| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.9296 | -0.4369 | 0.0304 | 0.5387 | 0.8204 | -0.5597 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0079 ) | (0.8067 ) | (0.012 ) | (0 ) | (0.0201 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.9721 | -0.4703 | 0 | 0.5733 | 0.8204 | -0.559 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.0195 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0409999680813096 |
| -1.60279964492074 |
| 8.82447361885632 |
| -4.94761107607199 |
| 1.31997600692915 |
| -6.93109951038768 |
| 6.27136180014695 |
| -8.36703299365229 |
| 2.98605207385911 |
| -5.87206455393686 |
| -3.20040797256286 |
| 12.4829198191867 |
| 9.10285540951901 |
| 13.6000915842102 |
| 1.86366474143316 |
| -23.5070027088168 |
| -6.70238990007883 |
| 6.87539556988858 |
| 12.1817350624816 |
| 10.9183658695789 |
| 0.447103064988039 |
| -3.6907994307447 |
| 16.5017363786339 |
| 20.3042171889317 |
| -6.82647472081156 |
| -20.4409868529086 |
| -19.3640557615179 |
| 34.7666198213034 |
| 21.388538488087 |
| -12.2460780522811 |
| 20.0159726246018 |
| 40.8839859436008 |
| 3.51215748399611 |
| -27.7911146464848 |
| 11.5997627719312 |
| 21.4364584811034 |
| 25.6199270543078 |
| -28.1464048511635 |
| 7.12314852121743 |
| -36.0093125542921 |
| -2.18522517610963 |
| -44.0119266532121 |
| 27.1626894864584 |
| 5.10238771018833 |
| -1.85619561760742 |
| -25.0977202382128 |
| -9.19056569421521 |
| -34.2955325134522 |
| 9.36661436270424 |
| 19.4677592586415 |
| 17.291868924285 |
| -16.1276834623894 |
| -0.909861823073184 |
| 37.9527938524243 |
| 31.0860458921549 |
| 38.6002489990903 |
| 63.0852945156827 |
| -9.71565472599102 |
| -28.8868533166945 |
| -20.5473238072305 |
| -42.3786440785772 |
| 9.06210622682762 |
| 7.22764852135031 |
| 3.6810790337053 |
| 19.4226858949464 |
| -16.1266593439243 |
| 98.8699564442992 |
| -36.6258924746581 |
| -13.4476113428822 |
| 41.8603833496451 |
| 38.0211409056186 |
| 23.4126349952751 |
| -45.0481785806668 |
| -35.6274890935836 |
| 12.6284805704117 |
| 65.3157095323229 |
| -65.6446591476875 |
| 10.5133604597465 |
| 56.6824548433617 |
| 43.2087848493126 |
| -35.5538893299337 |
| -84.7568301241387 |
| -18.9346714433155 |
| 52.2212418023078 |
| 27.6671289635803 |
| -16.8462689226332 |
| 9.70482078829293 |
| -57.1495058408181 |
| 32.5675916433793 |
| -10.6880601365869 |
| -1.54894460700751 |
| 73.4851565542768 |
| -41.0027921930313 |
| 18.0572318798463 |
| 2.86672358318304 |
| 17.4571281735184 |
| -28.8896722599033 |
| 1.81504649461652 |
| -56.9428058929578 |
| -46.8324559514357 |
| -28.6762523680829 |
| 47.3411025178685 |
| 47.4704730929327 |
| 108.547795065956 |
| -34.9618494124655 |
| 116.48589722398 |
| -21.2193492574044 |
| -43.8042614795223 |
| 58.8464964290146 |
| 10.6695453608548 |
| -65.1633153246355 |
| -42.0617381692542 |
| -64.4413547094991 |
| -19.638174299647 |
| 24.750108065081 |
| -12.3153072769743 |
| 63.9283973159614 |
| -13.248885372484 |
