| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1531 | 0 | 154 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 7.5 | 7.65045848550052 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.12940619090829 | 0.150458485500522 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 7.17375944079402 | 0.148998266656503 | 7.07724229254947 | -0.0262405592059753 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 6.62013738713926 | -0.0452157813299203 | 7.02507839419066 | -0.179862612860736 |
| 4 | 6.7 | 6.67446652301981 | -0.245304449674301 | 6.97083792665449 | -0.0255334769801872 |
| 5 | 6.4 | 6.3441802480014 | -0.460777707119715 | 6.91659745911832 | -0.0558197519986035 |
| 6 | 6.3 | 6.25556874284986 | -0.515030634386979 | 6.85946189153712 | -0.0444312571501371 |
| 7 | 6.8 | 6.60541870999778 | 0.192254966046309 | 6.80232632395591 | -0.194581290002222 |
| 8 | 7.3 | 7.51272491696989 | 0.342858483455731 | 6.74441659957437 | 0.212724916969894 |
| 9 | 7.1 | 7.26618484411602 | 0.24730828069114 | 6.68650687519284 | 0.166184844116023 |
| 10 | 7 | 7.26418451395061 | 0.0976934327782194 | 6.63812205327118 | 0.264184513950606 |
| 11 | 6.8 | 7.04883234400384 | -0.0385695753533517 | 6.58973723134951 | 0.248832344003837 |
| 12 | 6.6 | 6.59691557154501 | 0.0556494461604461 | 6.54743498229454 | -0.00308442845498824 |
| 13 | 6.3 | 5.87473194316924 | 0.220135323591188 | 6.50513273323957 | -0.425268056830758 |
| 14 | 6.1 | 5.58319185891729 | 0.148998266656503 | 6.46780987442621 | -0.516808141082714 |
| 15 | 6.1 | 5.81472876571707 | -0.0452157813299203 | 6.43048701561285 | -0.285271234282931 |
| 16 | 6.3 | 6.39914959170265 | -0.245304449674301 | 6.44615485797165 | 0.0991495917026457 |
| 17 | 6.3 | 6.59895500678926 | -0.460777707119715 | 6.46182270033046 | 0.298955006789257 |
| 18 | 6 | 5.96972144355249 | -0.515030634386979 | 6.54530919083449 | -0.030278556447513 |
| 19 | 6.2 | 5.57894935261516 | 0.192254966046309 | 6.62879568133853 | -0.621050647384836 |
| 20 | 6.4 | 5.72327358544153 | 0.342858483455731 | 6.73386793110274 | -0.676726414558474 |
| 21 | 6.8 | 6.5137515384419 | 0.24730828069114 | 6.83894018086696 | -0.286248461558102 |
| 22 | 7.5 | 7.97155899158954 | 0.0976934327782194 | 6.93074757563224 | 0.471558991589537 |
| 23 | 7.5 | 8.01601460495582 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.02255497039753 | 0.516014604955823 |
| 24 | 7.6 | 8.03668707903327 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.10766347480628 | 0.436687079033276 |
| 25 | 7.6 | 7.78709269719378 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.19277197921503 | 0.187092697193784 |
| 26 | 7.4 | 7.38778489202984 | 0.148998266656503 | 7.26321684131366 | -0.0122151079701576 |
| 27 | 7.3 | 7.31155407791764 | -0.0452157813299203 | 7.33366170341228 | 0.011554077917638 |
| 28 | 7.1 | 7.06410382657586 | -0.245304449674301 | 7.38120062309844 | -0.0358961734241374 |
| 29 | 6.9 | 6.83203816433512 | -0.460777707119715 | 7.42873954278459 | -0.0679618356648772 |
