Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.043962719081542
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3264.6326.3-61.6999999999999
4240.7307.487500232669-66.7875002326689
5201.4280.651340121782-79.2513401217816
6240.8237.8672357191722.93276428082802
7241.1277.396168011382-36.2961680113824
8223.8276.100489773362-52.3004897733616
9206.1256.501218033628-50.4012180336282
10174.7236.585443443848-61.8854434438483
11203.3202.464791078490.835208921510315
12220.5231.10150913368-10.6015091336805
13299.5247.83543796579651.6645620342039
14347.4329.10675259297718.2932474070233
15338.3377.810973489821-39.5109734898207
16327.7366.97396366165-39.2739636616496
17351.6354.647373429974-3.04737342997373
18396.6378.41340260793518.1865973920648
19438.8424.21293488013214.5870651198683
20395.6467.054221926221-71.4542219262206
21363.5420.712900040488-57.2129000404881
22378.8386.097665388168-7.29766538816773
23357401.076840174757-44.0768401747566
24369377.339102432152-8.33910243215178
25464.8388.97249281453575.8275071854652
26479.1488.106076211583-9.00607621158309
27431.3502.010144613066-70.7101446130663
28366.5451.101534389227-84.6015343892269
29326.3382.582220899006-56.2822208990058
30355.1339.90790143233815.1920985676624
31331.6369.375787393927-37.7757873939268
32261.3344.215061064644-82.9150610646436
33249270.26988952743-21.2698895274298
34205.5257.03480734924-51.5348073492399
35235.6211.26919709082424.3308029091761
36240.9242.438845344148-1.53884534414837
37264.9247.67119351857417.2288064814263
38253.8272.428618698027-18.6286186980268
39232.3260.509653967328-28.2096539673283
40193.8237.769480874575-43.9694808745752
41177197.336462938725-20.336462938725
42213.2179.64241673143833.5575832685624
43207.2217.317699337729-10.1176993377289
44180.6210.872897763993-30.2728977639928
45188.6182.942018863815.65798113618985
46175.4191.190759099069-15.7907590990691
47199177.29655439271221.7034456072875
48179.6201.850696875047-22.2506968750472
49225.8181.47249573896144.3275042610391
50234229.6212533563754.37874664362516
51200.2238.013754964998-37.8137549649978
52183.6202.551359478053-18.9513594780533
53178.2185.118206185106-6.91820618510633
54203.2179.41406303004223.7859369699577
55208.5205.4597574951443.0402425048562
56191.8210.893414822325-19.0934148223246
57172.8193.354016390183-20.5540163901834
58148173.450405941624-25.4504059416244
59159.4147.53153689470211.8684631052985
60154.5159.453306804129-4.9533068041294
61213.2154.33554596857558.8644540314252
62196.4215.623387425047-19.2233874250466
63182.8197.978275043884-15.1782750438837
64176.4183.710996801987-7.31099680198705
65153.6176.989585503375-23.3895855033752
66173.2153.16131572645720.0386842735434
67171173.642270773938-2.64227077393812
68151.2171.326109366166-20.1261093661661
69161.9150.64131087389711.258689126103
70157.2161.836273461174-4.63627346117426
71201.7156.93245027341544.7675497265846
72236.4203.40055348601432.9994465139858
73356.1239.551298882955116.548701117045
74398.3364.37509668948233.9249033105178
75403.7408.066527683591-4.36652768359102
76384.6413.274563253675-28.6745632536754
77365.8392.913951484568-27.1139514845682
78368.1372.921948452262-4.82194845226161
79367.9375.009962487029-7.10996248702924
80347374.497389203532-27.4973892035316
81343.3352.388529206501-9.08852920650088
82292.9348.288972750131-55.3889727501311
83311.5295.45392290090216.0460770990981
84300.9314.75935208077-13.8593520807703
85366.9303.55005727859163.3499427214088
86356.9372.335093014284-15.4350930142843
87329.7361.6565243561-31.9565243560999
88316.2333.05162865301-16.8516286530102
89269318.810785236471-49.8107852364714
90289.3269.42096767788919.8790323221106
91266.2290.594903991479-24.3949039914793
92253.6266.422437680281-12.8224376802807
93233.8253.258728454602-19.4587284546019
94228.4232.603269841868-4.20326984186826
95253.6227.01848267058626.5815173294137
96260.1253.38707844976.7129215502996
