Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 751 | 0 | 76 |
Trend | 11 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9700 | 10009.4125168222 | 52.1688095727502 | 9338.41867360501 | 309.412516822236 |
2 | 9081 | 9082.6576853216 | -270.651560258269 | 9349.99387493667 | 1.65768532160291 |
3 | 9084 | 8915.89927959583 | -109.468355864149 | 9361.56907626832 | -168.100720404169 |
4 | 9743 | 9768.43176462172 | 327.463428436556 | 9390.10480694172 | 25.4317646217241 |
5 | 8587 | 7937.36951277889 | -182.010050394014 | 9418.64053761512 | -649.630487221108 |
6 | 9731 | 9790.63566698778 | 182.497919715837 | 9488.86641329638 | 59.6356669877823 |
7 | 9563 | 9514.73890144961 | 52.1688095727502 | 9559.09228897764 | -48.2610985503889 |
8 | 9998 | 10628.6432570022 | -270.651560258269 | 9638.00830325608 | 630.643257002186 |
9 | 9437 | 9266.54403832962 | -109.468355864149 | 9716.92431753453 | -170.455961670377 |
10 | 10038 | 10068.9836299535 | 327.463428436556 | 9679.55294160998 | 30.9836299534654 |
11 | 9918 | 10375.8284847086 | -182.010050394014 | 9642.18156568543 | 457.828484708582 |
12 | 9252 | 8774.02015818712 | 182.497919715837 | 9547.48192209704 | -477.979841812878 |
13 | 9737 | 9969.0489119186 | 52.1688095727502 | 9452.78227850865 | 232.048911918602 |
14 | 9035 | 8982.56170084463 | -270.651560258269 | 9358.08985941364 | -52.4382991553684 |
15 | 9133 | 9112.07091554552 | -109.468355864149 | 9263.39744031863 | -20.9290844544776 |
16 | 9487 | 9422.34788574634 | 327.463428436556 | 9224.18868581711 | -64.6521142536621 |
17 | 8700 | 8397.03011907843 | -182.010050394014 | 9184.97993131558 | -302.96988092157 |
18 | 9627 | 9873.65505407779 | 182.497919715837 | 9197.84702620637 | 246.655054077792 |
19 | 8947 | 8631.11706933009 | 52.1688095727502 | 9210.71412109716 | -315.882930669906 |
20 | 9283 | 9559.25542270526 | -270.651560258269 | 9277.39613755301 | 276.255422705257 |
21 | 8829 | 8423.39020185528 | -109.468355864149 | 9344.07815400887 | -405.60979814472 |
22 | 9947 | 10204.5511440451 | 327.463428436556 | 9361.98542751836 | 257.551144045085 |
23 | 9628 | 10058.1173493662 | -182.010050394014 | 9379.89270102785 | 430.117349366164 |
24 | 9318 | 9099.20781157755 | 182.497919715837 | 9354.29426870662 | -218.792188422454 |
25 | 9605 | 9829.13535404187 | 52.1688095727502 | 9328.69583638538 | 224.135354041868 |
26 | 8640 | 8307.66748022911 | -270.651560258269 | 9242.98408002916 | -332.332519770891 |
27 | 9214 | 9380.19603219121 | -109.468355864149 | 9157.27232367294 | 166.196032191212 |
28 | 9567 | 9656.28708895251 | 327.463428436556 | 9150.24948261093 | 89.2870889525129 |
29 | 8547 | 8132.78340884509 | -182.010050394014 | 9143.22664154892 | -414.216591154911 |
30 | 9185 | 8983.6738567326 | 182.497919715837 | 9203.82822355156 | -201.326143267399 |
31 | 9470 | 9623.40138487305 | 52.1688095727502 | 9264.4298055542 | 153.401384873052 |
32 | 9123 | 9152.67239907504 | -270.651560258269 | 9363.97916118323 | 29.6723990750379 |
33 | 9278 | 9201.93983905188 | -109.468355864149 | 9463.52851681226 | -76.0601609481164 |
34 | 10170 | 10534.9234523124 | 327.463428436556 | 9477.61311925109 | 364.923452312358 |
35 | 9434 | 9558.31232870411 | -182.010050394014 | 9491.69772168991 | 124.312328704107 |
36 | 9655 | 9662.02249343573 | 182.497919715837 | 9465.47958684843 | 7.02249343573021 |
37 | 9429 | 9366.56973842029 | 52.1688095727502 | 9439.26145200696 | -62.430261579706 |