| 30 | 6.8 | 6.63265114009098 | -0.515030634386979 | 7.482379494296 | -0.167348859909016 |
| 31 | 7.5 | 7.27172558814629 | 0.192254966046309 | 7.5360194458074 | -0.228274411853707 |
| 32 | 7.6 | 7.2517629065169 | 0.342858483455731 | 7.60537861002737 | -0.348237093483099 |
| 33 | 7.8 | 7.67795394506152 | 0.24730828069114 | 7.67473777424734 | -0.122046054938477 |
| 34 | 8 | 8.15531089802951 | 0.0976934327782194 | 7.74699566919228 | 0.155310898029505 |
| 35 | 8.1 | 8.41931601121614 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.81925356413721 | 0.319316011216136 |
| 36 | 8.2 | 8.45707061928042 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.88727993455913 | 0.257070619280424 |
| 37 | 8.3 | 8.42455837142777 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.95530630498104 | 0.124558371427769 |
| 38 | 8.2 | 8.24466145862264 | 0.148998266656503 | 8.00634027472085 | 0.0446614586226435 |
| 39 | 8 | 7.98784153686926 | -0.0452157813299203 | 8.05737424446066 | -0.0121584631307385 |
| 40 | 7.9 | 7.95570823082904 | -0.245304449674301 | 8.08959621884527 | 0.0557082308290351 |
| 41 | 7.6 | 7.53895951388984 | -0.460777707119715 | 8.12181819322987 | -0.0610404861101586 |
| 42 | 7.6 | 7.55873637723062 | -0.515030634386979 | 8.15629425715636 | -0.0412636227693817 |
| 43 | 8.3 | 8.21697471287084 | 0.192254966046309 | 8.19077032108285 | -0.0830252871291588 |
| 44 | 8.4 | 8.23011378425943 | 0.342858483455731 | 8.22702773228484 | -0.169886215740572 |
| 45 | 8.4 | 8.28940657582203 | 0.24730828069114 | 8.26328514348683 | -0.110593424177974 |
| 46 | 8.4 | 8.43081160700314 | 0.0976934327782194 | 8.27149496021864 | 0.0308116070031375 |
| 47 | 8.4 | 8.5588647984029 | -0.0385695753533517 | 8.27970477695045 | 0.158864798402902 |
| 48 | 8.6 | 8.86279978188593 | 0.0556494461604461 | 8.28155077195362 | 0.262799781885931 |
| 49 | 8.9 | 9.29646790945202 | 0.220135323591188 | 8.28339676695679 | 0.396467909452019 |
| 50 | 8.8 | 9.14044436137553 | 0.148998266656503 | 8.31055737196797 | 0.34044436137553 |
| 51 | 8.3 | 8.30749780435078 | -0.0452157813299203 | 8.33771797697914 | 0.00749780435078229 |
| 52 | 7.5 | 6.8855508646552 | -0.245304449674301 | 8.3597535850191 | -0.614449135344799 |
| 53 | 7.2 | 6.47898851406066 | -0.460777707119715 | 8.38178919305906 | -0.721011485939345 |
| 54 | 7.4 | 6.935102883567 | -0.515030634386979 | 8.37992775081998 | -0.464897116433005 |
| 55 | 8.8 | 9.02967872537278 | 0.192254966046309 | 8.37806630858091 | 0.22967872537278 |
| 56 | 9.3 | 9.86939332349133 | 0.342858483455731 | 8.38774819305294 | 0.569393323491326 |
| 57 | 9.3 | 9.95526164178388 | 0.24730828069114 | 8.39743007752498 | 0.655261641783882 |
| 58 | 8.7 | 8.87174356570318 | 0.0976934327782194 | 8.4305630015186 | 0.171743565703176 |
| 59 | 8.2 | 7.97487364984112 | -0.0385695753533517 | 8.46369592551223 | -0.225126350158877 |
| 60 | 8.3 | 8.06916993570938 | 0.0556494461604461 | 8.47518061813018 | -0.230830064290624 |
