Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.875400024974026
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1315.9215.71131771409690.208682285903068
1416.0215.99225363514870.0277463648512963
1516.116.09822864662650.00177135337345646
1616.1316.1331456193546-0.00314561935457291
1716.2116.2104184985029-0.000418498502913422
1816.2516.24714568330910.00285431669093583
1916.2716.20993097959660.0600690204033683
2016.2116.2773936674675-0.0673936674675026
2116.2116.2320554895922-0.0220554895921765
2216.2416.2763933413951-0.0363933413950939
2316.3216.2130805667670.106919433233038
2416.3216.3434474441589-0.023447444158883
2516.3616.3748842060348-0.0148842060348287
2616.4816.43870113474490.0412988652550759
2716.5416.5545459289014-0.0145459289013772
2816.5816.57451298415370.00548701584634159
2916.5616.6609523904799-0.100952390479915
3016.5516.6101405751483-0.0601405751483313
3116.5816.52361224361820.0563877563817634
3216.5316.5712769388902-0.0412769388902348
3316.616.55414164063470.0458583593653117
3416.4616.6567819810659-0.196781981065872
3516.4816.47012005181710.0098799481828955
3616.4816.4991555437033-0.019155543703345
3716.4916.5355992630508-0.0455992630507929
3816.5416.5799256240661-0.0399256240661288
3916.6716.61785684123060.0521431587694359
4016.7216.69870322779310.0212967722069131
4116.7916.78593098176860.00406901823141226
4216.8616.83222500094060.0277749990593783
4316.8416.83615546318460.00384453681535746
4416.8616.82488539207120.0351146079287759
4516.9616.88537373928010.0746262607198638
4617.0116.98265467626170.0273453237383343
4717.0217.01717461016820.00282538983181979
4817.0417.03583492752510.0041650724749438
4917.0417.0899081166026-0.0499081166025626
5017.3917.13285705778730.257142942212674
5117.5417.44475072375950.0952492762404802
5217.5717.5593138655230.0106861344769982
5317.5817.6367143109081-0.0567143109081343
5417.5617.6332647738813-0.0732647738812595
5517.6317.54332254632660.0866774536734027
5617.6717.60635586655790.0636441334420539
5717.7117.6967094767330.0132905232669991
5817.7517.7340262905360.0159737094639993
5917.8217.75436612112830.0656338788716511
6017.8617.82733343680350.0326665631964858
6117.8917.9000436508077-0.0100436508077024
6217.9618.0202200991569-0.0602200991568935
631818.0351230629853-0.0351230629853418
6418.0818.02464896181850.0553510381814846
651818.1334435102797-0.133443510279744
6618.0218.0609616630024-0.0409616630024274
6718.0118.0181043168846-0.00810431688463353
6818.0217.99418314254030.0258168574597484
6917.9518.0450257744868-0.0950257744867855
7017.9617.9877338065294-0.0277338065293975
711817.97570884708640.0242911529136229
7218.0118.00814137294280.00185862705722784


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7318.048596197878617.912464199022818.1847281967345
7418.172071416089317.99076081767218.3533820145066
7518.243236039350418.026004301451518.4604677772492
7618.274720246567418.026978540049318.5224619530855
7718.311450381722718.036513982984218.5863867804611
7818.367663049469518.067732034560318.6675940643786
7918.364031991119218.041846879606418.686217102632
8018.35050014718.007740645696818.6932596483031
8118.363238041514318.000723596864218.7257524861643
8218.397505204497218.015910785906218.7790996230882
8318.415852590009318.016393563746718.8153116162719
8418.423622641929214.486248000088522.3609972837699