Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	1.2998	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.3362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.3692	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.3834	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.4207	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.486	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.4385	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.4453	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.426	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.445	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.3503	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.4001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.3418	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	1.2939	1.3248	1.237	1.4343	0.2905	0.3803	0.4189	0.3803
51	1.3176	1.3425	1.2188	1.5138	0.3877	0.7111	0.3801	0.5033
52	1.3443	1.3482	1.1994	1.5712	0.4862	0.6062	0.3786	0.5226
53	1.3356	1.3267	1.1659	1.5798	0.4725	0.4458	0.2333	0.4535
54	1.3214	1.3227	1.148	1.613	0.4966	0.4652	0.1351	0.4486
55	1.2403	1.3414	1.1464	1.6887	0.2842	0.5448	0.2918	0.499
56	1.259	1.3388	1.1327	1.7241	0.3425	0.6917	0.294	0.4938
57	1.2284	1.3245	1.1133	1.7325	0.3221	0.6236	0.313	0.467
58	1.2611	1.335	1.1095	1.7964	0.3768	0.6747	0.3202	0.4885
59	1.293	1.3299	1.0975	1.8238	0.4418	0.6075	0.4677	0.4811
60	1.2993	1.3332	1.0909	1.8736	0.451	0.558	0.4042	0.4876
61	1.2986	1.3601	1.0972	1.9978	0.4251	0.5741	0.5224	0.5224

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0422	-0.0233	0	0.001	0	0
51	0.0651	-0.0186	0.0209	6e-04	8e-04	0.0281
52	0.0844	-0.0029	0.0149	0	5e-04	0.023
53	0.0973	0.0067	0.0129	1e-04	4e-04	0.0204
54	0.112	-0.001	0.0105	0	3e-04	0.0183
55	0.1321	-0.0753	0.0213	0.0102	0.002	0.0445
56	0.1469	-0.0596	0.0268	0.0064	0.0026	0.0511
57	0.1571	-0.0726	0.0325	0.0092	0.0034	0.0586
58	0.1763	-0.0554	0.035	0.0055	0.0037	0.0605
59	0.1895	-0.0277	0.0343	0.0014	0.0034	0.0586
60	0.2068	-0.0255	0.0335	0.0012	0.0032	0.0568
61	0.2392	-0.0452	0.0345	0.0038	0.0033	0.0572