| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1321 | 0 | 133 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 617 | 637.499077857528 | 16.7764659447189 | 579.724456197753 | 20.4990778575278 |
| 2 | 614 | 636.214662485658 | 10.372510657387 | 581.412826856955 | 22.2146624856578 |
| 3 | 647 | 597.839331888213 | 113.05947059563 | 583.101197516157 | -49.1606681117872 |
| 4 | 580 | 590.938049210789 | -15.6760032933739 | 584.737954082585 | 10.9380492107891 |
| 5 | 614 | 620.491410254245 | 21.1338790967424 | 586.374710649012 | 6.49141025424547 |
| 6 | 636 | 571.452170875564 | 112.751923981864 | 587.795905142572 | -64.547829124436 |
| 7 | 388 | 406.413061382605 | -219.630161018736 | 589.217099636131 | 18.4130613826047 |
| 8 | 356 | 447.312548154007 | -325.905063752496 | 590.592515598489 | 91.3125481540072 |
| 9 | 639 | 520.939355464386 | 165.092712974768 | 591.967931560846 | -118.060644535614 |
| 10 | 753 | 809.523522949766 | 103.197365117209 | 593.279111933025 | 56.5235229497664 |
| 11 | 611 | 627.653084857921 | -0.24337716312347 | 594.590292305203 | 16.6530848579207 |
| 12 | 639 | 663.610992445492 | 19.0702714489306 | 595.318736105578 | 24.6109924454917 |
| 13 | 630 | 647.176354149329 | 16.7764659447189 | 596.047179905953 | 17.1763541493285 |
| 14 | 586 | 564.764375300709 | 10.372510657387 | 596.863114041904 | -21.2356246992911 |
| 15 | 695 | 679.261481226514 | 113.05947059563 | 597.679048177856 | -15.7385187734857 |
| 16 | 552 | 521.043925520061 | -15.6760032933739 | 598.632077773313 | -30.9560744799394 |
| 17 | 619 | 617.281013534487 | 21.1338790967424 | 599.585107368771 | -1.71898646551313 |
| 18 | 681 | 648.581195390374 | 112.751923981864 | 600.666880627761 | -32.4188046096258 |
| 19 | 421 | 459.881507131984 | -219.630161018736 | 601.748653886752 | 38.8815071319838 |
| 20 | 307 | 335.69295117272 | -325.905063752496 | 604.212112579776 | 28.6929511727201 |
| 21 | 754 | 736.231715752433 | 165.092712974768 | 606.675571272799 | -17.7682842475673 |
| 22 | 690 | 667.446977596154 | 103.197365117209 | 609.355657286637 | -22.5530224038459 |
| 23 | 644 | 676.207633862649 | -0.24337716312347 | 612.035743300474 | 32.2076338626491 |
| 24 | 643 | 651.961014734207 | 19.0702714489306 | 614.968713816862 | 8.96101473420731 |
| 25 | 608 | 581.321849722031 | 16.7764659447189 | 617.90168433325 | -26.6781502779687 |
| 26 | 651 | 670.480469282073 | 10.372510657387 | 621.14702006054 | 19.4804692820733 |
| 27 | 691 | 644.54817361654 | 113.05947059563 | 624.39235578783 | -46.4518263834598 |
| 28 | 627 | 642.6823340339 | -15.6760032933739 | 626.993669259474 | 15.6823340338997 |
| 29 | 634 | 617.271138172139 | 21.1338790967424 | 629.594982731119 | -16.7288618278609 |
| 30 | 731 | 717.215953161071 | 112.751923981864 | 632.032122857065 | -13.7840468389293 |
| 31 | 475 | 535.160898035724 | -219.630161018736 | 634.469262983011 | 60.1608980357244 |
| 32 | 337 | 360.889945634446 | -325.905063752496 | 639.01511811805 | 23.8899456344459 |
