Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.22012398475082
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
30.380.380
40.380.39-0.01
50.380.387798760152492-0.00779876015249181
60.380.386082065991609-0.00608206599160938
70.380.384743257390019-0.00474325739001891
80.380.383699152672629-0.00369915267262916
90.380.382884880446128-0.00288488044612839
100.380.382249849066797-0.00224984906679687
110.380.381754603325126-0.00175460332512561
120.380.381368373049542-0.00136837304954196
130.370.381067161321251-0.0110671613212511
140.370.3686310136713370.00136898632866284
150.370.3689323603970720.00106763960292816
160.380.3691673734807460.0108326265192538
170.380.381551894395482-0.00155189439548176
180.390.3812102852172360.00878971478276419
190.390.393145112260041-0.00314511226004105
200.380.392452797616872-0.0124527976168722
210.380.3797116381841510.000288361815849236
220.380.3797751135361050.000224886463894514
230.380.3798246164406540.000175383559345543
240.390.3798632225685970.0101367774314026
250.390.39209457040933-0.00209457040932992
260.40.3916335052244870.00836649477551293
270.40.40347517139287-0.0034751713928699
280.40.402710202818179-0.0027102028181793
290.410.4021136221743590.00788637782564117
300.410.413849603086589-0.00384960308658944
310.410.41300221311546-0.00300221311546028
320.410.412341354001414-0.002341354001414
330.410.41182596582891-0.00182596582891048
340.420.4114240269546320.00857597304536817
350.420.423311804314494-0.0033118043144939
360.420.422582796752073-0.00258279675207257
370.420.422014261239205-0.0020142612392049
380.420.421570874028902-0.00157087402890199
390.420.421225086978119-0.00122508697811852
400.420.420955415950829-0.000955415950828709
410.420.420745105984638-0.000745105984637784
420.420.420581090286238-0.000581090286237651
430.420.420453178376931-0.00045317837693104
440.420.420353422946798-0.000353422946798077
450.420.420275626079446-0.000275626079446478
460.420.420214954168537-0.000214954168537507
470.420.42016763760042-0.000167637600420212
480.420.420130736543822-0.000130736543821675
490.420.420101958294843-0.000101958294843052
500.430.4200795148287040.00992048517129618
510.440.4322632515552710.00773674844472905
520.430.443966295451939-0.0139662954519394
530.430.430891978844851-0.00089197884485126
540.430.430695632907209-0.000695632907209143
550.440.430542507419750.00945749258024953
560.440.442624328372266-0.00262432837226634
570.440.442046650753668-0.00204665075366844
580.440.441596133834378-0.00159613383437768
590.440.441244786494559-0.00124478649455884
600.440.440970779131213-0.000970779131212574
610.440.440757087360537-0.00075708736053709
620.440.440590434273931-0.000590434273931184
630.440.44046046552882-0.000460465528820009
640.440.440359106021776-0.000359106021775746
650.450.4402800581733140.00971994182668556
660.450.452419650499751-0.00241965049975063
670.450.451887027390041-0.00188702739004121
680.450.451471647401611-0.00147164740161143
690.450.451147702511421-0.00114770251142049
700.450.450895065661298-0.0008950656612981
710.450.45069804024132-0.000698040241319531
720.450.450544384841884-0.000544384841883849


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.450424552681250.440764173778980.46008493158352
740.4508491053625010.435609256636040.466088954088962
750.4512736580437510.4306379111531810.471909404934322
760.4516982107250020.4255618386386530.47783458281135
770.4521227634062520.4202931463611130.483952380451391
780.4525473160875030.4147991820983110.490295450076694
790.4529718687687530.4090680524786510.496875685058855
800.4533964214500040.4030969307918550.503695912108152
810.4538209741312540.3968872715440330.510754676718475
820.4542455268125040.3904426105937330.518048443031276
830.4546700794937550.3837674738478450.525572685139665
840.4550946321750050.3768668082113320.533322456138678