Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	96.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	95.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	91.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	88.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	88.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	87.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	89.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	95.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	100.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	106.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	132.4	126.9165	117.4756	136.3574	0.1275	0.6546	1	0.6546
62	138.1	126.9165	111.2385	142.5945	0.081	0.2465	1	0.5947
63	134.7	126.9165	106.8549	146.9781	0.2235	0.1373	0.9999	0.5743
64	136.7	126.9165	103.2705	150.5626	0.2087	0.2594	0.9993	0.5631
65	134.3	126.9165	100.162	153.671	0.2943	0.2368	0.998	0.5558
66	131.6	126.9165	97.3789	156.4542	0.378	0.3121	0.9935	0.5506
67	129.8	126.9165	94.8363	158.9967	0.4301	0.3874	0.9721	0.5466
68	131.9	126.9165	92.4809	161.3521	0.3883	0.4348	0.9337	0.5434
69	129.8	126.9165	90.2767	163.5564	0.4387	0.3949	0.865	0.5408
70	119.4	126.9165	88.1977	165.6353	0.3518	0.442	0.7749	0.5386
71	116.7	126.9165	86.2248	167.6082	0.3113	0.6413	0.6715	0.5368
72	112.8	126.9165	84.3433	169.4898	0.2579	0.6809	0.5352	0.5352

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.038	0.0432	0	30.0685	0	0
62	0.063	0.0881	0.0657	125.0701	77.5693	8.8073
63	0.0806	0.0613	0.0642	60.5825	71.9071	8.4798
64	0.0951	0.0771	0.0674	95.7164	77.8594	8.8238
65	0.1076	0.0582	0.0656	54.5157	73.1907	8.5552
66	0.1187	0.0369	0.0608	21.935	64.648	8.0404
67	0.129	0.0227	0.0554	8.3144	56.6004	7.5233
68	0.1384	0.0393	0.0533	24.835	52.6297	7.2546
69	0.1473	0.0227	0.0499	8.3144	47.7058	6.9069
70	0.1556	-0.0592	0.0509	56.4981	48.585	6.9703
71	0.1636	-0.0805	0.0536	104.3774	53.6571	7.3251
72	0.1711	-0.1112	0.0584	199.2762	65.792	8.1112