| 61 | 8.5 | 8.29319936566068 | 0.220135323591188 | 8.48666531074813 | -0.206800634339317 |
| 62 | 8.6 | 8.58538053590639 | 0.148998266656503 | 8.46562119743711 | -0.0146194640936113 |
| 63 | 8.5 | 8.60063869720383 | -0.0452157813299203 | 8.44457708412609 | 0.100638697203834 |
| 64 | 8.2 | 8.21097389585364 | -0.245304449674301 | 8.43433055382065 | 0.0109738958536454 |
| 65 | 8.1 | 8.23669368360449 | -0.460777707119715 | 8.42408402351522 | 0.136693683604493 |
| 66 | 7.9 | 7.88329121987601 | -0.515030634386979 | 8.43173941451097 | -0.0167087801239916 |
| 67 | 8.6 | 8.56835022844697 | 0.192254966046309 | 8.43939480550672 | -0.0316497715530328 |
| 68 | 8.7 | 8.60836599397626 | 0.342858483455731 | 8.44877552256801 | -0.0916340060237442 |
| 69 | 8.7 | 8.69453547967955 | 0.24730828069114 | 8.4581562396293 | -0.00546452032044442 |
| 70 | 8.5 | 8.42974065192793 | 0.0976934327782194 | 8.47256591529385 | -0.070259348072069 |
| 71 | 8.4 | 8.35159398439496 | -0.0385695753533517 | 8.4869755909584 | -0.0484060156050443 |
| 72 | 8.5 | 8.4539645230102 | 0.0556494461604461 | 8.49038603082936 | -0.0460354769898021 |
| 73 | 8.7 | 8.68606820570849 | 0.220135323591188 | 8.49379647070032 | -0.0139317942915067 |
| 74 | 8.7 | 8.78438481388192 | 0.148998266656503 | 8.46661691946158 | 0.0843848138819165 |
| 75 | 8.6 | 8.80577841310708 | -0.0452157813299203 | 8.43943736822284 | 0.205778413107081 |
| 76 | 8.5 | 8.8553206455675 | -0.245304449674301 | 8.3899838041068 | 0.355320645567502 |
| 77 | 8.3 | 8.72024746712896 | -0.460777707119715 | 8.34053023999076 | 0.420247467128959 |
| 78 | 8 | 8.23611986980151 | -0.515030634386979 | 8.27891076458547 | 0.236119869801506 |
| 79 | 8.2 | 7.9904537447735 | 0.192254966046309 | 8.21729128918019 | -0.209546255226499 |
| 80 | 8.1 | 7.70658869980784 | 0.342858483455731 | 8.15055281673642 | -0.393411300192155 |
| 81 | 8.1 | 7.8688773750162 | 0.24730828069114 | 8.08381434429266 | -0.231122624983799 |
| 82 | 8 | 7.87164040132429 | 0.0976934327782194 | 8.03066616589749 | -0.128359598675712 |
| 83 | 7.9 | 7.86105158785103 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.97751798750233 | -0.038948412148974 |
| 84 | 7.9 | 7.80954621299164 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.93480434084792 | -0.0904537870083644 |
| 85 | 8 | 7.8877739822153 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.89209069419351 | -0.112226017784699 |
| 86 | 8 | 8.0173296837992 | 0.148998266656503 | 7.83367204954429 | 0.0173296837992032 |
| 87 | 7.9 | 8.06996237643484 | -0.0452157813299203 | 7.77525340489508 | 0.169962376434843 |
| 88 | 8 | 8.5506033991838 | -0.245304449674301 | 7.6947010504905 | 0.550603399183801 |
| 89 | 7.7 | 8.2466290110338 | -0.460777707119715 | 7.61414869608592 | 0.546629011033795 |
| 90 | 7.2 | 7.38534770769189 | -0.515030634386979 | 7.52968292669509 | 0.185347707691886 |
| 91 | 7.5 | 7.36252787664942 | 0.192254966046309 | 7.44521715730427 | -0.137472123350578 |