| 33 | 803 | 797.346313772144 | 165.092712974768 | 643.560973253088 | -5.65368622785627 |
| 34 | 722 | 692.785467277035 | 103.197365117209 | 648.017167605756 | -29.2145327229654 |
| 35 | 590 | 527.770015204699 | -0.24337716312347 | 652.473361958424 | -62.2299847953008 |
| 36 | 724 | 774.316650792423 | 19.0702714489306 | 654.613077758647 | 50.3166507924226 |
| 37 | 627 | 580.470740496412 | 16.7764659447189 | 656.752793558869 | -46.5292595035882 |
| 38 | 696 | 723.48012542514 | 10.372510657387 | 658.147363917473 | 27.4801254251398 |
| 39 | 825 | 877.398595128293 | 113.05947059563 | 659.541934276077 | 52.3985951282929 |
| 40 | 677 | 708.147425490277 | -15.6760032933739 | 661.528577803097 | 31.1474254902768 |
| 41 | 656 | 627.350899573141 | 21.1338790967424 | 663.515221330117 | -28.6491004268595 |
| 42 | 785 | 793.664319691507 | 112.751923981864 | 663.583756326628 | 8.66431969150722 |
| 43 | 412 | 379.977869695596 | -219.630161018736 | 663.65229132314 | -32.0221303044038 |
| 44 | 352 | 368.387465498236 | -325.905063752496 | 661.51759825426 | 16.3874654982359 |
| 45 | 839 | 853.524381839852 | 165.092712974768 | 659.38290518538 | 14.5243818398518 |
| 46 | 729 | 696.21548732391 | 103.197365117209 | 658.587147558881 | -32.7845126760897 |
| 47 | 696 | 734.451987230743 | -0.24337716312347 | 657.791389932381 | 38.4519872307426 |
| 48 | 641 | 603.116425591808 | 19.0702714489306 | 659.813302959261 | -37.883574408192 |
| 49 | 695 | 711.388318069139 | 16.7764659447189 | 661.835215986142 | 16.3883180691394 |
| 50 | 638 | 602.526485046908 | 10.372510657387 | 663.101004295705 | -35.4735149530925 |
| 51 | 762 | 746.573736799101 | 113.05947059563 | 664.366792605269 | -15.4262632008994 |
| 52 | 635 | 622.710123357951 | -15.6760032933739 | 662.965879935423 | -12.2898766420489 |
| 53 | 721 | 759.301153637682 | 21.1338790967424 | 661.564967265576 | 38.3011536376816 |
| 54 | 854 | 934.289014933404 | 112.751923981864 | 660.959061084732 | 80.2890149334041 |
| 55 | 418 | 395.277006114849 | -219.630161018736 | 660.353154903887 | -22.7229938851514 |
| 56 | 367 | 400.399255538256 | -325.905063752496 | 659.50580821424 | 33.3992555382558 |
| 57 | 824 | 824.248825500639 | 165.092712974768 | 658.658461524593 | 0.2488255006391 |
| 58 | 687 | 615.135385982446 | 103.197365117209 | 655.667248900345 | -71.8646140175539 |
| 59 | 601 | 549.567340887027 | -0.24337716312347 | 652.676036276097 | -51.4326591129732 |
| 60 | 676 | 684.416923910712 | 19.0702714489306 | 648.512804640357 | 8.4169239107124 |
| 61 | 740 | 818.873961050664 | 16.7764659447189 | 644.349573004617 | 78.8739610506636 |
| 62 | 691 | 730.397163595079 | 10.372510657387 | 641.230325747534 | 39.397163595079 |
| 63 | 683 | 614.829450913919 | 113.05947059563 | 638.111078490451 | -68.1705490860807 |
| 64 | 594 | 567.920408866873 | -15.6760032933739 | 635.755594426501 | -26.0795911331269 |
| 65 | 729 | 803.466010540707 | 21.1338790967424 | 633.400110362551 | 74.466010540707 |
| 66 | 731 | 718.250281249618 | 112.751923981864 | 630.997794768517 | -12.7497187503818 |
