Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
CorrectAnalysis[t] = -0.242049295268229 + 0.0903881418092909T40[t] + 0.104572666474903T20[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -0.242049295268229 | 0.161116 | -1.5023 | 0.1351 | 0.06755 |
T40 | 0.0903881418092909 | 0.049573 | 1.8233 | 0.070233 | 0.035116 |
T20 | 0.104572666474903 | 0.049612 | 2.1078 | 0.036699 | 0.01835 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.175197167812158 |
R-squared | 0.0306940476094016 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.0178555581737644 |
F-TEST (value) | 2.39078341445693 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 2 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 151 |
p-value | 0.0950159285756232 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.266511774540243 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 10.725307421257 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
2 | 0 | 0.0716687041564791 | -0.0716687041564791 |
3 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
4 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
5 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
6 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
7 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
8 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
9 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
10 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
11 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
12 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
13 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
14 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
15 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
16 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
17 | 1 | 0.16205684596577 | 0.83794315403423 |
18 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
19 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
20 | 1 | 0.16205684596577 | 0.83794315403423 |
21 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
22 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
23 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
24 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
25 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
26 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
27 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
28 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
29 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
30 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
31 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
32 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
33 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
34 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
35 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
36 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
37 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
38 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
39 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
40 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
41 | 1 | 0.0716687041564793 | 0.928331295843521 |
42 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
43 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
44 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
45 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
46 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
47 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
48 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
49 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
50 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
51 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
52 | 1 | 0.16205684596577 | 0.83794315403423 |
53 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
54 | 1 | 0.0716687041564793 | 0.928331295843521 |
55 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
56 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
57 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
58 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
59 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
60 | 1 | 0.16205684596577 | 0.83794315403423 |
61 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
62 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
63 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
64 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
65 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
66 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
67 | 1 | 0.16205684596577 | 0.83794315403423 |
68 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
69 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
70 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
71 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
72 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
73 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
74 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
75 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
76 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
77 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
78 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
79 | 1 | 0.16205684596577 | 0.83794315403423 |
80 | 0 | 0.16205684596577 | -0.16205684596577 |
81 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
82 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
83 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
84 | 1 | 0.0716687041564793 | 0.928331295843521 |
85 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
86 | 0 | 0.0716687041564792 | -0.0716687041564792 |
87 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
88 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
89 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
90 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
91 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
92 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
93 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
94 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
95 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
96 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
97 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
