Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.899590659914601
beta0
gamma0.775769860282962


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.340.3354887820512820.00451121794871812
140.340.3396475560583120.000352443941687763
150.350.350065135811922-6.51358119224676e-05
160.350.3496903980527490.000309601947251159
170.350.3492361042149780.000763895785021562
180.350.348357155537190.00164284446281027
190.350.351602234213817-0.0016022342138175
200.350.351094737088929-0.00109473708892943
210.350.350627112970858-0.000627112970857546
220.360.3501634924750870.00983650752491277
230.360.3591128472462030.000887152753797082
240.380.3600114460529610.0199885539470393
250.380.3784448862101740.00155511378982581
260.390.3796204307390150.0103795692609849
270.390.399025791592951-0.00902579159295053
280.390.390619321611724-0.000619321611724233
290.40.389364763825920.0106352361740801
300.40.3974344460656680.002565553934332
310.40.401256811654791-0.00125681165479063
320.40.401099584692684-0.00109958469268395
330.40.400664025080995-0.000664025080995001
340.40.400982257698126-0.000982257698125932
350.40.3995020464520180.000497953547981822
360.40.401538420142508-0.00153842014250788
370.40.399170531135870.000829468864129934
380.40.400380669164427-0.000380669164426917
390.40.408594648380412-0.00859464838041218
400.40.401230848916206-0.00123084891620556
410.40.400302835477587-0.000302835477587471
420.40.3979041464381930.00209585356180697
430.40.401006232550992-0.00100623255099247
440.40.401086671332079-0.00108667133207868
450.40.400696656174455-0.000696656174455412
460.40.400960745581448-0.000960745581448319
470.390.399615186808296-0.00961518680829626
480.390.392395251500536-0.00239525150053549
490.40.3894410106313960.0105589893686042
500.40.3993094712864820.000690528713517824
510.40.407847265978013-0.00784726597801289
520.40.401729404512311-0.00172940451231129
530.40.400425182295652-0.000425182295651971
540.40.3981032759801330.00189672401986657
550.40.400784591446934-0.000784591446933547
560.40.401058150753255-0.00105815075325527
570.40.400724172493147-0.000724172493147379
580.40.400942937354045-0.00094293735404466
590.40.3989392649799560.00106073502004378
600.40.401885682772621-0.00188568277262086
610.40.40039890980174-0.000398909801740011
620.40.3996410475103360.000358952489664499
630.410.4072155117400390.00278448825996069
640.410.411138425088324-0.00113842508832379
650.410.410467434230957-0.000467434230956576
660.410.4082883822928160.00171161770718381
670.410.410594318015481-0.000594318015480599
680.410.411017736747313-0.0010177367473127
690.420.4107461296323310.00925387036766889
700.420.4199240080668987.59919331022041e-05
710.420.4189930300999880.00100696990001226
720.420.421661571435033-0.00166157143503343


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.4204922184264760.4112857440804630.429698692772488
740.4201522450012320.4077687212658270.432535768736637
750.4275927349163040.4126949448007580.442490525031851
760.4287051751036240.4116600397111310.445750310496118
770.4291105673467230.4101598647009110.448061269992534
780.4275217511246430.4068403193320530.448203182917232
790.4281083117428180.4058302034027220.450386420082914
800.4290333914031670.4052656274899460.452801155316388
810.430477432868820.4053080250161080.455646840721532
820.430615709336220.4041186985259860.457112720146455
830.4296888878362930.4019276905980750.457450085074512
840.4312437036554310.4022734333370380.460213973973825