.286708830121 | -0.186708830121241 |
17 | 102 | 102.080669228994 | -0.0806692289941631 |
18 | 104.7 | 104.79693461093 | -0.0969346109295801 |
19 | 86 | 84.9855560904817 | 1.01444390951835 |
20 | 92.1 | 92.0739718485341 | 0.0260281514659013 |
21 | 106.9 | 106.720688983858 | 0.179311016141535 |
22 | 112.6 | 112.925351695619 | -0.325351695618953 |
23 | 101.7 | 101.720981412391 | -0.020981412390698 |
24 | 92 | 91.2908742522999 | 0.709125747700074 |
25 | 97.4 | 97.2291418491915 | 0.170858150808502 |
26 | 97 | 96.7930187053777 | 0.206981294622308 |
27 | 105.4 | 105.445723207693 | -0.0457232076928077 |
28 | 102.7 | 102.722864227764 | -0.0228642277639452 |
29 | 98.1 | 98.2493413053251 | -0.149341305325144 |
30 | 104.5 | 104.66340742031 | -0.163407420310049 |
31 | 87.4 | 87.1090646237975 | 0.290935376202501 |
32 | 89.9 | 89.9162592995366 | -0.0162592995365896 |
33 | 109.8 | 109.925010200813 | -0.125010200813196 |
34 | 111.7 | 111.92166238425 | -0.22166238425005 |
35 | 98.6 | 98.7526397601647 | -0.152639760164726 |
36 | 96.9 | 96.7376749884536 | 0.162325011546376 |
37 | 95.1 | 95.1962995141239 | -0.096299514123919 |
38 | 97 | 96.9956035687097 | 0.00439643129031663 |
39 | 112.7 | 112.548878218474 | 0.151121781525538 |
40 | 102.9 | 102.922635466708 | -0.0226354667081136 |
41 | 97.4 | 97.3494161417778 | 0.0505838582222397 |
42 | 111.4 | 111.29398626595 | 0.106013734049583 |
43 | 87.4 | 87.2556286283927 | 0.144371371607341 |
44 | 96.8 | 96.9529573478676 | -0.152957347867582 |
45 | 114.1 | 114.263224051849 | -0.163224051848759 |
46 | 110.3 | 110.594927279357 | -0.294927279356727 |
47 | 103.9 | 104.08478838082 | -0.184788380820089 |
48 | 101.6 | 101.627830283115 | -0.0278302831148875 |
49 | 94.6 | 94.8917358772874 | -0.291735877287388 |
50 | 95.9 | 95.8087468182471 | 0.0912531817529165 |
51 | 104.7 | 104.660777109971 | 0.0392228900287611 |
52 | 102.8 | 102.86435591807 | -0.0643559180702024 |
53 | 98.1 | 98.1965851714609 | -0.0965851714608899 |
54 | 113.9 | 114.155775714195 | -0.255775714195412 |
55 | 80.9 | 81.1395264886898 | -0.239526488689794 |
56 | 95.7 | 95.8753586059762 | -0.175358605976157 |
57 | 113.2 | 113.048125388058 | 0.151874611942276 |
58 | 105.9 | 106.055647593324 | -0.155647593324425 |
59 | 108.8 | 108.674634058181 | 0.125365941818673 |
60 | 102.3 | 102.235535844971 | 0.0644641550291755 |
61 | 99 | 99.2790248519151 | -0.279024851915079 |
62 | 100.7 | 100.676900826055 | 0.0230991739445872 |
63 | 115.5 | 115.364445610028 | 0.135554389971574 |
64 | 100.7 | 100.598734896974 | 0.10126510302628 |
65 | 109.9 | 109.938471768648 | -0.0384717686481223 |
66 | 114.6 | 114.312578520591 | 0.287421479408735 |
67 | 85.4 | 85.7454141042399 | -0.34541410423991 |
68 | 100.5 | 100.565560130642 | -0.0655601306420495 |
69 | 114.8 | 114.570502594232 | 0.229497405767963 |
70 | 116.5 | 116.376212833135 | 0.123787166864743 |
71 | 112.9 | 112.870278018278 | 0.0297219817219961 |
72 | 102 | 102.256424266902 | -0.256424266901525 |
73 | 106 | 106.064505897664 | -0.0645058976636748 |
74 | 105.3 | 105.036047219801 | 0.263952780198837 |
75 | 118.8 | 118.682998776453 | 0.117001223547091 |
76 | 106.1 | 106.167239647341 | -0.0672396473409159 |
77 | 109.3 | 109.35025031685 | -0.0502503168504818 |
78 | 117.2 | 117.107335018966 | 0.0926649810343074 |
79 | 92.5 | 93.1069837633969 | -0.606983763396884 |
80 | 104.2 | 104.028556370051 | 0.171443629949164 |
81 | 112.5 | 112.222081979893 | 0.277918020106577 |
82 | 122.4 | 122.222774424281 | 0.177225575718881 |
83 | 113.3 | 113.785215282571 | -0.485215282570579 |
84 | 100 | 100.565469328286 | -0.565469328286298 |
85 | 110.7 | 110.907027405732 | -0.207027405731849 |
86 | 112.8 | 112.668616779351 | 0.131383220649382 |
87 | 109.8 | 109.888237705406 | -0.0882377054061573 |
88 | 117.3 | 117.292886542354 | 0.00711345764577858 |
