Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
CorrectAnalysis[t] = + 0.0476190476190476 + 0.213250517598344`T40\r\r`[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)0.04761904761904760.037121.28280.203080.10154
`T40\r\r`0.2132505175983440.0717792.97090.0038710.001935


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.308359738983709
R-squared0.0950857286261013
Adjusted R-squared0.084312939681174
F-TEST (value)8.82647280218692
F-TEST (DF numerator)1
F-TEST (DF denominator)84
p-value0.00387075225747924
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.294633053980841
Sum Squared Residuals7.29192546583851


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
100.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
200.0476190476190475-0.0476190476190475
300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
400.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
600.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
700.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
800.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
1000.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
1100.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
1200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
1300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
1400.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
1500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
1600.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
1710.2608695652173910.739130434782609
1800.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
1900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2010.2608695652173910.739130434782609
2100.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2400.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2500.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
2600.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2700.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2800.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
2900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3000.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3100.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3400.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
3500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3600.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3700.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
3800.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
3900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4000.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
4110.04761904761904780.952380952380952
4200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4400.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
4500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4600.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4700.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4800.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
4900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
5000.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
5100.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
5210.2608695652173910.739130434782609
5300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
5410.04761904761904780.952380952380952
5500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
5600.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
5700.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
5800.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
5900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
6010.2608695652173910.739130434782609
6100.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
6200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
6300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
6400.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
6500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
6600.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
6710.2608695652173910.739130434782609
6800.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
6900.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7000.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7100.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7400.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7600.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
7700.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7800.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
7910.2608695652173910.739130434782609
8000.260869565217391-0.260869565217391
8100.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
8200.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
8300.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
8410.04761904761904780.952380952380952
8500.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476
8600.0476190476190476-0.0476190476190476


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
5001
6001
7001
8001
9001
10001
11001
12001
13001
14001
15001
16001
170.1241092388295030.2482184776590060.875890761170497
180.1009544109824330.2019088219648650.899045589017567
190.06862045476437480.137240909528750.931379545235625
200.4487798660602040.8975597321204090.551220133939796
210.3748719239576310.7497438479152620.625128076042369
220.3062237190206340.6124474380412690.693776280979366
230.2445452668958580.4890905337917170.755454733104142
240.1908770602194020.3817541204388040.809122939780598
250.177827177717150.35565435543430.82217282228285
260.1352649851046460.2705299702092930.864735014895354
270.1005897903521050.201179580704210.899410209647895
280.07313193339283260.1462638667856650.926868066607167
290.05198358863763880.1039671772752780.948016411362361
300.03612989937854820.07225979875709640.963870100621452
310.02455581041079570.04911162082159140.975444189589204
320.01632234046955250.03264468093910510.983677659530448
330.0106123301046510.02122466020930190.989387669895349
340.009407374774330810.01881474954866160.990592625225669
350.005967976306482180.01193595261296440.994032023693518
360.003705115429739580.007410230859479170.99629488457026
370.003208872540298270.006417745080596550.996791127459702
380.001943358178762150.003886716357524310.998056641821238
390.001152260808668540.002304521617337070.998847739191331
400.000993652562997670.001987305125995340.999006347437002
410.09206383401568890.1841276680313780.907936165984311
420.06900692017747140.1380138403549430.930993079822529
430.05071042771971360.1014208554394270.949289572280286
440.04833686402284380.09667372804568760.951663135977156
450.03473381909965750.0694676381993150.965266180900342
460.02445678708992330.04891357417984650.975543212910077
470.01687045337202090.03374090674404190.983129546627979
480.01139854856986150.02279709713972290.988601451430139
490.007542057968429270.01508411593685850.992457942031571
500.004886266256797940.009772532513595880.995113733743202
510.004917486803605830.009834973607211650.995082513196394
520.04114567948613930.08229135897227860.958854320513861
530.02928459906325580.05856919812651160.970715400936744
540.3297851983776740.6595703967553470.670214801622326
550.2742211123804680.5484422247609370.725778887619532
560.2884578796370360.5769157592740720.711542120362964
570.2358950340733150.471790068146630.764104965926685
580.1888514811594420.3777029623188830.811148518840558
590.1478619823130720.2957239646261440.852138017686928
600.3612996182798890.7225992365597780.638700381720111
610.3734188146204570.7468376292409140.626581185379543
620.3107040111079650.6214080222159290.689295988892035
630.2526048021787690.5052096043575380.747395197821231
640.2938367696260910.5876735392521830.706163230373909
650.2359309825157580.4718619650315160.764069017484242
660.1844653348104040.3689306696208070.815534665189596
670.3890125314489720.7780250628979440.610987468551028
680.3190628124356250.6381256248712510.680937187564375
690.2542570581930240.5085141163860480.745742941806976
700.1964085800079960.3928171600159920.803591419992004
710.1467349473254860.2934698946509730.853265052674514
720.1057761491751430.2115522983502850.894223850824857
730.07340873000565220.1468174600113040.926591269994348
740.0489476267073660.09789525341473210.951052373292634
750.03131047092570570.06262094185141140.968689529074294
760.03545039462762560.07090078925525110.964549605372374
770.02139888981900080.04279777963800160.978601110180999
780.01231346819948440.02462693639896870.987686531800516
790.08238416498678830.1647683299735770.917615835013212
800.0454496371012870.0908992742025740.954550362898713
810.02430528031996110.04861056063992210.975694719680039


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level190.246753246753247NOK
5% type I error level310.402597402597403NOK
10% type I error level400.519480519480519NOK