Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.408032483432256
beta0
gamma0.881226574770473


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13100.0599.85599358974360.194006410256435
14100.0599.88898900595680.161010994043224
15100.0599.9943545538840.0556454461160456
16100.0599.99589420228890.0541057977111308
17100.0599.84930562413150.200694375868466
18108.77108.4975299475630.27247005243747
19111.32110.8921244118870.427875588112599
20111.6111.0897127162060.510287283793815
21108.52110.580927669378-2.06092766937763
22103.13100.5730033997682.55699660023161
23102.87101.639342238191.23065776181012
24102.75102.1911584131640.558841586835712
25102.75102.561306666170.188693333829633
26102.75102.574921868050.175078131949732
27102.75102.6310625361370.118937463863205
28102.75102.6576242145760.0923757854240392
29102.75102.6031200667820.146879933217676
30115.22111.2668286700363.95317132996375
31115.53115.2443372817170.28566271828322
32115.4115.4268887953-0.0268887952997972
33111.99113.357624876445-1.36762487644479
34107.93106.0415655292071.88843447079267
35107.43106.1432146897361.28678531026362
36106.98106.3674747766960.612525223304445
37106.98106.5664370823260.413562917674057
38106.98106.664703906680.315296093319716
39106.98106.7487718568110.231228143188929
40106.98106.8072956810450.172704318954516
41106.98106.8140006821380.165999317862045
42113.71117.471091096334-3.76109109633356
43118.77116.3877466530922.38225334690782
44118.54117.2627304042291.27726959577124
45116.16115.0262004308361.13379956916407
46110.52110.4293513139840.090648686016408
47110.06109.4835906749010.576409325099291
48109.9109.066261448430.833738551570335
49109.9109.2516957974190.6483042025815
50110.72109.3944830646041.32551693539581
51110.09109.8468992564580.243100743541547
52110.07109.8797380950490.190261904950688
53112.45109.8901094474052.55989055259546
54113.06119.475389051941-6.41538905194076
55119.83120.51372656901-0.683726569009735
56119.84119.5612678520070.27873214799277
57113.73116.842459947588-3.11245994758805
58110.5109.9688315256890.531168474310547
59110.12109.4562179538080.663782046191827
60109.86109.2087773584680.651222641532016
61110.36109.2230060672121.13699393278777
62110.36109.9184677245510.441532275449362
63110.59109.4455389281111.1444610718886
64112.52109.8185982831332.7014017168671
65112.1112.0897308220370.0102691779629396
66115.9115.952660102136-0.0526601021363007
67122.96122.5771624758140.3828375241863
68121.26122.5619703694-1.30197036939995
69114.55117.429143676901-2.87914367690134
70111.57112.55144199136-0.981441991359532
71110.65111.490813080007-0.840813080007266
72109.77110.62289709104-0.85289709103975


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73110.276802330692107.229685637481113.323919023904
74110.145540735606106.854527030237113.436554440975
75109.859140511849106.341098119295113.377182904403
76110.577412348923106.846129279698114.308695418149
77110.342435745294106.409456669635114.275414820952
78114.168347335832110.043523039399118.293171632266
79121.041517347814116.7333824215125.349652274128
80119.991222410113115.507264603642124.475180216583
81114.566897625097109.913755817985119.220039432208
82111.85393041451107.0375438287116.670317000319
83111.267121843545106.292844930178116.241398756911
84110.735981188645105.608673720029115.863288657261