97306.6260.18219673403346.4178032659673
98309.2308.7228495793970.477150420603266
99309.5311.343826409297-1.84382640929732
100271311.56276678683-40.5627667868303
101279.9271.2795172654118.62048273458925
102317.9280.55849712621937.3415028737812
103298.4320.200131127141-21.8001311271414
104246.7299.741738086458-53.0417380864581
105227.3245.709879055366-18.4098790553664
106209.1225.50053071413-16.4005307141302
107259.9206.57951878955753.3204812104433
108266259.7236321263046.27636787369602
109320.6266.09955832398854.5004416760123
110308.5323.09554593121-14.5955459312103
111282.2310.353886045595-28.1538860455947
112262.7282.816164662318-20.1161646623185
113263.5262.4318033662711.06819663372909
114313.1263.27876419480349.8212358051966
115284.3315.069041188803-30.7690411888025
116252.6284.916350474611-32.3163504746108
117250.3251.795635836955-1.49563583695482
118246.5249.429883618807-2.92988361880651
119312.7245.50107796833167.1989220316687
120333.2314.65532530019218.544674699808
121446.4335.970599624478110.429400375522
122511.6454.0253763315357.5746236684697
123515.5521.756513338093-6.25651333809287
124506.4525.38145999978-18.9814599997803
125483.2515.446983406052-32.2469834060525
126522.3490.82931833334531.4706816666549
127509.8531.312855070761-21.5128550707607
128460.7517.867091466643-57.1670914666431
129405.8466.253870683786-60.4538706837862
130375408.696154149523-33.6961541495231
131378.5376.4147795905192.08522040948077
132406.8380.00645154960426.7935484503957
133467.8409.48436879332758.3156312066732
134469.8473.048082506129-3.24808250612853
135429.8474.905287967358-45.1052879673579
136355.8432.922336863357-77.1223368633569
137332.7355.531829232921-22.8318292329212
138378331.42807993823646.5719200617635
139360.5378.775508177-18.2755081769998
140334.7360.472067144942-25.772067144942
141319.5333.539056996898-14.0390569968982
142323.1317.7218618779745.3781381220262
143363.6321.55829945341442.0417005465858
144352.1363.906566924254-11.8065669242541
145411.9351.88751813924660.0124818607543
146388.6414.325830020676-25.7258300206761
147416.4389.89485258233826.5051474176623
148360.7418.860090932475-58.1600909324752
149338360.603215193054-22.6032151930538
150417.2336.90951639318280.290483606818
151388.4419.63930436891-31.2393043689097
152371.1389.465939606636-18.3659396066365
153331.5371.358522963041-39.8585229630414
154353.7330.00623391501223.693766084988
155396.7353.2478762973943.4521237026099
156447398.15814980522448.8418501947756
157533.5450.6053703447682.89462965524
158565.4540.74964366166224.6503563383382
159542.3573.733340352624-31.4333403526241
160488.7549.251445240907-60.5514452409071
161467.1492.9894390638-25.8894390637997
162531.3470.25126892705961.0487310729407
163496.1537.135137141503-41.0351371415035
164444500.131120934879-56.1311209348791
165403.4445.563444233487-42.163444233487
166386.3403.10982457914-16.8098245791398
167394.1385.2708189833578.82918101664285
168404.1393.45897378811210.6410262118881
169462.1403.92678223420458.1732177657955
170448.1464.484235064912-16.3842350649115
171432.3449.763939541387-17.4639395413869
172386.3433.196177273272-46.8961772732719
173395.2385.13449380580910.0655061941912
174421.9394.47700082703827.4229991729625
175382.9422.382590436052-39.4825904360519
176384.2381.64682840412.55317159589987
177345.5383.059072769738-37.5590727697376
178323.4342.707873804598-19.3078738045985
179372.6319.75904717246552.840952827535
180376371.2820791376234.71792086237701
181462.7374.88949176714587.8105082328554
182487465.44988047299321.550119527007
183444.2490.697282323933-46.4972823239326
184399.3445.85313536307-46.5531353630703
185394.9398.906532950739-4.00653295073869
186455.4394.33039486813461.0696051318656
187414457.515180762967-43.5151807629672
188375.5414.202135095302-38.7021350953024
189347374.000684002252-27.0006840022518
190339.4344.313660516451-4.91366051645133
191385.8336.49764263950449.3023573604955
