| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.929242079750219 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 1.487 | 1.4681 | 0.0189000000000001 |
| 4 | 1.5167 | 1.48166267530728 | 0.0350373246927207 |
| 5 | 1.5812 | 1.51022083177363 | 0.0709791682263732 |
| 6 | 1.554 | 1.57217766167524 | -0.0181776616752423 |
| 7 | 1.5508 | 1.55128621353514 | -0.000486213535144442 |
| 8 | 1.5764 | 1.54683440345854 | 0.0295655965414559 |
| 9 | 1.5611 | 1.57030799987778 | -0.00920799987778254 |
| 10 | 1.4735 | 1.55775153892101 | -0.0842515389210121 |
| 11 | 1.4303 | 1.47546146367189 | -0.0451614636718944 |
| 12 | 1.2757 | 1.42949553124486 | -0.153795531244859 |
| 13 | 1.2727 | 1.2825822519346 | -0.00988225193459669 |
| 14 | 1.3917 | 1.26939924759428 | 0.122300752405724 |
| 15 | 1.2816 | 1.37904625311479 | -0.0974462531147875 |
| 16 | 1.2644 | 1.28449509420654 | -0.0200950942065363 |
| 17 | 1.3308 | 1.26182188707328 | 0.0689781129267222 |
| 18 | 1.3275 | 1.32191925218655 | 0.0055807478134493 |
| 19 | 1.4098 | 1.32310511789128 | 0.0866948821087183 |
| 20 | 1.4134 | 1.39966565044569 | 0.013734349554313 |
| 21 | 1.4138 | 1.40842818598955 | 0.00537181401044662 |
| 22 | 1.4272 | 1.40941990161265 | 0.017780098387348 |
| 23 | 1.4643 | 1.42194191721627 | 0.0423580827837251 |
| 24 | 1.48 | 1.45730283015646 | 0.0226971698435445 |
| 25 | 1.5023 | 1.47439399546631 | 0.0279060045336852 |
| 26 | 1.4406 | 1.49632542915672 | -0.0557254291567153 |
| 27 | 1.3966 | 1.44054301547216 | -0.0439430154721558 |
| 28 | 1.357 | 1.39570931638431 | -0.0387093163843137 |
| 29 | 1.3479 | 1.35573899072164 | -0.00783899072164473 |
| 30 | 1.3315 | 1.34445467068032 | -0.0129546706803212 |
| 31 | 1.2307 | 1.32841664555486 | -0.0977166455548604 |
| 32 | 1.2271 | 1.23361422661325 | -0.00651422661324674 |
| 33 | 1.3028 | 1.22356093312719 | 0.0792390668728107 |
| 34 | 1.268 | 1.29319320842555 | -0.0251932084255466 |
| 35 | 1.3648 | 1.26578261903261 | 0.0990173809673891 |
| 36 | 1.3857 | 1.35379373605417 | 0.0319062639458327 |
| 37 | 1.2998 | 1.37944237912025 | -0.0796423791202521 |
| 38 | 1.3362 | 1.30143532911029 | 0.0347646708897063 |
| 39 | 1.3692 | 1.32974012418968 | 0.0394598758103237 |
| 40 | 1.3834 | 1.36240790125435 | 0.0209920987456531 |
| 41 | 1.4207 | 1.37791464275108 | 0.0427853572489205 |
| 42 | 1.486 | 1.41367259710392 | 0.0723274028960774 |
| 43 | 1.4385 | 1.47688226339401 | -0.0383822633940056 |
| 44 | 1.4453 | 1.43721584913224 | 0.00808415086776093 |
| 45 | 1.426 | 1.44072798229761 | -0.0147279822976119 |
| 46 | 1.445 | 1.42304212139685 | 0.0219578786031456 |
| 47 | 1.3503 | 1.43944630617694 | -0.0891463061769442 |
| 48 | 1.4001 | 1.35260780722303 | 0.0474921927769691 |
| 49 | 1.3418 | 1.392739551211 | -0.0509395512109998 |
| 50 | 1.2939 | 1.34140437670215 | -0.0475043767021477 |
| 51 | 1.3176 | 1.29326131089821 | 0.0243386891017938 |
| 52 | 1.3443 | 1.31187784497755 | 0.0324221550224488 |
| 53 | 1.3356 | 1.3380058757406 | -0.00240587574059559 |
| 54 | 1.3214 | 1.33177023476378 | -0.010370234763784 |
| 55 | 1.2403 | 1.31813377624439 | -0.0778337762443873 |
| 56 | 1.259 | 1.24180735613224 | 0.0171926438677603 |
| 57 | 1.2284 | 1.25378348427632 | -0.0253834842763221 |
| 58 | 1.2611 | 1.22619608255609 | 0.0349039174439145 |
| 59 | 1.293 | 1.2546302713931 | 0.0383697286069014 |
| 60 | 1.2993 | 1.28628503780323 | 0.0130149621967728 |
| 61 | 1.2986 | 1.29437908834283 | 0.0042209116571732 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 62 | 1.29430133706958 | 1.19099438668386 | 1.3976082874553 |
| 63 | 1.29030133706958 | 1.14927729029593 | 1.43132538384323 |
| 64 | 1.28630133706958 | 1.1157046268468 | 1.45689804729236 |
| 65 | 1.28230133706958 | 1.08654972581375 | 1.47805294832541 |
| 66 | 1.27830133706958 | 1.06027806060656 | 1.4963246135326 |
| 67 | 1.27430133706958 | 1.03607958145081 | 1.51252309268835 |
| 68 | 1.27030133706958 | 1.0134646951734 | 1.52713797896576 |
| 69 | 1.26630133706958 | 0.992110680060762 | 1.5404919940784 |
| 70 | 1.26230133706958 | 0.971791488421818 | 1.55281118571734 |
| 71 | 1.25830133706958 | 0.952341490142301 | 1.56426118399686 |
| 72 | 1.25430133706958 | 0.933635024990836 | 1.57496764914832 |
| 73 | 1.25030133706958 | 0.915574075746871 | 1.58502859839229 |
