Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0
gamma0.0933640247397515


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
131.10.9719493068837220.128050693116278
141.091.10018059402938-0.0101805940293789
151.091.10732374385202-0.0173237438520151
161.11.12284092982282-0.0228409298228189
171.11.12628557988237-0.0262855798823682
181.171.19992382320372-0.0299238232037207
191.151.23993237798446-0.0899323779844634
201.041.10445777277797-0.0644577727779709
210.941.00085698008531-0.0608569800853145
220.880.906010069731035-0.0260100697310353
230.850.864607189567366-0.014607189567366
240.850.8407070624380710.00929293756192895
250.850.850935043756226-0.000935043756226106
260.840.851429654885878-0.0114296548858778
270.830.85466618880266-0.0246661888026604
280.80.85640957447208-0.0564095744720802
290.780.820749655265172-0.0407496552651717
301.020.8527447355712890.167255264428711
311.191.081844375452020.108155624547984
321.11.14264635838591-0.0426463583859114
330.961.05823811407972-0.0982381140797211
340.870.925159542707039-0.0551595427070388
350.830.854848476430637-0.0248484764306367
360.820.821060711798492-0.00106071179849232
370.810.821103393924576-0.0111033939245762
380.780.811629504622918-0.0316295046229176
390.790.794028375590815-0.00402837559081515
400.80.815420135187351-0.0154201351873511
410.790.820749655265172-0.0307496552651717
420.970.8635940820598020.106405917940198
431.011.02914837460787-0.0191483746078676
440.920.97079772315018-0.0507977231501795
450.870.886094712096502-0.0160947120965019
460.840.8389869143150230.00101308568497727
470.810.825572337020449-0.0155723370204489
480.810.8014143611589140.00858563884108632
490.830.811159510647360.0188404893526403
500.830.831529579754398-0.00152957975439771
510.850.8445598866006860.00544011339931383
520.880.8769042941144450.0030957058855553
530.890.902225901829757-0.0122259018297575
541.210.9720875469449370.237912453055063
551.321.282089178659780.0379108213402175
561.331.266759261611720.0632407383882818
571.231.27819912772494-0.0481991277249449
581.161.18367742788309-0.0236774278830874
591.121.13785115739578-0.017851157395784
601.061.10593279607238-0.0459327960723825
611.081.059756592577770.0202434074222251
621.091.08028051889790.00971948110210108
631.031.10732374385202-0.0773237438520151
641.041.06135677089573-0.0213567708957254
651.051.06517839495893-0.0151783949589288
661.191.145677090761150.0443229092388469
671.141.26101077832212-0.121010778322123
681.051.09491062637599-0.044910626375986
690.951.01042050241772-0.0604205024177158
700.870.915584806219037-0.045584806219037
710.860.8548484764306370.00515152356936333
720.850.85053023775786-0.000530237757860319


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.8509350437562260.7342585684025360.967611519109916
740.8523600269358840.6877662606317141.01695379324005
750.8671576055465190.6639740972835251.07034111380951
760.8944863098849530.6558137816012431.13315883816866
770.9169795287797260.6473506783150121.18660837924444
781.001358572527740.6864188721587961.31629827289669
791.062197801895730.7103667075096121.41402889628185
801.020631728806220.6650462037654481.37621725384699
810.9823340906751410.6228099446234561.34185823672683
820.94654384599840.5830729895436371.31001470245316
830.9295454199786730.5561474489434721.30294339101388
840.918845923071749-17.335340268513119.1730321146566