192378.8385.065108326202-6.26510832620176
193451.8377.78967712884274.0103228711585
194446.1454.04337216236-7.94337216236045
195422.5447.994159923426-25.4941599234265
196383.1423.273367332493-40.1733673324929
197352.8382.107236869895-29.307236869895
198445.3350.51881104832894.7811889516724
199367.5447.185649832425-79.6856498324245
200355.1365.882451994011-10.7824519940115
201326.2353.008426085989-26.8084260859886
202319.8322.929854780952-3.12985478095197
203331.8316.39225785445115.407742145549
204340.9329.06962409407711.8303759059234
205394.1338.68971958665855.4102804133423
206417.2394.32570617869922.874293821301
207369.9418.431322332153-48.5313223321535
208349.2368.997753441809-19.7977534418092
209321.4347.427390368801-26.0273903688014
210405.7318.48315551759287.2168444824079
211342.9406.617445150751-63.7174451507507
212316.5341.016253008995-24.5162530089947
213284.2313.538451865028-29.3384518650283
214270.9279.948653747399-9.0486537473987
215288.8266.25085032463622.5491496753644
216278.8285.142172257341-6.34217225734136
217324.4274.86335312002549.5366468799749
218310.9322.641118811051-11.741118811051
219299308.624947303058-9.6249473030577
220273296.301808448599-23.3018084485988
221279.3269.27739758968110.0226024103189
222359.2276.01801844391283.181981556088
223305359.574924531708-54.5749245317082
224282.1302.975662455624-20.8756624556244
225250.3279.157911571447-28.8579115714467
226246.5246.0892393117510.410760688248786
227257.9242.30729746849815.5927025315015
228266.5254.39279506961312.1072049303871
229315.9263.5250607188352.3749392811698
230318.4315.2276054613613.17239453863897
231295.4317.867072551279-22.467072551279
232266.4293.879358952123-27.4793589521225
233245.8263.67129161397-17.8712916139695
234362.8242.28562104112120.51437895888
235324.9364.583760828576-39.683760828576
236294.2324.93915479917-30.7391547991702
237289.5292.88777797193-3.38777797193023
238295.2288.038842040647.16115795936037
239290.3294.053666016306-3.75366601630554
240272288.988644651705-16.9886446517048
241307.4269.94177763930637.4582223606942
242328.7306.98854294624321.7114570537572
243292.9329.243037633548-36.3430376335482
244249.1291.845298879495-42.7452988794946
245230.4246.166099312799-15.7660993127988
246361.5226.772978717699134.727021282301
247321.7363.795944907025-42.0959449070253
248277.2322.145292706606-44.9452927066056
249260.7275.669375429307-14.9693754293075
250251258.511280982483-7.51128098248267
251257.6248.4810646467079.11893535329273
252241.8255.481957839967-13.6819578399669
253287.5239.08046177096348.4195382290371
254292.3286.9091163281845.39088367181597
255274.7291.946114232649-17.2461142326493
256254.2273.587928157391-19.3879281573912
257230252.235582118235-22.2355821182347
258339227.058045467956111.941954532044
259318.2340.979318168487-22.7793181684872
260287319.177877402977-32.1778774029769
261295.8286.563250418079.2367495819305
262284295.769323045167-11.7693230451665
263271283.451911602352-12.4519116023519
264262.7269.90449171055-7.20449171054952
265340.6261.28776266535379.3122373346467
266379.4342.67454427502536.7254557249749
267373.3383.089095168204-9.78909516820363
268355.2376.558739927261-21.3587399272615
269338.4357.519751643904-19.1197516439036
270466.9339.879195373474127.020804626526
271451473.963375324781-22.9633753247812
272422457.053842906214-35.0538429062138
273429.2426.5127806577992.68721934220059
274425.9433.830918126851-7.93091812685105
275460.7430.18225340118230.5177465988184
276463.6466.323896521907-2.72389652190714
277541.4469.10414662430772.2958533756926
278544.2550.082468917023-5.88246891702317
279517.5552.623859588518-35.1238595885184
280469.4524.379719216369-54.9797192163687
281439.4473.862661265277-34.4626612652775
282549442.34758896927106.65241103073
283533556.636318954783-23.6363189547828
284506.1539.597202104452-33.497202104452
285484511.224574018316-27.2245740183164
286457487.927707718634-30.9277077186345