98 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
99 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
100 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
101 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
102 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
103 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
104 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
105 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
106 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
107 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
108 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
109 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
110 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
111 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
112 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
113 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
114 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
115 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
116 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
117 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
118 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
119 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
120 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
121 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
122 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
123 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
124 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
125 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
126 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
127 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
128 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
129 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
130 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
131 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
132 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
133 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
134 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
135 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
136 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
137 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
138 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
139 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
140 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
141 | 1 | 0.0291151301596433 | 0.970884869840357 |
142 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
143 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
144 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
145 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
146 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
147 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
148 | 0 | 0.133687796634546 | -0.133687796634546 |
149 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
150 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
151 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
152 | 1 | 0.0291151301596433 | 0.970884869840357 |
153 | 1 | 0.0291151301596433 | 0.970884869840357 |
154 | 0 | 0.0291151301596433 | -0.0291151301596433 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
6 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
8 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
9 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
13 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | 0.344868578653851 | 0.689737157307701 | 0.655131421346149 |
18 | 0.297822886604994 | 0.595645773209988 | 0.702177113395006 |
19 | 0.232811278020922 | 0.465622556041845 | 0.767188721979078 |
20 | 0.78044066254787 | 0.43911867490426 | 0.21955933745213 |
21 | 0.725013934012275 | 0.549972131975451 | 0.274986065987726 |
22 | 0.664560873023687 | 0.670878253952626 | 0.335439126976313 |
23 | 0.600600876329675 | 0.79879824734065 | 0.399399123670325 |
24 | 0.534864076133598 | 0.930271847732803 | 0.465135923866402 |
25 | 0.514758667868019 | 0.970482664263961 | 0.485241332131981 |
26 | 0.450314987087684 | 0.900629974175367 | 0.549685012912316 |
27 | 0.387998472054478 | 0.775996944108955 | 0.612001527945522 |
28 | 0.329197943718777 | 0.658395887437555 | 0.670802056281223 |
29 | 0.275009323508526 | 0.550018647017051 | 0.724990676491474 |
30 | 0.226194822125297 | 0.452389644250593 | 0.773805177874703 |
31 | 0.183177449116055 | 0.366354898232109 | 0.816822550883945 |
32 | 0.146065649844053 | 0.292131299688106 | 0.853934350155947 |
33 | 0.114700066487426 | 0.229400132974852 | 0.885299933512574 |
34 | 0.105001054750255 | 0.210002109500511 | 0.894998945249745 |
35 | 0.0809945275230326 | 0.161989055046065 | 0.919005472476967 |
36 | 0.0615678985592746 | 0.123135797118549 | 0.938432101440725 |
37 | 0.0542812934538917 | 0.108562586907783 | 0.945718706546108 |
38 | 0.0405071515107948 | 0.0810143030215896 | 0.959492848489205 |
39 | 0.0298120428181248 | 0.0596240856362497 | 0.970187957181875 |
40 | 0.0253631529409895 | 0.0507263058819789 | 0.974636847059011 |
41 | 0.440863838472208 | 0.881727676944415 | 0.559136161527792 |
42 | 0.391031392216071 | 0.782062784432142 | 0.608968607783929 |
43 | 0.343291774957563 | 0.686583549915127 | 0.656708225042437 |
44 | 0.313765404245315 | 0.627530808490629 | 0.686234595754685 |
45 | 0.270937977867486 | 0.541875955734972 | 0.729062022132514 |
46 | 0.23154644307707 | 0.463092886154141 | 0.76845355692293 |
47 | 0.195848734189234 | 0.391697468378468 | 0.804151265810766 |
48 | 0.163964214967289 | 0.327928429934578 | 0.836035785032711 |
49 | 0.135886058609522 | 0.271772117219044 | 0.864113941390478 |
50 | 0.111499181531325 | 0.22299836306265 | 0.888500818468675 |
51 | 0.0973475998374209 | 0.194695199674842 | 0.902652400162579 |
52 | 0.429287952014685 | 0.85857590402937 | 0.570712047985315 |
53 | 0.384661944405824 | 0.769323888811648 | 0.615338055594176 |
54 | 0.854668473821368 | 0.290663052357263 | 0.145331526178632 |
55 | 0.827292802902184 | 0.345414394195632 | 0.172707197097816 |
56 | 0.808892065384688 | 0.382215869230623 | 0.191107934615312 |
57 | 0.777014394520788 | 0.445971210958424 | 0.222985605479212 |
58 | 0.742566686142332 | 0.514866627715335 | 0.257433313857668 |
