Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1321 | 0 | 133 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 236.422 | 232.22884265222 | -32.2794606228595 | 272.894617970639 | -4.1931573477795 |
2 | 250.58 | 262.955677515633 | -34.9286534333937 | 273.132975917761 | 12.3756775156326 |
3 | 279.515 | 283.479143136683 | 2.17952299843307 | 273.371333864883 | 3.96414313668345 |
4 | 264.417 | 259.144477253844 | -3.99904013027762 | 273.688562876433 | -5.27252274615591 |
5 | 283.706 | 279.123083445734 | 14.283124666283 | 274.005791887983 | -4.58291655426643 |
6 | 281.288 | 282.426727062669 | 5.80166279999602 | 274.347610137335 | 1.13872706266937 |
7 | 271.146 | 261.662276222204 | 5.94029539111028 | 274.689428386686 | -9.483723777796 |
8 | 283.944 | 279.913690258556 | 12.9869326459872 | 274.987377095457 | -4.03030974144451 |
9 | 269.155 | 276.232469891278 | -13.2077956955067 | 275.285325804229 | 7.07746989127787 |
10 | 270.899 | 270.348372220839 | -4.43030815549582 | 275.879935934657 | -0.550627779161005 |
11 | 276.507 | 279.110363336462 | -2.57090940154669 | 276.474546065085 | 2.60336333646188 |
12 | 319.957 | 312.480231526765 | 50.2246301310083 | 277.209138342226 | -7.47676847323481 |
13 | 250.746 | 255.827730003491 | -32.2794606228595 | 277.943730619368 | 5.08173000349137 |
14 | 247.772 | 251.996419876702 | -34.9286534333937 | 278.476233556691 | 4.22441987670248 |
15 | 280.449 | 279.709740507553 | 2.17952299843307 | 279.008736494014 | -0.739259492447445 |
16 | 274.925 | 274.225134452053 | -3.99904013027762 | 279.623905678225 | -0.699865547946956 |
17 | 296.013 | 297.503800471282 | 14.283124666283 | 280.239074862435 | 1.49080047128228 |
18 | 287.881 | 289.051561708421 | 5.80166279999602 | 280.908775491583 | 1.17056170842119 |
19 | 279.098 | 270.677228488159 | 5.94029539111028 | 281.578476120731 | -8.42077151184117 |
20 | 294.763 | 294.408738570892 | 12.9869326459872 | 282.130328783121 | -0.354261429107964 |
21 | 261.924 | 254.373614249996 | -13.2077956955067 | 282.682181445511 | -7.55038575000384 |
22 | 291.596 | 304.34884166914 | -4.43030815549582 | 283.273466486356 | 12.75284166914 |
23 | 287.537 | 293.780157874346 | -2.57090940154669 | 283.864751527201 | 6.24315787434557 |
24 | 326.201 | 317.65287300177 | 50.2246301310083 | 284.524496867222 | -8.54812699823049 |
25 | 255.598 | 258.291218415616 | -32.2794606228595 | 285.184242207243 | 2.69321841561623 |
26 | 253.086 | 255.277627206878 | -34.9286534333937 | 285.823026226515 | 2.19162720687837 |
27 | 285.261 | 281.88066675578 | 2.17952299843307 | 286.461810245787 | -3.38033324422042 |
28 | 284.747 | 286.554126045133 | -3.99904013027762 | 286.938914085145 | 1.8071260451328 |
29 | 300.402 | 299.104857409215 | 14.283124666283 | 287.416017924502 | -1.29714259078526 |
30 | 288.854 | 283.869876287718 | 5.80166279999602 | 288.036460912286 | -4.98412371228233 |
31 | 295.433 | 296.268800708819 | 5.94029539111028 | 288.65690390007 | 0.83580070881942 |
32 | 307.256 | 312.096410419202 | 12.9869326459872 | 289.428656934811 | 4.84041041920216 |
