Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.743525256436444
beta0
gamma0.731293039629427


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.450.455074786324786-0.00507478632478625
140.440.440782906502641-0.000782906502641345
150.420.4196821477258510.000317852274148767
160.430.4298164975675150.000183502432484717
170.430.430267621575371-0.000267621575370525
180.470.46913332348960.000866676510399511
190.470.4642590713455950.00574092865440534
200.470.467592282110230.00240771788976996
210.470.470113833153-0.000113833152999787
220.480.490760547310077-0.0107605473100766
230.480.483074493926641-0.00307449392664072
240.480.4511032153561080.0288967846438918
250.490.4615349054545480.0284650945454519
260.490.4729857513890720.0170142486109275
270.470.4653240832610320.0046759167389675
280.50.4786735656876920.0213264343123079
290.510.4947603815387630.0152396184612371
300.50.545368854979175-0.0453688549791751
310.490.50703152336108-0.0170315233610805
320.50.4928076699072830.00719233009271703
330.510.4984137634034980.0115862365965022
340.510.525762896433451-0.0157628964334511
350.50.515799052433075-0.0157990524330747
360.530.4803632185304230.0496367814695773
370.50.506134653071591-0.00613465307159133
380.490.4897120127940050.000287987205995321
390.460.467299791612783-0.0072997916127831
400.460.474867973434887-0.0148679734348867
410.470.4629017007909990.00709829920900079
420.490.496089281878062-0.0060892818780624
430.50.4922722036866740.00772779631332604
440.50.501000911968088-0.00100091196808794
450.510.5013392362320050.00866076376799463
460.50.521383652306262-0.0213836523062618
470.520.5072338530001660.0127661469998338
480.50.505309993213614-0.0053099932136137
490.480.479766723433670.000233276566329987
500.470.4692834184894580.000716581510541714
510.430.445766717900573-0.0157667179005734
520.420.445620051662781-0.025620051662781
530.450.4297792917410380.0202207082589616
540.50.4702502764794540.0297497235205462
550.520.4956719102106010.0243280897893986
560.520.5151062151874580.00489378481254177
570.510.521639521846696-0.0116395218466958
580.520.520955086410585-0.000955086410585282
590.520.528399516511634-0.0083995165116344
600.510.5073481231075260.00265187689247448
610.510.4887643905131890.0212356094868111
620.510.493987498342320.01601250165768
630.480.4787521228212260.00124787717877356
640.490.489408164259680.000591835740320235
650.470.501654414820596-0.0316544148205956
660.510.5053421802693790.00465781973062096
670.50.511090477965116-0.0110904779651155
680.510.5005451201108630.00945487988913685
690.510.5073687590053310.00263124099466938
700.520.5192989495933380.000701050406662462
710.510.526578495374992-0.0165784953749918
720.520.5015186040111130.0184813959888869


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.4981900500004050.4669615084572880.529418591543522
740.4866443091645470.4477296141231310.525559004205963
750.4567340079279450.4114186112793150.502049404576575
760.4663391752191330.4154214292293620.517256921208905
770.4720973324149030.4161353047538620.528059360075944
780.5061316119224140.4455438225322130.566719401312615
790.5054629807213820.4405783761803390.570347585262426
800.5070171235709890.4381030931439140.575931153998064
810.5055309910782370.4328104625257020.578251519630772
820.5151427644686130.438805309990380.591480218946846
830.5186601411529560.4388695487283310.59845073357758
840.5125025497484990.4294021867966520.595602912700346