Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[360])
348	702.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
349	784.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
350	810.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
351	755.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
352	656.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
353	615.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
354	745.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
355	694.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
356	675.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
357	643.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
358	622.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
359	634.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
360	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
361	689.7	684.0994	630.3752	740.0203	0.4222	0.9996	2e-04	0.9996
362	673.9	683.2671	604.1148	767.2905	0.4135	0.4404	0.0015	0.9869
363	647.9	641.0506	539.8817	750.9024	0.4514	0.2789	0.0205	0.8281
364	568.8	574.8226	458.3534	704.4633	0.4637	0.1346	0.1076	0.421
365	545.7	536.1894	404.9632	685.8024	0.4504	0.3346	0.1506	0.2487
366	632.6	652.4574	487.4915	841.4225	0.4184	0.8659	0.1678	0.7481
367	643.8	621.063	442.7955	829.4149	0.4153	0.4568	0.246	0.6221
368	593.1	588.2864	399.6278	813.307	0.4833	0.3144	0.2232	0.501
369	579.7	572.3338	372.0808	815.5367	0.4763	0.4335	0.2826	0.4498
370	546	549.9014	341.1274	808.2829	0.4882	0.4106	0.292	0.3863
371	562.9	568.1965	343.0974	849.7726	0.4853	0.5614	0.322	0.4452
372	572.5	557.5223	323.4223	854.9704	0.4607	0.4859	0.4204	0.4204

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
361	0.0417	0.0082	0	31.3666	0	0
362	0.0627	-0.0137	0.0109	87.7424	59.5545	7.7172
363	0.0874	0.0107	0.0109	46.9148	55.3412	7.4392
364	0.1151	-0.0105	0.0108	36.2713	50.5738	7.1115
365	0.1424	0.0177	0.0122	90.4514	58.5493	7.6518
366	0.1478	-0.0304	0.0152	394.3175	114.5107	10.701
367	0.1712	0.0366	0.0183	516.9712	172.005	13.1151
368	0.1952	0.0082	0.017	23.1711	153.4008	12.3855
369	0.2168	0.0129	0.0165	54.2603	142.3852	11.9325
370	0.2397	-0.0071	0.0156	15.2206	129.6687	11.3872
371	0.2528	-0.0093	0.015	28.0534	120.431	10.9741
372	0.2722	0.0269	0.016	224.3305	129.0893	11.3617