Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8124 |
R-squared | 0.66 |
RMSE | 37063.2089 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 293403 | 176061.901639344 | 117341.098360656 |
2 | 277108 | 129880.852459016 | 147227.147540984 |
3 | 264020 | 176061.901639344 | 87958.0983606557 |
4 | 260646 | 176061.901639344 | 84584.0983606557 |
5 | 246100 | 176061.901639344 | 70038.0983606557 |
6 | 244051 | 176061.901639344 | 67989.0983606557 |
7 | 241329 | 176061.901639344 | 65267.0983606557 |
8 | 234730 | 176061.901639344 | 58668.0983606557 |
9 | 234509 | 176061.901639344 | 58447.0983606557 |
10 | 233482 | 129880.852459016 | 103601.147540984 |
11 | 233406 | 176061.901639344 | 57344.0983606557 |
12 | 228548 | 176061.901639344 | 52486.0983606557 |
13 | 223914 | 176061.901639344 | 47852.0983606557 |
14 | 223696 | 176061.901639344 | 47634.0983606557 |
15 | 223004 | 176061.901639344 | 46942.0983606557 |
16 | 213765 | 176061.901639344 | 37703.0983606557 |
17 | 210554 | 176061.901639344 | 34492.0983606557 |
18 | 202204 | 129880.852459016 | 72323.1475409836 |
19 | 199512 | 129880.852459016 | 69631.1475409836 |
20 | 195304 | 176061.901639344 | 19242.0983606557 |
21 | 191467 | 176061.901639344 | 15405.0983606557 |
22 | 191381 | 176061.901639344 | 15319.0983606557 |
23 | 191276 | 176061.901639344 | 15214.0983606557 |
24 | 190410 | 176061.901639344 | 14348.0983606557 |
25 | 188967 | 176061.901639344 | 12905.0983606557 |
26 | 188780 | 176061.901639344 | 12718.0983606557 |
27 | 185139 | 176061.901639344 | 9077.09836065574 |
28 | 185039 | 176061.901639344 | 8977.09836065574 |
29 | 184217 | 129880.852459016 | 54336.1475409836 |
30 | 181853 | 176061.901639344 | 5791.09836065574 |
31 | 181379 | 176061.901639344 | 5317.09836065574 |
32 | 181344 | 176061.901639344 | 5282.09836065574 |
33 | 179562 | 176061.901639344 | 3500.09836065574 |
34 | 178863 | 129880.852459016 | 48982.1475409836 |
35 | 178140 | 129880.852459016 | 48259.1475409836 |
36 | 176789 | 176061.901639344 | 727.098360655742 |
37 | 176460 | 176061.901639344 | 398.098360655742 |
38 | 175877 | 176061.901639344 | -184.901639344258 |
39 | 175568 | 176061.901639344 | -493.901639344258 |
40 | 174107 | 176061.901639344 | -1954.90163934426 |
41 | 173587 | 176061.901639344 | -2474.90163934426 |
42 | 173260 | 129880.852459016 | 43379.1475409836 |
43 | 172684 | 176061.901639344 | -3377.90163934426 |
44 | 167845 | 176061.901639344 | -8216.90163934426 |
45 | 167131 | 129880.852459016 | 37250.1475409836 |
46 | 167105 | 129880.852459016 | 37224.1475409836 |
47 | 166790 | 129880.852459016 | 36909.1475409836 |
48 | 164767 | 129880.852459016 | 34886.1475409836 |
49 | 162810 | 129880.852459016 | 32929.1475409836 |
50 | 162336 | 176061.901639344 | -13725.9016393443 |
51 | 161678 | 129880.852459016 | 31797.1475409836 |
52 | 158980 | 176061.901639344 | -17081.9016393443 |
53 | 157250 | 176061.901639344 | -18811.9016393443 |
54 | 156833 | 129880.852459016 | 26952.1475409836 |
55 | 155383 | 176061.901639344 | -20678.9016393443 |
56 | 154991 | 176061.901639344 | -21070.9016393443 |
57 | 154730 | 176061.901639344 | -21331.9016393443 |
58 | 151503 | 176061.901639344 | -24558.9016393443 |
59 | 146455 | 176061.901639344 | -29606.9016393443 |
60 | 143937 | 176061.901639344 | -32124.9016393443 |
61 | 142339 | 176061.901639344 | -33722.9016393443 |
62 | 142146 | 176061.901639344 | -33915.9016393443 |
63 | 142141 | 129880.852459016 | 12260.1475409836 |
64 | 142069 | 129880.852459016 | 12188.1475409836 |
65 | 141933 | 176061.901639344 | -34128.9016393443 |
66 | 139350 | 129880.852459016 | 9469.14754098361 |
67 | 139144 | 129880.852459016 | 9263.14754098361 |
68 | 137793 | 129880.852459016 | 7912.14754098361 |
69 | 136911 | 176061.901639344 | -39150.9016393443 |
70 | 136548 | 176061.901639344 | -39513.9016393443 |
71 | 135171 | 129880.852459016 | 5290.14754098361 |
72 | 134043 | 129880.852459016 | 4162.14754098361 |
73 | 131876 | 86457.8888888889 | 45418.1111111111 |
74 | 131122 | 129880.852459016 | 1241.14754098361 |
75 | 130539 | 129880.852459016 | 658.147540983613 |
76 | 130533 | 129880.852459016 | 652.147540983613 |
77 | 130232 | 176061.901639344 | -45829.9016393443 |
78 | 129100 | 129880.852459016 | -780.852459016387 |
79 | 128655 | 176061.901639344 | -47406.9016393443 |