89 | 109.1 | 109.170121251794 | -0.07012125179408 |
90 | 115.9 | 115.922450842893 | -0.022450842892944 |
91 | 96 | 96.5997806677185 | -0.599780667718511 |
92 | 99.8 | 99.3906675175268 | 0.409332482473164 |
93 | 116.8 | 116.419467196574 | 0.38053280342592 |
94 | 115.7 | 115.796602958529 | -0.0966029585291142 |
95 | 99.4 | 99.2926778557793 | 0.107322144220679 |
96 | 94.3 | 94.3960781915518 | -0.0960781915518369 |
97 | 91 | 90.9399177981152 | 0.0600822018848211 |
98 | 93.2 | 92.790464215242 | 0.409535784758028 |
99 | 103.1 | 102.756631174428 | 0.343368825572441 |
100 | 94.1 | 94.2103482714986 | -0.110348271498576 |
101 | 91.8 | 91.7589135413527 | 0.0410864586472573 |
102 | 102.7 | 102.591436066339 | 0.108563933661042 |
103 | 82.6 | 83.0530552609908 | -0.453055260990843 |
104 | 89.1 | 88.9665292849825 | 0.13347071501751 |
105 | 104.5 | 104.24279381525 | 0.257206184750364 |
106 | 105.1 | 105.000096933829 | 0.0999030661706089 |
107 | 95.1 | 95.3157920099971 | -0.215792009997097 |
108 | 88.7 | 88.9478853610632 | -0.247885361063195 |
109 | 86.3 | 86.5749870134143 | -0.274987013414349 |
110 | 91.8 | 91.6308238742104 | 0.169176125789609 |
111 | 111.5 | 111.028216642399 | 0.471783357600972 |
112 | 99.7 | 99.8439298903672 | -0.143929890367158 |
113 | 97.5 | 97.5737801574848 | -0.073780157484833 |
114 | 111.7 | 111.323707170726 | 0.376292829273883 |
115 | 86.2 | 86.4961765575762 | -0.296176557576228 |
116 | 95.4 | 95.814812139127 | -0.414812139126982 |
117 | 113 | 112.395570057982 | 0.604429942017732 |
118 | 111 | 110.651388460883 | 0.348611539117299 |
119 | 104.5 | 104.647923769082 | -0.147923769081546 |
120 | 97.3 | 97.4345189981018 | -0.134518998101792 |
121 | 97.1 | 97.6755145204678 | -0.575514520467835 |
122 | 104.1 | 103.650601402507 | 0.449398597492897 |
123 | 119.3 | 118.706944892543 | 0.593055107457419 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
20 | 0.0984368517571241 | 0.196873703514248 | 0.901563148242876 |
21 | 0.384403119618108 | 0.768806239236216 | 0.615596880381892 |
22 | 0.264693339398623 | 0.529386678797246 | 0.735306660601377 |
23 | 0.173779751905181 | 0.347559503810362 | 0.826220248094819 |
24 | 0.150439528606069 | 0.300879057212138 | 0.849560471393931 |
25 | 0.184803960545181 | 0.369607921090363 | 0.815196039454819 |
26 | 0.146805550679515 | 0.293611101359031 | 0.853194449320485 |
27 | 0.177897659318993 | 0.355795318637987 | 0.822102340681007 |
28 | 0.127684149125709 | 0.255368298251419 | 0.872315850874291 |
29 | 0.122595367377921 | 0.245190734755842 | 0.877404632622079 |
30 | 0.0856007897030872 | 0.171201579406174 | 0.914399210296913 |
31 | 0.309931296326581 | 0.619862592653162 | 0.690068703673419 |
32 | 0.370535145474286 | 0.741070290948572 | 0.629464854525714 |
33 | 0.447822848945543 | 0.895645697891086 | 0.552177151054457 |
34 | 0.449751339341983 | 0.899502678683966 | 0.550248660658017 |
35 | 0.420249515723299 | 0.840499031446597 | 0.579750484276701 |
36 | 0.441080635118364 | 0.882161270236727 | 0.558919364881636 |
37 | 0.370036576079506 | 0.740073152159011 | 0.629963423920495 |
38 | 0.399096760579014 | 0.798193521158027 | 0.600903239420986 |
39 | 0.686384782167626 | 0.627230435664748 | 0.313615217832374 |
40 | 0.63139124792145 | 0.737217504157101 | 0.36860875207855 |
41 | 0.566228349724954 | 0.867543300550092 | 0.433771650275046 |
42 | 0.694985642725109 | 0.610028714549782 | 0.305014357274891 |
43 | 0.870350920535022 | 0.259298158929955 | 0.129649079464977 |
44 | 0.837265520564294 | 0.325468958871412 | 0.162734479435706 |
45 | 0.861643718303005 | 0.276712563393989 | 0.138356281696995 |
46 | 0.870981385094791 | 0.258037229810418 | 0.129018614905209 |
47 | 0.905344777185354 | 0.189310445629292 | 0.0946552228146458 |
48 | 0.883508552333719 | 0.232982895332562 | 0.116491447666281 |