| 67 | 386 | 363.034681844252 | -219.630161018736 | 628.595479174484 | -22.9653181557484 |
| 68 | 331 | 361.176380583537 | -325.905063752496 | 626.728683168958 | 30.1763805835374 |
| 69 | 706 | 622.045399861799 | 165.092712974768 | 624.861887163433 | -83.9546001382008 |
| 70 | 715 | 702.22382821179 | 103.197365117209 | 624.578806671001 | -12.7761717882099 |
| 71 | 657 | 689.947650984555 | -0.24337716312347 | 624.295726178569 | 32.9476509845546 |
| 72 | 653 | 662.625376311166 | 19.0702714489306 | 624.304352239903 | 9.62537631116629 |
| 73 | 642 | 642.910555754044 | 16.7764659447189 | 624.312978301237 | 0.910555754043799 |
| 74 | 643 | 648.691526460418 | 10.372510657387 | 626.935962882195 | 5.69152646041766 |
| 75 | 718 | 693.381581941216 | 113.05947059563 | 629.558947463153 | -24.6184180587835 |
| 76 | 654 | 690.16873583817 | -15.6760032933739 | 633.507267455204 | 36.1687358381697 |
| 77 | 632 | 605.410533456003 | 21.1338790967424 | 637.455587447255 | -26.5894665439972 |
| 78 | 731 | 709.562866822774 | 112.751923981864 | 639.685209195361 | -21.4371331772256 |
| 79 | 392 | 361.715330075268 | -219.630161018736 | 641.914830943468 | -30.284669924732 |
| 80 | 344 | 370.877417776704 | -325.905063752496 | 643.027645975792 | 26.8774177767041 |
| 81 | 792 | 774.766826017117 | 165.092712974768 | 644.140461008116 | -17.2331739828835 |
| 82 | 852 | 954.063422543387 | 103.197365117209 | 646.739212339404 | 102.063422543387 |
| 83 | 649 | 648.905413492432 | -0.24337716312347 | 649.337963670692 | -0.0945865075682377 |
| 84 | 629 | 583.468191316095 | 19.0702714489306 | 655.461537234974 | -45.5318086839046 |
| 85 | 685 | 691.638423256025 | 16.7764659447189 | 661.585110799256 | 6.63842325602479 |
| 86 | 617 | 555.362767740122 | 10.372510657387 | 668.264721602491 | -61.6372322598784 |
| 87 | 715 | 641.996196998644 | 113.05947059563 | 674.944332405726 | -73.0038030013563 |
| 88 | 715 | 763.603176725451 | -15.6760032933739 | 682.072826567923 | 48.6031767254507 |
| 89 | 629 | 547.664800173138 | 21.1338790967424 | 689.20132073012 | -81.3351998268623 |
| 90 | 916 | 1019.10433431938 | 112.751923981864 | 700.143741698753 | 103.104334319383 |
| 91 | 531 | 570.543998351351 | -219.630161018736 | 711.086162667385 | 39.5439983513506 |
| 92 | 357 | 315.101544316434 | -325.905063752496 | 724.803519436061 | -41.8984556835657 |
| 93 | 917 | 930.386410820494 | 165.092712974768 | 738.520876204738 | 13.3864108204942 |
| 94 | 828 | 803.684896249443 | 103.197365117209 | 749.117738633348 | -24.3151037505567 |
| 95 | 708 | 656.528776101166 | -0.24337716312347 | 759.714601061957 | -51.4712238988338 |
| 96 | 858 | 932.150867334456 | 19.0702714489306 | 764.778861216613 | 74.1508673344561 |
| 97 | 775 | 763.380412684012 | 16.7764659447189 | 769.843121371269 | -11.6195873159883 |
| 98 | 785 | 786.973911998928 | 10.372510657387 | 772.653577343685 | 1.97391199892832 |
| 99 | 1006 | 1123.47649608827 | 113.05947059563 | 775.4640333161 | 117.47649608827 |