80 | 128066 | 129880.852459016 | -1814.85245901639 |
81 | 127619 | 129880.852459016 | -2261.85245901639 |
82 | 127324 | 176061.901639344 | -48737.9016393443 |
83 | 126683 | 129880.852459016 | -3197.85245901639 |
84 | 126681 | 129880.852459016 | -3199.85245901639 |
85 | 125971 | 129880.852459016 | -3909.85245901639 |
86 | 125366 | 129880.852459016 | -4514.85245901639 |
87 | 122433 | 129880.852459016 | -7447.85245901639 |
88 | 121135 | 129880.852459016 | -8745.85245901639 |
89 | 119291 | 176061.901639344 | -56770.9016393443 |
90 | 118958 | 129880.852459016 | -10922.8524590164 |
91 | 118807 | 129880.852459016 | -11073.8524590164 |
92 | 118372 | 176061.901639344 | -57689.9016393443 |
93 | 116900 | 129880.852459016 | -12980.8524590164 |
94 | 116775 | 86457.8888888889 | 30317.1111111111 |
95 | 115199 | 129880.852459016 | -14681.8524590164 |
96 | 114928 | 176061.901639344 | -61133.9016393443 |
97 | 114397 | 129880.852459016 | -15483.8524590164 |
98 | 113337 | 129880.852459016 | -16543.8524590164 |
99 | 111664 | 176061.901639344 | -64397.9016393443 |
100 | 108715 | 129880.852459016 | -21165.8524590164 |
101 | 107342 | 176061.901639344 | -68719.9016393443 |
102 | 107335 | 129880.852459016 | -22545.8524590164 |
103 | 106539 | 86457.8888888889 | 20081.1111111111 |
104 | 105615 | 129880.852459016 | -24265.8524590164 |
105 | 105410 | 129880.852459016 | -24470.8524590164 |
106 | 105324 | 129880.852459016 | -24556.8524590164 |
107 | 103012 | 86457.8888888889 | 16554.1111111111 |
108 | 102531 | 129880.852459016 | -27349.8524590164 |
109 | 101324 | 176061.901639344 | -74737.9016393443 |
110 | 100885 | 129880.852459016 | -28995.8524590164 |
111 | 100672 | 129880.852459016 | -29208.8524590164 |
112 | 99946 | 176061.901639344 | -76115.9016393443 |
113 | 99768 | 86457.8888888889 | 13310.1111111111 |
114 | 99246 | 86457.8888888889 | 12788.1111111111 |
115 | 98599 | 129880.852459016 | -31281.8524590164 |
116 | 98030 | 86457.8888888889 | 11572.1111111111 |
117 | 94763 | 176061.901639344 | -81298.9016393443 |
118 | 93340 | 129880.852459016 | -36540.8524590164 |
119 | 93125 | 86457.8888888889 | 6667.11111111111 |
120 | 91185 | 129880.852459016 | -38695.8524590164 |
121 | 90961 | 129880.852459016 | -38919.8524590164 |
122 | 90938 | 129880.852459016 | -38942.8524590164 |
123 | 89318 | 129880.852459016 | -40562.8524590164 |
124 | 88817 | 129880.852459016 | -41063.8524590164 |
125 | 84944 | 129880.852459016 | -44936.8524590164 |
126 | 84572 | 129880.852459016 | -45308.8524590164 |
127 | 84256 | 129880.852459016 | -45624.8524590164 |
128 | 80953 | 129880.852459016 | -48927.8524590164 |
129 | 78800 | 86457.8888888889 | -7657.88888888889 |
130 | 78776 | 86457.8888888889 | -7681.88888888889 |
131 | 75812 | 86457.8888888889 | -10645.8888888889 |
132 | 75426 | 48633.9 | 26792.1 |
133 | 74398 | 129880.852459016 | -55482.8524590164 |
134 | 74112 | 86457.8888888889 | -12345.8888888889 |
135 | 73567 | 86457.8888888889 | -12890.8888888889 |
136 | 69471 | 86457.8888888889 | -16986.8888888889 |
137 | 68948 | 86457.8888888889 | -17509.8888888889 |
138 | 67746 | 48633.9 | 19112.1 |
139 | 67507 | 129880.852459016 | -62373.8524590164 |
140 | 65029 | 86457.8888888889 | -21428.8888888889 |
141 | 64320 | 48633.9 | 15686.1 |
142 | 61857 | 86457.8888888889 | -24600.8888888889 |
143 | 61499 | 86457.8888888889 | -24958.8888888889 |
144 | 50999 | 48633.9 | 2365.1 |
145 | 46660 | 48633.9 | -1973.9 |
146 | 43287 | 48633.9 | -5346.9 |
147 | 38214 | 48633.9 | -10419.9 |
148 | 35523 | 48633.9 | -13110.9 |
149 | 32750 | 48633.9 | -15883.9 |
150 | 31414 | 48633.9 | -17219.9 |
151 | 24188 | 7809.92857142857 | 16378.0714285714 |
152 | 22938 | 7809.92857142857 | 15128.0714285714 |
153 | 21054 | 7809.92857142857 | 13244.0714285714 |
154 | 17547 | 7809.92857142857 | 9737.07142857143 |
155 | 14688 | 7809.92857142857 | 6878.07142857143 |
156 | 7199 | 7809.92857142857 | -610.928571428572 |
157 | 969 | 7809.92857142857 | -6840.92857142857 |
158 | 455 | 7809.92857142857 | -7354.92857142857 |
159 | 203 | 7809.92857142857 | -7606.92857142857 |
160 | 98 | 7809.92857142857 | -7711.92857142857 |
161 | 0 | 7809.92857142857 | -7809.92857142857 |
162 | 0 | 7809.92857142857 | -7809.92857142857 |
163 | 0 | 7809.92857142857 | -7809.92857142857 |
164 | 0 | 7809.92857142857 | -7809.92857142857 |