59 | 0.705845035363725 | 0.58830992927255 | 0.294154964636275 |
60 | 0.935526103368158 | 0.128947793263683 | 0.0644738966318416 |
61 | 0.927098821018406 | 0.145802357963188 | 0.0729011789815938 |
62 | 0.910746764323008 | 0.178506471353985 | 0.0892532356769923 |
63 | 0.891978281947233 | 0.216043436105534 | 0.108021718052767 |
64 | 0.879286493990692 | 0.241427012018616 | 0.120713506009308 |
65 | 0.85656529268909 | 0.28686941462182 | 0.14343470731091 |
66 | 0.831435778972982 | 0.337128442054036 | 0.168564221027018 |
67 | 0.976469035719077 | 0.0470619285618464 | 0.0235309642809232 |
68 | 0.96984622478778 | 0.06030755042444 | 0.03015377521222 |
69 | 0.961846554524664 | 0.0763068909506717 | 0.0381534454753359 |
70 | 0.952337951127612 | 0.0953240977447769 | 0.0476620488723885 |
71 | 0.941226260549316 | 0.117547478901368 | 0.0587737394506839 |
72 | 0.928477428263935 | 0.143045143472131 | 0.0715225717360654 |
73 | 0.914146542330891 | 0.171706915338218 | 0.0858534576691092 |
74 | 0.898417156773447 | 0.203165686453106 | 0.101582843226553 |
75 | 0.881657657654188 | 0.236684684691623 | 0.118342342345812 |
76 | 0.869985151305842 | 0.260029697388315 | 0.130014848694158 |
77 | 0.852497404515482 | 0.295005190969035 | 0.147502595484518 |
78 | 0.836297521920358 | 0.327404956159284 | 0.163702478079642 |
79 | 0.980897681492676 | 0.0382046370146484 | 0.0191023185073242 |
80 | 0.977638088659768 | 0.044723822680464 | 0.022361911340232 |
81 | 0.973102076110284 | 0.0537958477794321 | 0.026897923889716 |
82 | 0.969210033156469 | 0.0615799336870627 | 0.0307899668435314 |
83 | 0.967866914302931 | 0.0642661713941377 | 0.0321330856970689 |
84 | 0.999198145163224 | 0.00160370967355142 | 0.000801854836775711 |
85 | 0.998802337253217 | 0.00239532549356611 | 0.00119766274678305 |
86 | 0.998233055753339 | 0.00353388849332202 | 0.00176694424666101 |
87 | 0.997455172527778 | 0.0050896549444445 | 0.00254482747222225 |
88 | 0.99652846857142 | 0.00694306285715933 | 0.00347153142857967 |
89 | 0.995156999157461 | 0.00968600168507787 | 0.00484300084253893 |
90 | 0.993283760706233 | 0.0134324785875333 | 0.00671623929376663 |
91 | 0.990779586501408 | 0.0184408269971835 | 0.00922041349859174 |
92 | 0.987868679376224 | 0.0242626412475528 | 0.0121313206237764 |
93 | 0.983733442854435 | 0.0325331142911302 | 0.0162665571455651 |
94 | 0.97841852121481 | 0.0431629575703805 | 0.0215814787851902 |
95 | 0.972271052917609 | 0.0554578941647819 | 0.0277289470823909 |
96 | 0.964031244249312 | 0.071937511501376 | 0.035968755750688 |
97 | 0.954462591970429 | 0.0910748160591421 | 0.0455374080295711 |
98 | 0.942223282272782 | 0.115553435454435 | 0.0577767177272177 |
99 | 0.927473926276546 | 0.145052147446909 | 0.0725260737234544 |
100 | 0.90994235141807 | 0.18011529716386 | 0.0900576485819298 |
101 | 0.889388280830078 | 0.221223438339844 | 0.110611719169922 |
102 | 0.865620618601356 | 0.268758762797289 | 0.134379381398644 |
103 | 0.838514813184907 | 0.322970373630185 | 0.161485186815093 |
104 | 0.808029025099518 | 0.383941949800965 | 0.191970974900482 |
105 | 0.775560504645133 | 0.448878990709735 | 0.224439495354867 |
106 | 0.738595561422958 | 0.522808877154084 | 0.261404438577042 |
107 | 0.698680590765876 | 0.602638818468248 | 0.301319409234124 |
108 | 0.656914050354053 | 0.686171899291894 | 0.343085949645947 |
109 | 0.612176847394554 | 0.775646305210892 | 0.387823152605446 |
110 | 0.565848562467405 | 0.86830287506519 | 0.434151437532595 |
111 | 0.518358585251194 | 0.963282829497612 | 0.481641414748806 |
112 | 0.469835506897049 | 0.939671013794097 | 0.530164493102951 |
113 | 0.422191597748505 | 0.844383195497009 | 0.577808402251496 |
114 | 0.374283261098472 | 0.748566522196945 | 0.625716738901528 |
115 | 0.329227671325375 | 0.658455342650751 | 0.670772328674625 |
116 | 0.286477365098883 | 0.572954730197767 | 0.713522634901117 |
117 | 0.246529324136288 | 0.493058648272576 | 0.753470675863712 |
118 | 0.209768199985237 | 0.419536399970473 | 0.790231800014763 |
119 | 0.176456465377802 | 0.352912930755604 | 0.823543534622198 |
120 | 0.146732448627276 | 0.293464897254551 | 0.853267551372724 |
121 | 0.120615848569186 | 0.241231697138373 | 0.879384151430814 |
122 | 0.0980196919679095 | 0.196039383935819 | 0.901980308032091 |
123 | 0.0767782120922857 | 0.153556424184571 | 0.923221787907714 |
124 | 0.0607006771939841 | 0.121401354387968 | 0.939299322806016 |
125 | 0.0474449106217737 | 0.0948898212435473 | 0.952555089378226 |
126 | 0.0352005212596036 | 0.0704010425192073 | 0.964799478740396 |
127 | 0.026720413384866 | 0.053440826769732 | 0.973279586615134 |
128 | 0.0200666204078862 | 0.0401332408157725 | 0.979933379592114 |
129 | 0.0149245367858766 | 0.0298490735717533 | 0.985075463214123 |
130 | 0.0110091229448533 | 0.0220182458897065 | 0.988990877055147 |
131 | 0.00807024191575074 | 0.0161404838315015 | 0.991929758084249 |
132 | 0.005894740099913 | 0.011789480199826 | 0.994105259900087 |
133 | 0.00430592948602886 | 0.00861185897205772 | 0.995694070513971 |
134 | 0.00316121172859362 | 0.00632242345718723 | 0.996838788271406 |
135 | 0.0023485911838593 | 0.0046971823677186 | 0.997651408816141 |
136 | 0.00178280030182966 | 0.00356560060365931 | 0.99821719969817 |
137 | 0.00140179473210515 | 0.0028035894642103 | 0.998598205267895 |
138 | 0.000789779703816773 | 0.00157955940763355 | 0.999210220296183 |
139 | 0.000425953724743427 | 0.000851907449486854 | 0.999574046275257 |
140 | 0.000334592586894867 | 0.000669185173789735 | 0.999665407413105 |
141 | 0.00956684955781512 | 0.0191336991156302 | 0.990433150442185 |
142 | 0.00540248894326725 | 0.0108049778865345 | 0.994597511056733 |
143 | 0.00379090913097668 | 0.00758181826195336 | 0.996209090869023 |
144 | 0.00279205686447716 | 0.00558411372895431 | 0.997207943135523 |
145 | 0.0022718922886228 | 0.00454378457724561 | 0.997728107711377 |
146 | 0.000998970860074004 | 0.00199794172014801 | 0.999001029139926 |
147 | 0.000387965711160125 | 0.00077593142232025 | 0.99961203428884 |
148 | 0.000127820315512006 | 0.000255640631024012 | 0.999872179684488 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 31 | 0.216783216783217 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 46 | 0.321678321678322 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 61 | 0.426573426573427 | NOK |