| 100 | 789 | 815.051530790703 | -15.6760032933739 | 778.624472502671 | 26.0515307907033 |
| 101 | 734 | 665.081209214017 | 21.1338790967424 | 781.784911689241 | -68.9187907859834 |
| 102 | 906 | 916.113868921504 | 112.751923981864 | 783.134207096632 | 10.1138689215038 |
| 103 | 532 | 499.146658514713 | -219.630161018736 | 784.483502504023 | -32.8533414852869 |
| 104 | 387 | 314.86306717701 | -325.905063752496 | 785.041996575485 | -72.1369328229896 |
| 105 | 991 | 1031.30679637828 | 165.092712974768 | 785.600490646948 | 40.3067963782839 |
| 106 | 841 | 791.26905182181 | 103.197365117209 | 787.533583060981 | -49.7309481781904 |
| 107 | 892 | 994.776701688109 | -0.24337716312347 | 789.466675475014 | 102.776701688109 |
| 108 | 782 | 751.341536669 | 19.0702714489306 | 793.588191882069 | -30.6584633309996 |
| 109 | 811 | 807.513825766157 | 16.7764659447189 | 797.709708289124 | -3.48617423384258 |
| 110 | 792 | 773.041629609439 | 10.372510657387 | 800.585859733174 | -18.9583703905606 |
| 111 | 978 | 1039.47851822715 | 113.05947059563 | 803.462011177224 | 61.4785182271464 |
| 112 | 773 | 758.345290492298 | -15.6760032933739 | 803.330712801076 | -14.654709507702 |
| 113 | 796 | 767.66670647833 | 21.1338790967424 | 803.199414424928 | -28.3332935216705 |
| 114 | 946 | 978.137430759859 | 112.751923981864 | 801.110645258277 | 32.1374307598588 |
| 115 | 594 | 608.60828492711 | -219.630161018736 | 799.021876091625 | 14.6082849271103 |
| 116 | 438 | 403.086237854914 | -325.905063752496 | 798.818825897582 | -34.9137621450861 |
| 117 | 1023 | 1082.29151132169 | 165.092712974768 | 798.615775703538 | 59.2915113216937 |
| 118 | 868 | 831.79659327477 | 103.197365117209 | 801.006041608021 | -36.2034067252305 |
| 119 | 791 | 778.847069650619 | -0.24337716312347 | 803.396307512504 | -12.1529303493809 |
| 120 | 760 | 694.944189808975 | 19.0702714489306 | 805.985538742094 | -65.0558101910245 |
| 121 | 779 | 732.648764083598 | 16.7764659447189 | 808.574769971683 | -46.3512359164023 |
| 122 | 852 | 880.491059264837 | 10.372510657387 | 813.136430077776 | 28.4910592648368 |
| 123 | 1001 | 1071.2424392205 | 113.05947059563 | 817.698090183869 | 70.242439220501 |
| 124 | 734 | 656.140073059279 | -15.6760032933739 | 827.535930234095 | -77.8599269407208 |
| 125 | 996 | 1133.49235061894 | 21.1338790967424 | 837.37377028432 | 137.492350618938 |
| 126 | 869 | 778.734493077548 | 112.751923981864 | 846.513582940587 | -90.2655069224516 |
| 127 | 599 | 561.976765421882 | -219.630161018736 | 855.653395596854 | -37.0232345781185 |
| 128 | 426 | 313.380070634893 | -325.905063752496 | 864.524993117603 | -112.619929365107 |
| 129 | 1138 | 1237.51069638688 | 165.092712974768 | 873.396590638351 | 99.5106963868808 |
| 130 | 1091 | 1196.29500848095 | 103.197365117209 | 882.507626401842 | 105.295008480949 |
| 131 | 830 | 768.62471499779 | -0.24337716312347 | 891.618662165333 | -61.3752850022096 |
| 132 | 909 | 898.038017692503 | 19.0702714489306 | 900.891710858567 | -10.9619823074975 |