33 | 273.189 | 269.385385725956 | -13.2077956955067 | 290.200409969551 | -3.80361427404415 |
34 | 287.54 | 288.451869457266 | -4.43030815549582 | 291.05843869823 | 0.911869457266334 |
35 | 290.705 | 292.064441974639 | -2.57090940154669 | 291.916467426908 | 1.35944197463857 |
36 | 337.006 | 330.904253612105 | 50.2246301310083 | 292.883116256887 | -6.10174638789516 |
37 | 268.335 | 275.099695535994 | -32.2794606228595 | 293.849765086865 | 6.76469553599401 |
38 | 259.06 | 258.035854519448 | -34.9286534333937 | 295.012798913946 | -1.02414548055248 |
39 | 293.703 | 289.05064426054 | 2.17952299843307 | 296.175832741027 | -4.65235573946006 |
40 | 294.262 | 295.026709379473 | -3.99904013027762 | 297.496330750804 | 0.764709379473345 |
41 | 312.404 | 311.708046573136 | 14.283124666283 | 298.816828760582 | -0.695953426864492 |
42 | 301.014 | 295.972472949009 | 5.80166279999602 | 300.253864250995 | -5.04152705099119 |
43 | 309.942 | 312.252804867481 | 5.94029539111028 | 301.690899741409 | 2.31080486748084 |
44 | 317.079 | 317.788702221327 | 12.9869326459872 | 303.382365132686 | 0.709702221326552 |
45 | 293.912 | 295.957965171543 | -13.2077956955067 | 305.073830523964 | 2.04596517154317 |
46 | 304.06 | 305.699222891031 | -4.43030815549582 | 306.851085264465 | 1.63922289103078 |
47 | 301.299 | 296.54056939658 | -2.57090940154669 | 308.628340004967 | -4.75843060341987 |
48 | 357.634 | 354.893506559315 | 50.2246301310083 | 310.149863309677 | -2.74049344068493 |
49 | 281.493 | 283.594074008473 | -32.2794606228595 | 311.671386614387 | 2.10107400847284 |
50 | 282.478 | 286.863592262417 | -34.9286534333937 | 313.021061170977 | 4.38559226241654 |
51 | 319.111 | 321.671741273999 | 2.17952299843307 | 314.370735727568 | 2.56074127399927 |
52 | 315.223 | 318.576901534357 | -3.99904013027762 | 315.86813859592 | 3.35390153435714 |
53 | 328.445 | 325.241333869444 | 14.283124666283 | 317.365541464273 | -3.20366613055626 |
54 | 321.081 | 317.423920192044 | 5.80166279999602 | 318.936417007961 | -3.65707980795651 |
55 | 328.04 | 329.632412057242 | 5.94029539111028 | 320.507292551648 | 1.59241205724197 |
56 | 326.362 | 317.724813487519 | 12.9869326459872 | 322.012253866494 | -8.63718651248081 |
57 | 313.566 | 316.822580514167 | -13.2077956955067 | 323.517215181339 | 3.25658051416724 |
58 | 319.768 | 318.746146635745 | -4.43030815549582 | 325.220161519751 | -1.02185336425504 |
59 | 324.315 | 324.277801543385 | -2.57090940154669 | 326.923107858162 | -0.0371984566154424 |
60 | 387.243 | 395.321138801489 | 50.2246301310083 | 328.940231067503 | 8.07813880148905 |
61 | 293.308 | 287.938106346016 | -32.2794606228595 | 330.957354276843 | -5.36989365398358 |
62 | 295.109 | 292.217541809334 | -34.9286534333937 | 332.92911162406 | -2.89145819066613 |
63 | 339.19 | 341.29960803029 | 2.17952299843307 | 334.900868971277 | 2.10960803029042 |
64 | 335.678 | 338.733158539651 | -3.99904013027762 | 336.621881590626 | 3.05515853965147 |
65 | 345.401 | 338.175981123741 | 14.283124666283 | 338.342894209976 | -7.22501887625873 |
66 | 351.002 | 356.182200632877 | 5.80166279999602 | 340.020136567127 | 5.18020063287747 |
