Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0721091693624068
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3101.78101.630.150000000000006
4102.04101.7008163754040.339183624595648
5102.36101.9852746248350.374725375164715
6102.56102.3322957603770.227704239622582
7102.69102.5487153239570.141284676043085
8102.77102.688903244590.0810967554099875
9102.85102.7747510642610.0752489357393813
10102.9102.8601772025120.0398227974878296
11102.72102.913048791361-0.193048791360724
12102.79102.7191282033690.0708717966307262
13102.9102.7942387097560.105761290244459
14102.91102.911865068546-0.00186506854578283
15103.29102.9217305800020.368269419997887
16103.35103.328286181980.0217138180202312
17102.97103.389851947361-0.419851947360868
18103.05102.9795767721810.0704232278185088
19103.18103.0646549326430.115345067356699
20103.21103.202972369640.0070276303595449
21103.32103.2334791262280.0865208737717325
22103.31103.349718074568-0.0397180745684409
23103.6103.3368540372030.263145962797353
24103.68103.6458292740010.0341707259989761
25103.77103.7282932966690.0417067033306608
26103.82103.821300732403-0.00130073240335093
27103.86103.87120693767-0.0112069376701811
28103.9103.910398814704-0.0103988147036773
29103.63103.949648964813-0.319648964813055
30103.65103.656599343473-0.00659934347281421
31103.7103.6761234702970.0238765297033297
32103.77103.7278451870210.0421548129791631
33103.94103.8008849355690.139115064430612
34104.03103.9809164073110.0490835926887314
35104.03104.074455784409-0.0444557844093794
36104.29104.0712501147220.218749885277731
37104.35104.3470239872480.00297601275222803
38104.67104.4072385850550.262761414944663
39104.73104.746186092427-0.016186092427489
40104.86104.8050189267470.0549810732526765
41104.05104.93898356627-0.888983566270227
42104.15104.064879699730.0851203002703613
43104.27104.1710176538780.0989823461219714
44104.33104.2981551886380.0318448113615801
45104.41104.3604514915340.0495485084657901
46104.4104.444024393323-0.0440243933228146
47104.41104.430849830889-0.0208498308886362
48104.6104.4393463669020.160653633098093
49104.61104.64093096694-0.0309309669396498
50104.65104.6487005606060.0012994393939465
51104.55104.688794262101-0.138794262101413
52104.51104.578785923149-0.0687859231489938
53104.74104.5338258273670.206174172633098
54104.89104.7786928756990.111307124300552
55104.91104.936719139977-0.0267191399768905
56104.93104.954792444987-0.0247924449870567
57104.95104.973004682373-0.0230046823726013
58104.97104.991345833835-0.0213458338352552
59105.16105.0098066034880.150193396511952
60105.29105.2106369245540.0793630754457695
61105.35105.3463597300030.00364026999730527
62105.36105.406622226848-0.0466222268484415
63105.45105.4132603367970.03673966320342
64105.3105.505909603393-0.20590960339284
65105.73105.3410616329280.388938367071574
66105.86105.7991076555110.0608923444888632
67105.85105.933498551893-0.0834985518927596
68105.95105.9174775406730.0325224593272111
69105.97106.019822708201-0.0498227082005087
70106.15106.0362300340970.113769965903217
71105.37106.224433891836-0.854433891836464
72105.39105.3828213736210.00717862637895905


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73105.403339018406104.997882103699105.808795933114
74105.416678036813104.822241959991106.011114113635
75105.430017055219104.675970344176106.184063766263
76105.443356073626104.542355789544106.344356357707
77105.456695092032104.415201414149106.498188769915
78105.470034110438104.291467704543106.648600516334
79105.483373128845104.169432410536106.797313847153
80105.496712147251104.048028945635106.945395348867
81105.510051165658103.926556038239107.093546293076
82105.523390184064103.804532646577107.242247721551
83105.53672920247103.681618454105107.391839950836
84105.550068220877103.557567178132107.542569263622