| 92 | 7.3 | 6.9051311101598 | 0.342858483455731 | 7.35201040638447 | -0.394868889840204 |
| 93 | 7 | 6.49388806384418 | 0.24730828069114 | 7.25880365546468 | -0.506111936155818 |
| 94 | 7 | 6.74223050471815 | 0.0976934327782194 | 7.16007606250363 | -0.25776949528185 |
| 95 | 7 | 6.97722110581077 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.06134846954258 | -0.0227788941892335 |
| 96 | 7.2 | 7.33135351069343 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.01299704314612 | 0.131353510693434 |
| 97 | 7.3 | 7.41521905965916 | 0.220135323591188 | 6.96464561674965 | 0.115219059659157 |
| 98 | 7.1 | 7.07450708539299 | 0.148998266656503 | 6.97649464795051 | -0.0254929146070131 |
| 99 | 6.8 | 6.65687210217855 | -0.0452157813299203 | 6.98834367915137 | -0.143127897821446 |
| 100 | 6.4 | 6.04653167369255 | -0.245304449674301 | 6.99877277598175 | -0.353468326307453 |
| 101 | 6.1 | 5.65157583430757 | -0.460777707119715 | 7.00920187281214 | -0.448424165692425 |
| 102 | 6.5 | 6.49761102745232 | -0.515030634386979 | 7.01741960693465 | -0.00238897254767512 |
| 103 | 7.7 | 8.18210769289652 | 0.192254966046309 | 7.02563734105717 | 0.482107692896523 |
| 104 | 7.9 | 8.37685666639531 | 0.342858483455731 | 7.08028485014897 | 0.476856666395304 |
| 105 | 7.5 | 7.6177593600681 | 0.24730828069114 | 7.13493235924076 | 0.117759360068096 |
| 106 | 6.9 | 6.48155452646605 | 0.0976934327782194 | 7.22075204075573 | -0.418445473533953 |
| 107 | 6.6 | 5.93199785308265 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.3065717222707 | -0.668002146917352 |
| 108 | 6.9 | 6.36270971142741 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.38164084241215 | -0.537290288572594 |
| 109 | 7.7 | 7.72315471385522 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.45670996255359 | 0.0231547138552175 |
| 110 | 8 | 8.32574943651342 | 0.148998266656503 | 7.52525229683008 | 0.325749436513418 |
| 111 | 8 | 8.45142115022336 | -0.0452157813299203 | 7.59379463110656 | 0.451421150223358 |
| 112 | 7.7 | 7.96931881626725 | -0.245304449674301 | 7.67598563340706 | 0.269318816267245 |
| 113 | 7.3 | 7.30260107141217 | -0.460777707119715 | 7.75817663570755 | 0.00260107141216626 |
| 114 | 7.4 | 7.48093192559042 | -0.515030634386979 | 7.83409870879656 | 0.0809319255904191 |
| 115 | 8.1 | 8.09772425206812 | 0.192254966046309 | 7.91002078188557 | -0.0022757479318809 |
| 116 | 8.3 | 8.28970560846751 | 0.342858483455731 | 7.96743590807676 | -0.0102943915324873 |
| 117 | 8.1 | 7.92784068504092 | 0.24730828069114 | 8.02485103426794 | -0.172159314959083 |
| 118 | 7.9 | 7.62112416552885 | 0.0976934327782194 | 8.08118240169293 | -0.278875834471148 |
| 119 | 7.9 | 7.70105580623544 | -0.0385695753533517 | 8.13751376911792 | -0.198944193764564 |
| 120 | 8.3 | 8.34706179120109 | 0.0556494461604461 | 8.19728876263846 | 0.0470617912010898 |
| 121 | 8.6 | 8.7228009202498 | 0.220135323591188 | 8.25706375615901 | 0.122800920249796 |
| 122 | 8.7 | 8.94686578956072 | 0.148998266656503 | 8.30413594378277 | 0.246865789560722 |
