Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[106])
94	328	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	354	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	327	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	324	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	285	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	243	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	241	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	355	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	460	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	364	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	487	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	452	431.0568	365.0797	497.034	0.2669	0.0483	0.9898	0.0483
108	391	439.0389	364.195	513.8827	0.1042	0.3671	0.987	0.1046
109	500	410.759	328.718	492.8001	0.0165	0.6816	0.9773	0.0343
110	451	399.5281	312.7345	486.3217	0.1225	0.0116	0.956	0.0241
111	375	398.085	307.4647	488.7054	0.3088	0.1262	0.9928	0.0272
112	372	376.5253	282.6785	470.3722	0.4624	0.5127	0.9974	0.0105
113	302	375.3456	278.6201	472.0712	0.0686	0.527	0.9968	0.0118
114	316	385.8547	286.4781	485.2314	0.0841	0.9509	0.9744	0.023
115	398	427.7488	325.875	529.6226	0.2835	0.9842	0.9192	0.1272
116	394	464.7219	360.4619	568.9818	0.0918	0.8951	0.5354	0.3377
117	431	424.2099	317.648	530.7718	0.4503	0.7108	0.8659	0.1241
118	431	452.1112	343.3148	560.9076	0.3519	0.6481	0.2648	0.2648

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
107	0.0781	0.0486	0	438.6158	0	0
108	0.087	-0.1094	0.079	2307.7318	1373.1738	37.0564
109	0.1019	0.2173	0.1251	7963.9514	3570.0997	59.7503
110	0.1108	0.1288	0.126	2649.3516	3339.9126	57.792
111	0.1161	-0.058	0.1124	532.9186	2778.5138	52.7116
112	0.1272	-0.012	0.0957	20.4787	2318.8413	48.1543
113	0.1315	-0.1954	0.1099	5379.5838	2756.0902	52.4985
114	0.1314	-0.181	0.1188	4879.6831	3021.5393	54.9685
115	0.1215	-0.0695	0.1133	884.9924	2784.1452	52.765
116	0.1145	-0.1522	0.1172	5001.5803	3005.8887	54.826
117	0.1282	0.016	0.108	46.1057	2736.8176	52.3146
118	0.1228	-0.0467	0.1029	445.6834	2545.8897	50.4568