Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999958402777615 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
3 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
4 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
5 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
6 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
7 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
8 | 104.44 | 104.42 | 0.019999999999996 |
9 | 104.44 | 104.439999168056 | 8.31944447554633e-07 |
10 | 104.44 | 104.439999999965 | 3.46034312315169e-11 |
11 | 105.19 | 104.44 | 0.75 |
12 | 105.19 | 105.189968802083 | 3.11979167832988e-05 |
13 | 105.19 | 105.189999998702 | 1.29774946344696e-09 |
14 | 106.38 | 105.19 | 1.19000000000005 |
15 | 106.38 | 106.379950499305 | 4.95006946437115e-05 |
16 | 106.38 | 106.379999997941 | 2.05909600481391e-09 |
17 | 106.38 | 106.38 | 8.5265128291212e-14 |
18 | 106.38 | 106.38 | 0 |
19 | 106.38 | 106.38 | 0 |
20 | 106.72 | 106.38 | 0.340000000000003 |
21 | 106.73 | 106.719985856944 | 0.0100141430556135 |
22 | 106.72 | 106.729999583439 | -0.00999958343946616 |
23 | 108.6 | 106.720000415955 | 1.87999958404509 |
24 | 108.6 | 108.599921797239 | 7.82027607755253e-05 |
25 | 109.65 | 108.599999996747 | 1.05000000325303 |
26 | 109.65 | 109.649956322916 | 4.36770836387268e-05 |
27 | 109.65 | 109.649999998183 | 1.81684356448386e-09 |
28 | 109.65 | 109.65 | 7.105427357601e-14 |
29 | 109.65 | 109.65 | 0 |
30 | 109.65 | 109.65 | 0 |
31 | 109.65 | 109.65 | 0 |
32 | 109.65 | 109.65 | 0 |
33 | 112.27 | 109.65 | 2.61999999999999 |
34 | 112.27 | 112.269891015277 | 0.000108984722643868 |
35 | 112.27 | 112.269999995467 | 4.53346160611545e-09 |
36 | 112.27 | 112.27 | 1.84741111297626e-13 |
37 | 112.27 | 112.27 | 0 |
38 | 114.98 | 112.27 | 2.71000000000001 |
39 | 114.98 | 114.979887271527 | 0.000112728472657864 |
40 | 114.98 | 114.979999995311 | 4.68919836293935e-09 |
41 | 114.98 | 114.98 | 1.98951966012828e-13 |
42 | 114.98 | 114.98 | 0 |
43 | 114.98 | 114.98 | 0 |
44 | 116.04 | 114.98 | 1.06 |
45 | 116.59 | 116.039955906944 | 0.550044093055732 |
46 | 116.59 | 116.589977119694 | 2.28803064601379e-05 |
47 | 116.59 | 116.589999999048 | 9.51757783695939e-10 |
48 | 116.59 | 116.59 | 4.2632564145606e-14 |
49 | 118.75 | 116.59 | 2.16 |
50 | 118.75 | 118.74991015 | 8.98500003501113e-05 |
51 | 118.75 | 118.749999996262 | 3.73751163351699e-09 |
52 | 118.75 | 118.75 | 1.56319401867222e-13 |
53 | 118.75 | 118.75 | 0 |
54 | 118.75 | 118.75 | 0 |
55 | 118.75 | 118.75 | 0 |
56 | 119.31 | 118.75 | 0.560000000000002 |
57 | 119.31 | 119.309976705555 | 2.32944445315297e-05 |
58 | 119.31 | 119.309999999031 | 9.68981339610764e-10 |
59 | 119.31 | 119.31 | 4.2632564145606e-14 |
60 | 119.31 | 119.31 | 0 |
61 | 121.19 | 119.31 | 1.88 |
62 | 121.19 | 121.189921797222 | 7.82027780843464e-05 |
63 | 121.19 | 121.189999996747 | 3.25302096371161e-09 |
64 | 121.19 | 121.19 | 1.4210854715202e-13 |
65 | 121.19 | 121.19 | 0 |
66 | 122.91 | 121.19 | 1.72 |
67 | 122.91 | 122.909928452777 | 7.15472225039093e-05 |
68 | 122.91 | 122.909999997024 | 2.97616509215004e-09 |
69 | 122.91 | 122.91 | 1.27897692436818e-13 |
70 | 122.91 | 122.91 | 0 |
71 | 122.91 | 122.91 | 0 |
72 | 122.91 | 122.91 | 0 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
73 | 122.91 | 121.647974205371 | 124.172025794629 |
74 | 122.91 | 121.125263125606 | 124.694736874394 |
75 | 122.91 | 120.724167820866 | 125.095832179133 |
76 | 122.91 | 120.386027155485 | 125.433972844515 |
77 | 122.91 | 120.088118442535 | 125.731881557465 |
78 | 122.91 | 119.818787919136 | 126.001212080864 |
79 | 122.91 | 119.571112650389 | 126.248887349611 |
80 | 122.91 | 119.340581932877 | 126.479418067123 |
81 | 122.91 | 119.124062607171 | 126.695937392829 |
82 | 122.91 | 118.919273431199 | 126.900726568801 |
83 | 122.91 | 118.724492246878 | 127.095507753122 |
84 | 122.91 | 118.538381105819 | 127.281618894181 |