Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0
beta0
gamma0.415602455144669


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
132.752.75165328104311-0.00165328104310625
142.622.63502698167349-0.0150269816734876
152.412.44121110626251-0.0312111062625107
163.613.66400937849564-0.0540093784956399
172.032.03582850158271-0.00582850158270665
181.451.425291519706510.0247084802934936
191.41.72140993385817-0.321409933858171
201.31.292084704358970.00791529564102844
211.581.93470283994451-0.354702839944509
222.11.782666012365540.317333987634458
232.271.901396763622030.368603236377972
242.541.833252189038360.706747810961637
252.552.73052558588536-0.180525585885356
262.052.60923691243219-0.559236912432187
272.322.41017469925616-0.0901746992561616
282.63.61445457639449-1.01445457639449
292.12.018259768224090.0817402317759095
301.611.424860610245850.185139389754151
311.551.57598907065368-0.0259890706536832
321.121.28570736143349-0.165707361433488
331.391.77394122110925-0.383941221109254
342.181.90024533105080.279754668949201
351.942.03922778045081-0.0992277804508124
362.272.111065780446130.158934219553865
372.412.63561976938618-0.22561976938618
382.22.35901283298067-0.159012832980674
392.582.354913778484020.225086221515977
402.93.16889846123187-0.268898461231869
412.122.036829870648070.0831701293519349
421.341.4905273762956-0.150527376295602
431.071.55342700397326-0.483427003973261
440.861.20768982265591-0.347689822655905
4511.60222856103959-0.602228561039589
461.542.00133131107922-0.461331311079222
471.291.98293773159055-0.692937731590554
481.442.1607088086553-0.720708808655296
492.62.522679937722890.0773200622771086
502.772.275621626060850.494378373939155
513.312.429969616606970.880030383393028
523.23.034041791969920.165958208030081
532.072.055732875953140.0142671240468606
541.421.41716354791750.00283645208249839
551.431.342273718294720.0877262817052766
561.281.055134627275830.224865372724168
571.591.341692460415050.248307539584952
581.681.79587447580932-0.115874475809325
592.011.682086223047970.327913776952033
602.521.84704493036410.672955069635903
612.742.535398430844350.204601569155652
623.062.462218940636150.597781059363847
632.692.77443878264664-0.0844387826466386
642.323.07938745045137-0.759387450451366
651.672.04595444637463-0.375954446374628
661.041.4075291158391-0.367529115839095
670.981.36821500278533-0.388215002785334
680.861.13982138390605-0.279821383906054
690.971.43385298600706-0.463852986007064
701.31.73435843336319-0.434358433363195
711.821.804460801266870.015539198733131
721.992.1104507627814-0.120450762781404


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
732.600364254247212.297087192411552.90364131608287
742.689886918594342.386609856758682.99316398043001
752.718341278428672.4150642165933.02161834026433
762.74257868659112.439301624755443.04585574842676
771.87519857000581.571921508170142.17847563184147
781.245143307578370.9418662457427051.54842036941403
791.197594224942260.8943171631065961.50087128677792
801.015653656855930.7123765950202631.31893071869159
811.231521708867060.9282446470313951.53479877070272
821.541870075525081.238593013689421.84514713736075
831.796961964288991.493684902453332.10023902612465
842.04450124677612-229.992943235671234.081945729223