Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation

T20[t] = -0.307513438282578 -0.142142322786737Outcome[t] + 0.0118163176527447t + e[t]

Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
Variable	Parameter	S.D.	T-STAT H0: parameter = 0	2-tail p-value	1-tail p-value
(Intercept)	-0.307513438282578	0.077179	-3.9844	0.000105	5.2e-05
Outcome	-0.142142322786737	0.071052	-2.0005	0.047235	0.023618
t	0.0118163176527447	0.000782	15.1161	0	0

Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R	0.783176275819234
R-squared	0.613365079006086
Adjusted R-squared	0.60824408667504
F-TEST (value)	119.774652910073
F-TEST (DF numerator)	2
F-TEST (DF denominator)	151
p-value	0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation	0.429618283709894
Sum Squared Residuals	27.870352324373

Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or Index	Actuals	Interpolation Forecast	Residuals Prediction Error
1	0	-0.437839443416571	0.437839443416571
2	0	-0.283880802977088	0.283880802977088
3	0	-0.272064485324344	0.272064485324344
4	0	-0.260248167671599	0.260248167671599
5	0	-0.248431850018854	0.248431850018854
6	0	-0.378757855152847	0.378757855152847
7	0	-0.224799214713365	0.224799214713365
8	0	-0.21298289706062	0.21298289706062
9	0	-0.343308902194613	0.343308902194613
10	0	-0.189350261755131	0.189350261755131
11	0	-0.177533944102386	0.177533944102386
12	0	-0.165717626449641	0.165717626449641
13	0	-0.153901308796897	0.153901308796897
14	0	-0.142084991144152	0.142084991144152
15	0	-0.272410996278145	0.272410996278145
16	0	-0.2605946786254	0.2605946786254
17	0	-0.106636038185918	0.106636038185918
18	0	-0.0948197205331732	0.0948197205331732
19	0	-0.225145725667166	0.225145725667166
20	0	-0.213329408014421	0.213329408014421
21	0	-0.0593707675749391	0.0593707675749391
22	0	-0.189696772708932	0.189696772708932
23	0	-0.177880455056187	0.177880455056187
24	0	-0.166064137403442	0.166064137403442
25	0	-0.154247819750698	0.154247819750698
26	0	-0.000289179311215612	0.000289179311215612
27	0	-0.130615184445208	0.130615184445208
28	0	0.0233434559942737	-0.0233434559942737
29	0	-0.106982549139719	0.106982549139719
30	0	0.0469760912997631	-0.0469760912997631
31	0	0.0587924089525078	-0.0587924089525078
32	0	0.0706087266052525	-0.0706087266052525
33	0	0.0824250442579973	-0.0824250442579973
34	0	-0.0479009608759954	0.0479009608759954
35	0	0.106057679563487	-0.106057679563487
36	0	0.117873997216231	-0.117873997216231
37	0	0.129690314868976	-0.129690314868976
38	0	-0.000635690265016575	0.000635690265016575
39	0	0.0111806273877281	-0.0111806273877281
40	0	0.16513926782721	-0.16513926782721
41	0	0.0348132626932175	-0.0348132626932175
42	0	0.0466295803459622	-0.0466295803459622
43	0	0.0584458979987069	-0.0584458979987069
44	0	0.212404538438189	-0.212404538438189
45	0	0.224220856090934	-0.224220856090934
46	0	0.093894850956941	-0.093894850956941
47	0	0.247853491396423	-0.247853491396423
48	0	0.11752748626243	-0.11752748626243
49	0	0.129343803915175	-0.129343803915175
50	0	0.283302444354657	-0.283302444354657
51	0	0.295118762007402	-0.295118762007402
52	0	0.306935079660146	-0.306935079660146
53	0	0.176609074526154	-0.176609074526154
54	0	0.330567714965636	-0.330567714965636
55	0	0.342384032618381	-0.342384032618381
56	0	0.212058027484388	-0.212058027484388
57	0	0.223874345137133	-0.223874345137133
58	0	0.235690662789877	-0.235690662789877
59	0	0.247506980442622	-0.247506980442622
60	0	0.259323298095367	-0.259323298095367
61	0	0.271139615748111	-0.271139615748111
62	0	0.425098256187593	-0.425098256187593
63	0	0.436914573840338	-0.436914573840338
64	0	0.306588568706346	-0.306588568706346
65	0	0.460547209145827	-0.460547209145827
