Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9916.3624	9356.9793	10475.7455	0.2634	0.6322	0.7748	0.6322
65	9115	9189.2753	8619.2992	9759.2515	0.3992	9e-04	0.6852	0.015
66	10411	10135.1752	9555.5359	10714.8146	0.1755	0.9997	0.4265	0.8567
67	9678	9731.2269	9142.7566	10319.6971	0.4296	0.0118	0.5335	0.3837
68	10408	9714.8543	9118.3009	10311.4077	0.0114	0.5482	0.4346	0.3649
69	10153	9933.8134	9329.8512	10537.7756	0.2384	0.0619	0.5527	0.6441
70	10368	10285.9522	9675.191	10896.7135	0.3962	0.6652	0.8256	0.9326
71	10581	10373.8244	9756.817	10990.8318	0.2552	0.5074	0.4254	0.9607
72	10597	10093.3993	9470.6482	10716.1504	0.0565	0.0624	0.5256	0.8052
73	10680	10061.4591	9433.4386	10689.4796	0.0268	0.0473	0.4373	0.7744
74	9738	9346.0289	8713.1385	9978.9193	0.1124	0	0.5979	0.0711
75	9556	9929.3947	9292.0155	10566.774	0.1254	0.7219	0.6317	0.6317

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0288	0.0182	0	32629.9344	0	0
65	0.0316	-0.0081	0.0131	5516.8259	19073.3802	138.1064
66	0.0292	0.0272	0.0178	76079.3002	38075.3535	195.1291
67	0.0309	-0.0055	0.0147	2833.0982	29264.7897	171.0695
68	0.0313	0.0713	0.0261	480450.952	119502.0222	345.6906
69	0.031	0.0221	0.0254	48042.7849	107592.1493	328.0124
70	0.0303	0.008	0.0229	6731.8393	93183.5336	305.2598
71	0.0303	0.02	0.0225	42921.7283	86900.8079	294.7894
72	0.0315	0.0499	0.0256	253613.6486	105424.4569	324.6913
73	0.0318	0.0615	0.0292	382592.819	133141.2931	364.8853
74	0.0345	0.0419	0.0303	153641.3107	135004.9311	367.4302
75	0.0328	-0.0376	0.0309	139423.631	135373.1561	367.9309