Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	1.2998	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.3362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.3692	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.3834	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.4207	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.486	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.4385	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.4453	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.426	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.445	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.3503	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.4001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.3418	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	1.2939	1.3339	1.2378	1.4392	0.2281	0.4416	0.483	0.4416
51	1.3176	1.3519	1.2248	1.4952	0.3193	0.7864	0.4066	0.5551
52	1.3443	1.3567	1.2066	1.5297	0.4443	0.671	0.381	0.5669
53	1.3356	1.3311	1.1659	1.5252	0.4821	0.4472	0.1829	0.4572
54	1.3214	1.3223	1.1423	1.5374	0.4968	0.4517	0.0678	0.4294
55	1.2403	1.3434	1.1454	1.584	0.2004	0.5712	0.2193	0.5053
56	1.259	1.3395	1.1288	1.5993	0.2717	0.773	0.2124	0.4932
57	1.2284	1.3282	1.1074	1.604	0.239	0.6887	0.2436	0.4616
58	1.2611	1.3383	1.1041	1.6347	0.3048	0.7663	0.2403	0.4908
59	1.293	1.3399	1.0947	1.6541	0.3849	0.6885	0.4741	0.4953
60	1.2993	1.3386	1.0835	1.6691	0.408	0.6065	0.3576	0.4923
61	1.2986	1.37	1.098	1.7269	0.3476	0.651	0.5615	0.5615

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0403	-0.03	0	0.0016	0	0
51	0.0541	-0.0254	0.0277	0.0012	0.0014	0.0373
52	0.0651	-0.0091	0.0215	2e-04	0.001	0.0313
53	0.0744	0.0033	0.017	0	7e-04	0.0272
54	0.083	-7e-04	0.0137	0	6e-04	0.0243
55	0.0914	-0.0768	0.0242	0.0106	0.0023	0.0476
56	0.0989	-0.0601	0.0293	0.0065	0.0029	0.0536
57	0.1059	-0.0752	0.0351	0.01	0.0038	0.0613
58	0.113	-0.0577	0.0376	0.006	0.004	0.0632
59	0.1196	-0.035	0.0373	0.0022	0.0038	0.0618
60	0.126	-0.0293	0.0366	0.0015	0.0036	0.0601
61	0.1329	-0.0521	0.0379	0.0051	0.0037	0.0611