| 123 | 8.5 | 8.69400764992339 | -0.0452157813299203 | 8.35120813140653 | 0.194007649923389 |
| 124 | 8.3 | 8.48338594069274 | -0.245304449674301 | 8.36191850898156 | 0.183385940692741 |
| 125 | 8 | 8.08814882056313 | -0.460777707119715 | 8.37262888655659 | 0.0881488205631289 |
| 126 | 8 | 8.19403456953769 | -0.515030634386979 | 8.32099606484929 | 0.194034569537692 |
| 127 | 8.8 | 9.13838179081171 | 0.192254966046309 | 8.26936324314199 | 0.338381790811706 |
| 128 | 8.7 | 8.89971781703521 | 0.342858483455731 | 8.15742369950906 | 0.199717817035213 |
| 129 | 8.5 | 8.70720756343273 | 0.24730828069114 | 8.04548415587613 | 0.207207563432732 |
| 130 | 8.1 | 8.1970793641175 | 0.0976934327782194 | 7.90522720310428 | 0.0970793641175014 |
| 131 | 7.8 | 7.87359932502092 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.76497025033243 | 0.0735993250209219 |
| 132 | 7.7 | 7.7047299561695 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.63962059767005 | 0.00472995616950111 |
| 133 | 7.5 | 7.26559373140113 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.51427094500768 | -0.234406268598866 |
| 134 | 7.2 | 6.82233290589789 | 0.148998266656503 | 7.42866882744561 | -0.37766709410211 |
| 135 | 6.9 | 6.50214907144638 | -0.0452157813299203 | 7.34306670988354 | -0.397850928553617 |
| 136 | 6.6 | 6.15596333661242 | -0.245304449674301 | 7.28934111306187 | -0.444036663387575 |
| 137 | 6.5 | 6.2251621908795 | -0.460777707119715 | 7.23561551624021 | -0.274837809120497 |
| 138 | 6.6 | 6.50675607487941 | -0.515030634386979 | 7.20827455950757 | -0.0932439251205865 |
| 139 | 7.7 | 8.02681143117877 | 0.192254966046309 | 7.18093360277492 | 0.326811431178772 |
| 140 | 8 | 8.47476948543962 | 0.342858483455731 | 7.18237203110465 | 0.474769485439624 |
| 141 | 7.7 | 7.96888125987449 | 0.24730828069114 | 7.18381045943437 | 0.268881259874488 |
| 142 | 7.2 | 7.10311136127777 | 0.0976934327782194 | 7.19919520594401 | -0.0968886387222305 |
| 143 | 7 | 6.8239896228997 | -0.0385695753533517 | 7.21457995245365 | -0.176010377100298 |
| 144 | 7 | 6.70999292539733 | 0.0556494461604461 | 7.23435762844223 | -0.290007074602672 |
| 145 | 7.3 | 7.12572937197801 | 0.220135323591188 | 7.2541353044308 | -0.17427062802199 |
| 146 | 7.3 | 7.17228445191105 | 0.148998266656503 | 7.27871728143245 | -0.12771554808895 |
| 147 | 7.1 | 6.94191652289583 | -0.0452157813299203 | 7.30329925843409 | -0.158083477104173 |
| 148 | 7 | 6.91573329321463 | -0.245304449674301 | 7.32957115645967 | -0.0842667067853675 |
| 149 | 7 | 7.10493465263447 | -0.460777707119715 | 7.35584305448524 | 0.104934652634471 |
| 150 | 7 | 7.12812043341036 | -0.515030634386979 | 7.38691020097662 | 0.128120433410358 |
| 151 | 7.7 | 7.78976768648569 | 0.192254966046309 | 7.417977347468 | 0.0897676864856933 |
| 152 | 7.9 | 8.00356186528238 | 0.342858483455731 | 7.45357965126189 | 0.103561865282377 |
| 153 | 7.7 | 7.66350976425307 | 0.24730828069114 | 7.48918195505579 | -0.0364902357469266 |