287481.5459.56804159236421.9319584076359
288469.5485.032230118747-15.5322301187471
289544.7472.34939104932772.3506089506733
290541.2550.730120546004-9.53012054600367
291521.5546.811150533627-25.3111505336266
292469.7525.998403533086-56.2984035330861
293434.4471.723372633822-37.3233726338217
294542.6434.782535687545107.817464312455
295517.3547.722484583198-30.422484583198
296485.7521.085029439704-35.3850294397042
297465.8487.929407330754-22.1294073307544
298447467.056538412831-20.0565384128315
299426.6447.37479844884-20.7747984488399
300411.6426.061481820658-14.461481820658
301467.5410.42571575787457.0742842421264
302484.5468.8348564827915.6651435172097
303451.2486.523538786609-35.3235387866094
304417.4451.670619973968-34.2706199739677
305379.9416.363990335302-36.4639903353019
306484.7377.260934171599107.439065828401
307455486.784247640996-31.7842476409962
308420.8455.686925690737-34.886925690737
309416.5419.953201576976-3.45320157697648
310376.3415.501389446116-39.2013894461159
311405.6373.5779897742932.0220102257098
312405.8404.2857644142691.51423558573066
313500.8404.55233432794896.2476656720519
314514503.78364341614310.2163565838573
315475.5517.432782230676-41.9327822306757
316430.1477.089303105161-46.989303105161
317414.4429.623525572911-15.2235255729114
318538413.254257994719124.745742005281
319526542.338420007115-16.3384200071155
320488.5529.620138638106-41.1201386381064
321520.2490.31238553456529.8876144654348
322504.4523.326326333327-18.9263263333266
323568.5506.69427356548961.805726434511
324610.6573.5114213543637.08857864564
325818617.241936118492200.758063881508
326830.9833.467806484269-2.567806484269
327835.9846.254918729145-10.3549187291453
328782850.799688345944-68.7996883459437
329762.3793.875066974293-31.5750669742933
330856.9772.78694117492284.1130588250784
331820.9871.084779951138-50.1847799511378
332769.6832.878520567977-63.2785205679768
333752.2778.796624744351-26.5966247443513
334724.4760.227364802198-35.8273648021983
335723.1730.852296427967-7.75229642796717
336719.5729.211484397868-9.71148439786771
337817.4725.1845411374292.2154588625805
338803.3827.138583450371-23.8385834503706
339752.5811.99057450284-59.49057450284
340689758.575207087972-69.5752070879721
341630.4692.016491803724-61.6164918037235
342765.5630.707663283766134.792336716234
343757.7771.733500917167-14.0335009171666
344732.2763.316550058615-31.1165500586147
345702.6736.448581909601-33.8485819096011
346683.3705.360506211801-22.0605062118008
347709.5685.09066637441524.4093336255853
348702.2712.363767051564-10.1637670515639
349784.8704.61694021586680.1830597841341
350810.9790.74200554825420.1579944517458
351755.6817.728205795584-62.1282057955835
352656.8759.696880937152-102.896880937152
353615.1656.373254266145-41.2732542661452
354745.3612.858769783262132.441230216738
355694.1748.881246382094-54.7812463820939
356675.7695.272913836461-19.5729138364612
357643.7676.012435323862-32.3124353238617
358622.1642.591892806878-20.4918928068782
359634.6620.0910134799614.5089865200397
360588633.228867978499-45.2288679784988
361689.7584.640483961184105.059516038816
362673.9690.959185951641-17.0591859516411
363647.9674.409217751889-26.5092177518893
364568.8647.243800458791-78.4438004587915
365545.7564.695197695533-18.9951976955331
366632.6540.76011715534691.8398828446539
367643.8631.69764812532712.1023518746726
368593.1643.429700421019-50.3297004210194
369579.7590.517069939952-10.817069939952
370546576.641522132897-30.6415221328966
371562.9541.59443750313721.3055624968628
372572.5559.43108796206113.068912037939


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
373569.605632870686482.369788627476656.841477113897
374566.711265741373440.60014829285692.822383189895
375563.816898612059405.984137006351721.649660217767
376560.922531482745374.747858224134747.097204741356
377558.028164353432345.465431752135770.590896954728
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