67 | 351.889 | 356.140325684612 | 5.94029539111028 | 341.697378924277 | 4.25132568461248 |
68 | 355.773 | 355.115591456737 | 12.9869326459872 | 343.443475897276 | -0.657408543262704 |
69 | 333.363 | 334.744222825233 | -13.2077956955067 | 345.189572870274 | 1.38122282523295 |
70 | 336.214 | 329.993912514208 | -4.43030815549582 | 346.864395641288 | -6.22008748579213 |
71 | 343.91 | 341.851690989245 | -2.57090940154669 | 348.539218412302 | -2.05830901075547 |
72 | 405.788 | 411.255155985562 | 50.2246301310083 | 350.09621388343 | 5.4671559855617 |
73 | 318.682 | 317.990251268302 | -32.2794606228595 | 351.653209354558 | -0.691748731698226 |
74 | 314.189 | 310.2821162017 | -34.9286534333937 | 353.024537231693 | -3.90688379829959 |
75 | 362.141 | 367.706611892738 | 2.17952299843307 | 354.395865108829 | 5.56561189273805 |
76 | 351.811 | 352.073385771301 | -3.99904013027762 | 355.547654358977 | 0.262385771300728 |
77 | 373.727 | 376.471431724592 | 14.283124666283 | 356.699443609125 | 2.74443172459229 |
78 | 366.795 | 370.173519531826 | 5.80166279999602 | 357.614817668178 | 3.3785195318257 |
79 | 362.393 | 360.315512881658 | 5.94029539111028 | 358.530191727232 | -2.07748711834222 |
80 | 376.006 | 379.693570142037 | 12.9869326459872 | 359.331497211976 | 3.68757014203692 |
81 | 346.423 | 345.920992998787 | -13.2077956955067 | 360.13280269672 | -0.502007001213087 |
82 | 349.007 | 341.433621138635 | -4.43030815549582 | 361.010687016861 | -7.57337886136514 |
83 | 357.224 | 355.130338064545 | -2.57090940154669 | 361.888571337002 | -2.09366193545549 |
84 | 418.473 | 423.800970261397 | 50.2246301310083 | 362.920399607595 | 5.32797026139718 |
85 | 329.169 | 326.665232744673 | -32.2794606228595 | 363.952227878187 | -2.50376725532726 |
86 | 323.456 | 316.770770309803 | -34.9286534333937 | 365.069883123591 | -6.68522969019682 |
87 | 374.439 | 380.510938632573 | 2.17952299843307 | 366.187538368994 | 6.07193863257265 |
88 | 358.806 | 354.187202112836 | -3.99904013027762 | 367.423838017441 | -4.61879788716362 |
89 | 391.816 | 400.688737667829 | 14.283124666283 | 368.660137665888 | 8.87273766782886 |
90 | 376.944 | 378.203792372016 | 5.80166279999602 | 369.882544827988 | 1.2597923720158 |
91 | 372.665 | 368.284752618801 | 5.94029539111028 | 371.104951990088 | -4.38024738119856 |
92 | 388.357 | 391.64918173196 | 12.9869326459872 | 372.077885622052 | 3.2921817319604 |
93 | 354.241 | 348.63897644149 | -13.2077956955067 | 373.050819254017 | -5.60202355850981 |
94 | 368.982 | 368.67945394723 | -4.43030815549582 | 373.714854208265 | -0.302546052769571 |
95 | 378.233 | 384.658020239032 | -2.57090940154669 | 374.378889162514 | 6.42502023903239 |
96 | 426.699 | 428.291911452855 | 50.2246301310083 | 374.881458416137 | 1.59291145285459 |
97 | 343.241 | 343.3774329531 | -32.2794606228595 | 375.38402766976 | 0.1364329530997 |
98 | 344.577 | 348.737913123715 | -34.9286534333937 | 375.344740309679 | 4.16091312371498 |
99 | 373.623 | 369.761024051969 | 2.17952299843307 | 375.305452949598 | -3.8619759480307 |
