Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[366])
354745.3-------
355694.1-------
356675.7-------
357643.7-------
358622.1-------
359634.6-------
360588-------
361689.7-------
362673.9-------
363647.9-------
364568.8-------
365545.7-------
366632.6-------
367643.8538.1470.3921605.80790.00110.003100.0031
368593.1476.4325.0006627.79940.06540.01510.00490.0216
369579.7401.1147.7604654.43960.08350.06870.03030.0366
370546336.2-34.6513707.05130.13380.09910.06540.0586
371562.9305.4-196.735807.5350.15740.17380.09940.1008
372572.5215.5-430.3919861.39190.13930.14590.12920.1028


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
3670.06420.1964011172.4900
3680.16210.2450.220713618.8912395.69111.3359
3690.32230.44530.295631897.9618896.4467137.4643
3700.56280.6240.377744016.0425176.345158.6706
3710.83890.84320.470866306.2533402.326182.763
3721.52921.65660.668412744949076.7717221.5328