| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1736 | 0.2032 | -0.4073 | -0.5353 | -0.3111 | -0.0273 |
| (p-val) | (0.6817 ) | (0.1885 ) | (0.3296 ) | (0.4067 ) | (0.3146 ) | (0.9682 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1788 | 0.2039 | -0.4131 | -0.5603 | -0.3214 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.6694 ) | (0.184 ) | (0.3155 ) | (0 ) | (0.046 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1576 | -0.2427 | -0.564 | -0.3223 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2481 ) | (0.0563 ) | (0 ) | (0.0448 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.2016 | -0.5829 | -0.3555 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0681 ) | (0 ) | (0.0226 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5949 | -0.3893 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0115 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 867.887547070964 |
| -2295.84619358662 |
| 33867.5488585595 |
| 7369.76445574945 |
| 1370.93557555042 |
| 24009.3717195274 |
| 18469.7429258204 |
| 266312.986248155 |
| -126608.293437306 |
| -19593.6070169109 |
| 67778.2702973566 |
| 24260.014517325 |
| -74158.8346092945 |
| -15958.7239614546 |
| -52862.9722682513 |
| 25327.7283414855 |
| 95505.2851060353 |
| -187570.884577506 |
| 102586.775494468 |
| -178238.665967173 |
| 137821.196929789 |
| 167317.925427787 |
| 109838.367612594 |
| 106478.992617829 |
| 135519.036425288 |
| 81352.4540733087 |
| 31758.3164444665 |
| -18190.5315768208 |
| -23689.0334021426 |
| -108848.180796023 |
| -96792.0586664734 |
| -150755.117628151 |
| 29784.4276677356 |
| 39197.7255802089 |
| -1720.68110411517 |
| -28854.2930598759 |
| -8532.05461747034 |
| -49323.2568998833 |
| 57901.599770025 |
| 58527.9023719264 |
| -173920.235895278 |
| 68411.680375476 |
| -24212.3962278838 |
| -115053.72190265 |
| 159175.212384398 |
| 54913.9927717611 |
| 14384.1744027395 |
| 12677.6146878707 |
| 904.308884151444 |
| 28609.8531579105 |
| -45872.4145855542 |
| -77728.5897658589 |
| -31474.4287629373 |
| -55102.0137628162 |
| -53168.4578773642 |
| -56825.4928809449 |
| 49331.2286471484 |
| -23345.5465756268 |
| -16932.5737647195 |
| -34819.0357488006 |
| -33689.0122477512 |