100 | 369.688 | 369.56523220448 | -3.99904013027762 | 373.809807925798 | -0.122767795520303 |
101 | 398.816 | 411.034712431719 | 14.283124666283 | 372.314162901998 | 12.2187124317189 |
102 | 379.387 | 383.566900765006 | 5.80166279999602 | 369.405436434998 | 4.17990076500649 |
103 | 384.666 | 396.894994640893 | 5.94029539111028 | 366.496709967997 | 12.2289946408928 |
104 | 383.879 | 391.970512708171 | 12.9869326459872 | 362.800554645842 | 8.09151270817051 |
105 | 351.578 | 357.259396371819 | -13.2077956955067 | 359.104399323688 | 5.68139637181901 |
106 | 350.92 | 351.122227924462 | -4.43030815549582 | 355.148080231034 | 0.202227924461965 |
107 | 336.629 | 324.637148263167 | -2.57090940154669 | 351.19176113838 | -11.9918517368333 |
108 | 385.504 | 373.070216499761 | 50.2246301310083 | 347.71315336923 | -12.4337835002386 |
109 | 311.33 | 310.704915022779 | -32.2794606228595 | 344.234545600081 | -0.625084977221093 |
110 | 300.545 | 293.98797096231 | -34.9286534333937 | 342.030682471084 | -6.55702903769037 |
111 | 329.718 | 317.429657659479 | 2.17952299843307 | 339.826819342088 | -12.2883423405207 |
112 | 331.023 | 326.832824806269 | -3.99904013027762 | 339.212215324008 | -4.19017519373079 |
113 | 348.944 | 345.007264027788 | 14.283124666283 | 338.597611305929 | -3.9367359722122 |
114 | 345.65 | 346.213559568245 | 5.80166279999602 | 339.284777631759 | 0.563559568244898 |
115 | 349.26 | 352.607760651301 | 5.94029539111028 | 339.971943957589 | 3.34776065130086 |
116 | 354.597 | 354.772719915824 | 12.9869326459872 | 341.434347438188 | 0.175719915824288 |
117 | 325.769 | 321.849044776719 | -13.2077956955067 | 342.896750918788 | -3.91995522328136 |
118 | 339.734 | 339.187599298619 | -4.43030815549582 | 344.710708856876 | -0.546400701380492 |
119 | 340.543 | 337.132242606582 | -2.57090940154669 | 346.524666794965 | -3.41075739341778 |
120 | 401.585 | 404.86019547701 | 50.2246301310083 | 348.085174391981 | 3.27519547701047 |
121 | 315.998 | 314.629778633862 | -32.2794606228595 | 349.645681988998 | -1.36822136613836 |
122 | 312.327 | 308.553149280809 | -34.9286534333937 | 351.029504152585 | -3.77385071919093 |
123 | 362.217 | 369.841150685395 | 2.17952299843307 | 352.413326316171 | 7.62415068539548 |
124 | 358.067 | 365.980365866674 | -3.99904013027762 | 354.152674263604 | 7.91336586667364 |
125 | 367.321 | 364.466853122681 | 14.283124666283 | 355.892022211036 | -2.85414687731941 |
126 | 360.372 | 357.07997396297 | 5.80166279999602 | 357.862363237034 | -3.29202603702976 |
127 | 363.83 | 361.887000345859 | 5.94029539111028 | 359.832704263031 | -1.94299965414137 |
128 | 364.525 | 354.295783927032 | 12.9869326459872 | 361.767283426981 | -10.2292160729684 |
129 | 347.945 | 345.395933104575 | -13.2077956955067 | 363.701862590931 | -2.54906689542452 |
130 | 357.404 | 353.603395317381 | -4.43030815549582 | 365.634912838115 | -3.80060468261922 |
131 | 368.182 | 371.366946316248 | -2.57090940154669 | 367.567963085299 | 3.18494631624787 |
132 | 429.343 | 438.911992896668 | 50.2246301310083 | 369.549376972324 | 9.56899289666768 |