Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999926373388671
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2133.71321.69999999999999
3127133.699874834761-6.69987483476072
4128.7127.000493289081.69950671091958
5127.3128.69987487108-1.39987487107994
6136.7127.3001030680439.39989693195695
7133.8136.699307917442-2.89930791744203
8137.2133.8002134662173.39978653378282
9147.4137.19974968523810.2002503147617
10137.6147.399248990135-9.79924899013463
11123.6137.600721485497-14.0007214854967
12117.4123.601030825679-6.20103082567913
13113.7117.400456560886-3.70045656088644
14106.8113.700272452077-6.90027245207695
15103.3106.800508043678-3.5005080436779
1696.3103.300257730545-7.00025773054519
1796.296.3005154052551-0.100515405255123
1894.796.2000074006087-1.50000740060868
1994.694.7001104404619-0.10011044046189
2095.794.60000737079251.09999262920752
21106.795.699919011270211.0000809887298
22100.2106.699190101312-6.49919010131245
2394.2100.200478513344-6.00047851334354
2497.694.20044179489933.3995582051007
2594.397.5997497020493-3.29974970204934
269894.30024294938883.69975705061121
2793.697.9997275994256-4.39972759942563
2886.393.6003239370339-7.30032393703391
2990.786.30053749811314.39946250188692
3081.890.6996760824843-8.89967608248432
3187.681.80065525299195.79934474700812
3273.887.5995730138984-13.7995730138984
3363.373.8010160157988-10.5010160157988
3459.163.3007731542247-4.20077315422475
3552.959.1003092886923-6.20030928869231
3654.652.90045650776211.69954349223789
3752.454.5998748683719-2.19987486837186
3867.552.400161969331915.0998380306681
3990.467.498888250094222.9011117499058
4012690.398313868746235.6016861312538
41144.3125.99737876849318.3026212315074
42167.8144.2986524400223.5013475599797
43166.2167.798269675418-1.59826967541753
44156166.20011767518-10.2001176751802
45137156.0007510001-19.0007510000996
46129.3137.001398960909-7.70139896090882
47118129.300567027908-11.300567027908
48114.7118.000832022456-3.30083202245636
49112.8114.700243029076-1.90024302907638
50115.7112.8001399084552.89986009154508
51103.9115.699786493128-11.7997864931281
5296.9103.900868778294-7.00086877829389
5388.896.9005154502445-8.10051545024452
549388.80059641350264.19940358649738
5586.392.9996908121443-6.69969081214433
5682.386.3004932755315-4.00049327553145
5782.482.30029454276350.0997054572364817
5876.682.3999926590251-5.79999265902507
5972.776.6004270338052-3.9004270338052
6067.572.7002871752252-5.20028717522524
6177.367.50038287952269.79961712047735
6273.777.2992784873991-3.59927848739909
637373.7002650026783-0.700265002678265
6478.273.00005155813925.19994844186083
6590.778.199617145417212.5003828545829
6691.590.69907963917010.800920360829892
6786.391.4999410309479-5.1999410309479
6886.886.30038285403720.499617145962787
6986.186.7999632148826-0.699963214882587
7077.186.1000515359196-9.00005153591957
7175.777.1006626432964-1.40066264329637
7278.775.7001031260442.99989687395596
7371.578.6997791277588-7.19977912775883
7469.671.5005300953395-1.90053009533951
7573.669.60013992959063.99986007040935
7678.173.59970550385724.50029449614277
7778.378.09966865856630.200331341433738
7871.578.2999852502822-6.79998525028219
7968.771.5005006598711-2.80050065987106
8061.268.7002061913736-7.50020619137361
8164.761.20055221476613.49944778523386
8264.664.6997423475181-0.0997423475180597
8356.364.600007343691-8.30000734369105
8454.556.3006111014147-1.80061110141472
8549.554.5001325728937-5.00013257289372
865449.50036814281754.49963185718246
8759.253.99966870735415.20033129264588
8852.459.1996171172291-6.79961711722914
8952.852.40050063276670.399499367233325
9047.852.7999705862154-4.99997058621536
9145.247.800368130891-2.600368130891
9247.145.20019145629371.89980854370631
9342.647.0998601235348-4.49986012353475
9442.142.6003313094524-0.500331309452349
9539.442.1000368376989-2.70003683769886
9639.639.40019879456280.199801205437183


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
9739.599985289314323.540437282788455.6595332958402
9839.599985289314316.889190767712762.3107798109159
9939.599985289314311.785397508243267.4145730703854
10039.59998528931437.4826628750872571.7173077035414
10139.59998528931433.6918594027143275.5081111759143
10239.59998528931430.26470074329363178.935269835335
10339.5999852893143-2.8869034640989482.0868740427275
10439.5999852893143-5.8203496012764385.020320179905
10539.5999852893143-8.5755056495636787.7754762281923
10639.5999852893143-11.181399418375790.3813699970043
10739.5999852893143-13.659944662375692.8599152410042
10839.5999852893143-16.028166253653795.2281368322823