49 | 0.928606258249503 | 0.142787483500994 | 0.0713937417504971 |
50 | 0.910951081486517 | 0.178097837026966 | 0.0890489185134831 |
51 | 0.884213588100951 | 0.231572823798097 | 0.115786411899049 |
52 | 0.86412035264389 | 0.27175929471222 | 0.13587964735611 |
53 | 0.832069337811576 | 0.335861324376848 | 0.167930662188424 |
54 | 0.865183542947785 | 0.269632914104431 | 0.134816457052215 |
55 | 0.935723662291608 | 0.128552675416783 | 0.0642763377083916 |
56 | 0.946145106547515 | 0.107709786904971 | 0.0538548934524854 |
57 | 0.990061339345121 | 0.0198773213097575 | 0.00993866065487873 |
58 | 0.98831658696522 | 0.0233668260695609 | 0.0116834130347804 |
59 | 0.983683916308525 | 0.0326321673829491 | 0.0163160836914746 |
60 | 0.981575408510263 | 0.036849182979473 | 0.0184245914897365 |
61 | 0.978967101339646 | 0.0420657973207078 | 0.0210328986603539 |
62 | 0.971658656152911 | 0.0566826876941785 | 0.0283413438470892 |
63 | 0.977956411676594 | 0.0440871766468123 | 0.0220435883234062 |
64 | 0.973834386835419 | 0.0523312263291625 | 0.0261656131645812 |
65 | 0.966115656412072 | 0.067768687175857 | 0.0338843435879285 |
66 | 0.958973487798478 | 0.0820530244030433 | 0.0410265122015217 |
67 | 0.98890910011285 | 0.0221817997743006 | 0.0110908998871503 |
68 | 0.988675235107982 | 0.022649529784035 | 0.0113247648920175 |
69 | 0.987938324464248 | 0.024123351071504 | 0.012061675535752 |
70 | 0.984639871765498 | 0.0307202564690032 | 0.0153601282345016 |
71 | 0.980878311148563 | 0.0382433777028742 | 0.0191216888514371 |
72 | 0.982979663948076 | 0.0340406721038473 | 0.0170203360519236 |
73 | 0.978365165455868 | 0.043269669088263 | 0.0216348345441315 |
74 | 0.96983374294273 | 0.0603325141145397 | 0.0301662570572699 |
75 | 0.957990404153038 | 0.0840191916939233 | 0.0420095958469617 |
76 | 0.941302884634648 | 0.117394230730704 | 0.058697115365352 |
77 | 0.920625387744943 | 0.158749224510115 | 0.0793746122550573 |
78 | 0.8947063565729 | 0.2105872868542 | 0.1052936434271 |
79 | 0.931952472924626 | 0.136095054150749 | 0.0680475270753744 |
80 | 0.928835977580594 | 0.142328044838812 | 0.071164022419406 |
81 | 0.905145960791179 | 0.189708078417641 | 0.0948540392088206 |
82 | 0.878607780215534 | 0.242784439568933 | 0.121392219784467 |
83 | 0.970438935356863 | 0.0591221292862732 | 0.0295610646431366 |
84 | 0.991861439035849 | 0.0162771219283023 | 0.00813856096415113 |
85 | 0.989152308749518 | 0.0216953825009646 | 0.0108476912504823 |
86 | 0.986020593719236 | 0.0279588125615289 | 0.0139794062807645 |
87 | 0.978530353132417 | 0.0429392937351668 | 0.0214696468675834 |
88 | 0.978796370403986 | 0.0424072591920275 | 0.0212036295960137 |
89 | 0.96907517561297 | 0.0618496487740609 | 0.0309248243870304 |
90 | 0.96542430953592 | 0.0691513809281598 | 0.0345756904640799 |
91 | 0.969876107718594 | 0.0602477845628126 | 0.0301238922814063 |
92 | 0.972198659773512 | 0.0556026804529752 | 0.0278013402264876 |
93 | 0.967245742342236 | 0.065508515315527 | 0.0327542576577635 |
94 | 0.98973263654649 | 0.0205347269070197 | 0.0102673634535099 |
95 | 0.982522502530447 | 0.0349549949391054 | 0.0174774974695527 |
96 | 0.982633733050356 | 0.0347325338992888 | 0.0173662669496444 |
97 | 0.974332172319048 | 0.0513356553619039 | 0.025667827680952 |
98 | 0.982771221118961 | 0.0344575577620783 | 0.0172287788810392 |
99 | 0.967588179487566 | 0.0648236410248675 | 0.0324118205124337 |
100 | 0.973551918493458 | 0.0528961630130839 | 0.026448081506542 |
101 | 0.939734563916305 | 0.120530872167391 | 0.0602654360836954 |
102 | 0.8713280269854 | 0.257343946029199 | 0.1286719730146 |
103 | 0.86290691199182 | 0.274186176016361 | 0.13709308800818 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 22 | 0.261904761904762 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 37 | 0.44047619047619 | NOK |