66	0	0.472363526798572	-0.472363526798572
67	0	0.484179844451317	-0.484179844451317
68	0	0.495996162104062	-0.495996162104062
69	0	0.365670156970069	-0.365670156970069
70	0	0.519628797409551	-0.519628797409551
71	0	0.531445115062296	-0.531445115062296
72	0	0.401119109928303	-0.401119109928303
73	0	0.412935427581048	-0.412935427581048
74	0	0.56689406802053	-0.56689406802053
75	0	0.436568062886537	-0.436568062886537
76	0	0.448384380539282	-0.448384380539282
77	0	0.460200698192027	-0.460200698192027
78	0	0.472017015844771	-0.472017015844771
79	0	0.483833333497516	-0.483833333497516
80	0	0.637791973936998	-0.637791973936998
81	0	0.649608291589743	-0.649608291589743
82	0	0.51928228645575	-0.51928228645575
83	0	0.673240926895232	-0.673240926895232
84	0	0.685057244547977	-0.685057244547977
85	0	0.554731239413984	-0.554731239413984
86	0	0.708689879853466	-0.708689879853466
87	1	0.578363874719473	0.421636125280527
88	2	0.590180192372218	1.40981980762778
89	1	0.7441388328117	0.2558611671883
90	1	0.613812827677708	0.386187172322292
91	1	0.76777146811719	0.23222853188281
92	2	0.779587785769934	1.22041221423007
93	1	0.791404103422679	0.208595896577321
94	1	0.803220421075424	0.196779578924576
95	2	0.815036738728169	1.18496326127183
96	1	0.684710733594176	0.315289266405824
97	2	0.838669374033658	1.16133062596634
98	1	0.850485691686403	0.149514308313598
99	1	0.862302009339147	0.137697990660853
100	1	0.731976004205155	0.268023995794845
101	1	0.743792321857899	0.256207678142101
102	1	0.897750962297381	0.102249037702619
103	1	0.909567279950126	0.0904327200498741
104	1	0.921383597602871	0.0786164023971293
105	2	0.933199915255615	1.06680008474438
106	1	0.94501623290836	0.05498376709164
107	1	0.956832550561105	0.0431674494388953
108	2	0.968648868213849	1.03135113178615
109	1	0.980465185866594	0.0195348141334059
110	1	0.992281503519339	0.00771849648066117
111	2	1.00409782117208	0.995902178827917
112	2	1.01591413882483	0.984085861175172
113	1	1.02773045647757	-0.0277304564775729
114	2	1.03954677413032	0.960453225869682
115	1	1.05136309178306	-0.0513630917830624
116	1	1.06317940943581	-0.063179409435807
117	1	0.932853404301815	0.0671465956981855
118	1	1.0868120447413	-0.0868120447412964
119	1	1.09862836239404	-0.0986283623940411
120	1	0.968302357260049	0.0316976427399514
121	1	1.12226099769953	-0.12226099769953
122	1	1.13407731535228	-0.134077315352275
123	2	1.14589363300502	0.85410636699498
124	1	1.01556762787103	-0.0155676278710273
125	1	1.02738394552377	-0.027383945523772
126	2	1.18134258596325	0.818657414036746
127	1	1.193158903616	-0.193158903615999
128	1	1.06283289848201	-0.0628328984820061
129	1	1.21679153892149	-0.216791538921488
130	1	1.0864655337875	-0.0864655337874956
131	1	1.24042417422698	-0.240424174226977
132	1	1.11009816909298	-0.110098169092985
133	1	1.26405680953247	-0.264056809532467
134	1	1.27587312718521	-0.275873127185212
135	1	1.28768944483796	-0.287689444837956
136	1	1.2995057624907	-0.299505762490701
137	1	1.16917975735671	-0.169179757356708
138	2	1.18099607500945	0.819003924990547
139	2	1.33495471544893	0.665045284551065
140	1	1.34677103310168	-0.34677103310168
141	1	1.21644502796769	-0.216445027967687
142	2	1.22826134562043	0.771738654379568
143	1	1.38221998605991	-0.382219986059914
144	1	1.25189398092592	-0.251893980925921
145	1	1.4058526213654	-0.405852621365403
146	2	1.27552661623141	0.724473383768589
147	2	1.42948525667089	0.570514743329107
148	2	1.44130157432364	0.558698425676363
149	1	1.45311789197638	-0.453117891976382
150	1	1.32279188684239	-0.322791886842389
151	1	1.33460820449513	-0.334608204495134
152	1	1.48856684493462	-0.488566844934616
153	1	1.50038316258736	-0.500383162587361
154	1	1.51219948024011	-0.512199480240106

Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-values	Alternative Hypothesis
breakpoint index	greater	2-sided	less
6	0	0	1
7	0	0	1
8	0	0	1
9	0	0	1
10	0	0	1
11	0	0	1
12	0	0	1
13	0	0	1
14	0	0	1
15	0	0	1
16	0	0	1
17	0	0	1
18	0	0	1
19	0	0	1
20	0	0	1
21	0	0	1
22	0	0	1
23	0	0	1
24	0	0	1
25	0	0	1
26	0	0	1
27	0	0	1
28	0	0	1
29	0	0	1
30	0	0	1
31	0	0	1
32	0	0	1
33	0	0	1
34	0	0	1
35	0	0	1
36	0	0	1
37	0	0	1
38	0	0	1
39	0	0	1
40	0	0	1
41	0	0	1
42	0	0	1
43	0	0	1
44	0	0	1
45	0	0	1
46	0	0	1
47	0	0	1
48	0	0	1
49	0	0	1
50	0	0	1
51	0	0	1
52	0	0	1
53	0	0	1
54	0	0	1
55	0	0	1
56	0	0	1
57	0	0	1
58	0	0	1
59	0	0	1
60	0	0	1
61	0	0	1
62	0	0	1
63	0	0	1
64	0	0	1
65	0	0	1
66	0	0	1
67	0	0	1
68	0	0	1
69	0	0	1
70	0	0	1
71	0	0	1
72	0	0	1
73	0	0	1
74	0	0	1
75	0	0	1
76	0	0	1
77	0	0	1
78	0	0	1
79	0	0	1
80	0	0	1
81	0	0	1
82	0	0	1
83	0	0	1
84	0	0	1
85	0	0	1
86	0	0	1
87	1.28736168678785e-29	2.5747233735757e-29	1
88	3.8587630835008e-08	7.71752616700159e-08	0.999999961412369
89	6.91790052696173e-07	1.38358010539235e-06	0.999999308209947
90	3.87358288520699e-06	7.74716577041398e-06	0.999996126417115
91	1.7545668350404e-05	3.5091336700808e-05	0.99998245433165
92	0.00641508467606039	0.0128301693521208	0.99358491532394
93	0.00823567081269542	0.0164713416253908	0.991764329187305
94	0.0098443279881858	0.0196886559763716	0.990155672011814
95	0.0871856834721717	0.174371366944343	0.912814316527828
96	0.0856551154437296	0.171310230887459	0.91434488455627
97	0.265253786631923	0.530507573263845	0.734746213368077
98	0.244718790530296	0.489437581060593	0.755281209469704
99	0.224243338993483	0.448486677986967	0.775756661006517
100	0.205978452599245	0.411956905198491	0.794021547400755
101	0.187510928776101	0.375021857552202	0.812489071223899
102	0.16893110229748	0.337862204594961	0.83106889770252
103	0.151931902907307	0.303863805814615	0.848068097092693
104	0.1367375599899	0.273475119979801	0.8632624400101
105	0.257637549640007	0.515275099280014	0.742362450359993
106	0.230868920637729	0.461737841275459	0.769131079362271
107	0.20709906289872	0.41419812579744	0.79290093710128
108	0.331045839787989	0.662091679575978	0.668954160212011
109	0.297427294424042	0.594854588848085	0.702572705575958
110	0.267373887486171	0.534747774972341	0.732626112513829
111	0.39124645081013	0.782492901620259	0.60875354918987
112	0.543368037344288	0.913263925311424	0.456631962655712
113	0.495885101822715	0.991770203645429	0.504114898177285
114	0.665953500105569	0.668092999788862	0.334046499894431
115	0.617326851828054	0.765346296343891	0.382673148171946
116	0.567271026406658	0.865457947186683	0.432728973593342
117	0.514941290552264	0.970117418895472	0.485058709447736
118	0.464984729904856	0.929969459809711	0.535015270095144
119	0.416871005841006	0.833742011682013	0.583128994158994
120	0.368485020314351	0.736970040628702	0.631514979685649
121	0.326559803571865	0.653119607143729	0.673440196428135
122	0.289407123232911	0.578814246465822	0.710592876767089
123	0.416368140129154	0.832736280258309	0.583631859870846
124	0.366089251289626	0.732178502579252	0.633910748710374
125	0.320713113977984	0.641426227955968	0.679286886022016
126	0.496370140240528	0.992740280481057	0.503629859759471
127	0.438852590428511	0.877705180857023	0.561147409571489
128	0.386028069243787	0.772056138487574	0.613971930756213
129	0.332632153677869	0.665264307355737	0.667367846322132
130	0.290686606243476	0.581373212486951	0.709313393756524
131	0.246312911680753	0.492625823361507	0.753687088319247
132	0.220994215960186	0.441988431920372	0.779005784039814
133	0.189001494694457	0.378002989388913	0.810998505305543
134	0.165271530172762	0.330543060345525	0.834728469827238
135	0.152559700772509	0.305119401545017	0.847440299227491
136	0.158853206759786	0.317706413519572	0.841146793240214
137	0.192963720854832	0.385927441709665	0.807036279145168
138	0.190859037179614	0.381718074359229	0.809140962820386
139	0.214927104266051	0.429854208532101	0.785072895733949
140	0.206050865727548	0.412101731455096	0.793949134272452
141	0.232760986740022	0.465521973480044	0.767239013259978
142	0.243220688945328	0.486441377890656	0.756779311054672
143	0.276631570851368	0.553263141702736	0.723368429148632
144	0.349018137391399	0.698036274782798	0.650981862608601
145	0.806440629904229	0.387118740191543	0.193559370095771
146	0.757772239942534	0.484455520114933	0.242227760057466
147	0.675760039953264	0.648479920093473	0.324239960046736
148	1	3.01754005856576e-48	1.50877002928288e-48

Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description	# significant tests	% significant tests	OK/NOK
1% type I error level	87	0.608391608391608	NOK
5% type I error level	90	0.629370629370629	NOK
10% type I error level	90	0.629370629370629	NOK