38 | 8739 | 8352.05723092249 | -270.651560258269 | 9396.59432933578 | -386.942769077512 |
39 | 9552 | 9859.54114919954 | -109.468355864149 | 9353.9272066646 | 307.541149199544 |
40 | 9687 | 9695.54094781109 | 327.463428436556 | 9350.99562375235 | 8.5409478110887 |
41 | 9019 | 8871.94600955391 | -182.010050394014 | 9348.0640408401 | -147.053990446089 |
42 | 9672 | 9750.95855175642 | 182.497919715837 | 9410.54352852774 | 78.9585517564246 |
43 | 9206 | 8886.80817421188 | 52.1688095727502 | 9473.02301621537 | -319.191825788124 |
44 | 9069 | 8824.13069706809 | -270.651560258269 | 9584.52086319018 | -244.869302931911 |
45 | 9788 | 9989.44964569916 | -109.468355864149 | 9696.01871016499 | 201.44964569916 |
46 | 10312 | 10540.8059992638 | 327.463428436556 | 9755.73057229965 | 228.80599926379 |
47 | 10105 | 10576.5676159597 | -182.010050394014 | 9815.44243443432 | 471.567615959695 |
48 | 9863 | 9744.77420501589 | 182.497919715837 | 9798.72787526828 | -118.225794984113 |
49 | 9656 | 9477.81787432502 | 52.1688095727502 | 9782.01331610223 | -178.182125674983 |
50 | 9295 | 9150.41005834231 | -270.651560258269 | 9710.24150191596 | -144.589941657687 |
51 | 9946 | 10362.9986681345 | -109.468355864149 | 9638.46968772968 | 416.998668134471 |
52 | 9701 | 9415.05229854673 | 327.463428436556 | 9659.48427301672 | -285.947701453273 |
53 | 9049 | 8599.51119209026 | -182.010050394014 | 9680.49885830376 | -449.488807909742 |
54 | 10190 | 10471.0331893282 | 182.497919715837 | 9726.46889095599 | 281.033189328173 |
55 | 9706 | 9587.39226681903 | 52.1688095727502 | 9772.43892360822 | -118.607733180974 |
56 | 9765 | 9931.65213684186 | -270.651560258269 | 9868.99942341641 | 166.652136841858 |
57 | 9893 | 9929.90843263955 | -109.468355864149 | 9965.5599232246 | 36.9084326395496 |
58 | 9994 | 9679.55731216093 | 327.463428436556 | 9980.97925940251 | -314.442687839071 |
59 | 10433 | 11051.6114548136 | -182.010050394014 | 9996.39859558043 | 618.611454813583 |
60 | 10073 | 10000.3758739415 | 182.497919715837 | 9963.12620634267 | -72.6241260585066 |
61 | 10112 | 10241.9773733223 | 52.1688095727502 | 9929.85381710491 | 129.977373322345 |
62 | 9266 | 8940.50307948323 | -270.651560258269 | 9862.14848077504 | -325.496920516769 |
63 | 9820 | 9955.02521141898 | -109.468355864149 | 9794.44314444517 | 135.025211418977 |
64 | 10097 | 10049.5032210833 | 327.463428436556 | 9817.03335048015 | -47.4967789167058 |
65 | 9115 | 8572.38649387888 | -182.010050394014 | 9839.62355651513 | -542.613506121115 |
66 | 10411 | 10707.6753861052 | 182.497919715837 | 9931.82669417899 | 296.675386105173 |
67 | 9678 | 9279.8013585844 | 52.1688095727502 | 10024.0298318429 | -398.1986414156 |
68 | 10408 | 10937.7724070502 | -270.651560258269 | 10148.8791532081 | 529.77240705021 |
69 | 10153 | 10141.7398812909 | -109.468355864149 | 10273.7284745733 | -11.2601187091204 |
70 | 10368 | 10109.0218176703 | 327.463428436556 | 10299.5147538931 | -258.978182329698 |
71 | 10581 | 11018.709017181 | -182.010050394014 | 10325.301033213 | 437.709017180998 |
72 | 10597 | 10749.4648900049 | 182.497919715837 | 10262.0371902793 | 152.464890004861 |
73 | 10680 | 11109.0578430817 | 52.1688095727502 | 10198.7733473456 | 429.057843081664 |
74 | 9738 | 9624.52262190154 | -270.651560258269 | 10122.1289383567 | -113.47737809846 |
75 | 9556 | 9175.98382649628 | -109.468355864149 | 10045.4845293679 | -380.016173503724 |