Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.00412567960433317
gamma0.119415377376804


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.940.961983272056199-0.0219832720561992
140.960.961252375360522-0.00125237536052225
150.980.9792289700265490.000771029973451354
161.011.003764781406360.00623521859363851
171.010.9976477109386820.0123522890613182
181.021.006901307384050.0130986926159471
191.041.06147920510776-0.0214792051077581
201.031.04475306946454-0.0147530694645364
211.050.9952115929248520.0547884070751479
221.081.012842973848470.0671570261515331
231.171.095254562490250.0747454375097498
241.111.17440161588828-0.064401615888277
251.111.056346448393580.0536535516064156
261.111.13597733712784-0.0259773371278378
271.21.133011160475580.0669888395244185
281.211.23023011782245-0.020230117822452
291.311.196185552475390.113814447524614
301.371.307439251061350.0625607489386455
311.371.42745767620478-0.0574576762047809
321.261.37787750518531-0.117877505185307
331.231.218538378091970.0114616219080286
341.171.18728017690399-0.0172801769039943
351.061.18691816194647-0.126918161946471
360.951.06352582676318-0.113525826763181
370.920.9034125652206660.0165874347793343
380.920.940723442483331-0.0207234424833307
390.90.938251570673106-0.0382515706731061
400.930.921447843915130.00855215608486992
410.930.9182668338990540.011733166100946
420.970.9267898042125590.0432101957874407
430.961.00922834331053-0.0492283433105334
440.990.9640279138955110.0259720861044888
450.980.9564033041842160.0235966958157843
460.960.9450352507340760.0149647492659243
4710.9730585315678860.0269414684321138
480.991.00309652449507-0.0130965244950734
491.030.9416864491995690.0883135508004311
501.021.05380492759821-0.0338049275982089
511.071.04079709047750.0292029095225019
521.131.09646587457590.0335341254241017
531.151.116822068984490.0331779310155054
541.161.147205754344680.0127942456553161
551.141.20792670710948-0.0679267071094787
561.151.145756504136940.00424349586305572
571.151.111784657464270.0382153425357341
581.161.109805300006220.0501946999937837
591.171.1767891519441-0.0067891519441019
601.221.174449304527180.0455506954728235
611.261.161528973165690.0984710268343123
621.291.2901659614997-0.000165961499696055
631.361.317561571498940.0424384285010646
641.381.39495522493229-0.0149552249322853
651.371.364963053558180.00503694644182473
661.371.367577226116540.00242277388345724
671.371.42749137585656-0.0574913758565589
681.361.37791124387987-0.017911243879867
691.381.315669870222240.064330129777759
701.41.332677932997450.0673220670025465
711.441.421216401581330.0187835984186717
721.421.44654315603357-0.0265431560335687


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
731.35265170007111.255426288675041.44987711146716
741.385337508752541.245927601881851.52474741562322
751.41524444949281.242405671424131.58808322756147
761.451772405136241.249040981315491.65450382895699
771.436158685612571.212676877683611.65964049354152
781.433804988912291.189740536407611.67786944141698
791.494158267846281.2210764191281.76724011656456
801.503193095064151.210900092394681.79548609773361
811.454658566080731.154670076529631.75464705563183
821.404980412530611.098447978348411.71151284671281
831.426236844992381.099247852285321.75322583769943
841.43261905210506-90.289868630037693.1551067342477