Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[120])
108	782	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	811	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	792	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	978	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	773	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	796	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
115	594	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
116	438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
117	1023	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	868	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	791	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	760	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	779	831.2793	711.406	978.7941	0.2436	0.8282	0.6062	0.8282
122	852	816.1943	697.0026	963.3004	0.3167	0.6899	0.6264	0.773
123	1001	939.0292	794.1974	1120.1601	0.2512	0.8268	0.3366	0.9736
124	734	799.2081	679.2484	948.2323	0.1955	0.004	0.6348	0.697
125	996	823.814	697.1813	982.0511	0.0165	0.867	0.6348	0.7854
126	869	967.9643	810.2497	1168.0314	0.1661	0.3918	0.5852	0.9792
127	599	535.886	460.3266	628.3951	0.0906	0	0.1091	0
128	426	419.8802	363.6831	487.9096	0.43	0	0.3008	0
129	1138	1014.6468	840.0601	1239.496	0.1411	1	0.471	0.9868
130	1091	943.6423	782.2628	1151.1185	0.082	0.0332	0.7626	0.9586
131	830	828.9174	690.196	1006.1797	0.4952	0.0019	0.6625	0.777
132	909	853.3821	707.6618	1040.6446	0.2802	0.5967	0.8358	0.8358

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
121	0.0905	-0.0629	0	2733.1251	0	0
122	0.092	0.0439	0.0534	1282.0479	2007.5865	44.8061
123	0.0984	0.066	0.0576	3840.3845	2618.5192	51.1715
124	0.0951	-0.0816	0.0636	4252.0912	3026.9122	55.0174
125	0.098	0.209	0.0927	29648.0058	8351.1309	91.3845
126	0.1055	-0.1022	0.0943	9793.9418	8591.5994	92.6909
127	0.0881	0.1178	0.0976	3983.3748	7933.2816	89.069
128	0.0827	0.0146	0.0872	37.4516	6946.3028	83.3445
129	0.1131	0.1216	0.0911	15216.007	7865.1588	88.6857
130	0.1122	0.1562	0.0976	21714.2962	9250.0726	96.1773
131	0.1091	0.0013	0.0888	1.172	8409.2634	91.702
132	0.112	0.0652	0.0868	3093.3454	7966.2703	89.254