Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.476329705578366 |
beta | 0.00583226902366792 |
gamma | 0.787059048256216 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 10.1945 | 9.62937377136752 | 0.565126228632481 |
14 | 10.3014 | 10.0027270895873 | 0.298672910412705 |
15 | 10.0675 | 9.90719051532013 | 0.160309484679869 |
16 | 9.6715 | 9.60019268426286 | 0.0713073157371422 |
17 | 9.5019 | 9.48564024058462 | 0.0162597594153819 |
18 | 9.4597 | 9.45437884823849 | 0.00532115176150683 |
19 | 9.4362 | 9.43004685473035 | 0.00615314526965349 |
20 | 9.5919 | 9.49650742505983 | 0.0953925749401741 |
21 | 10.0167 | 9.98976539513977 | 0.0269346048602319 |
22 | 10.322 | 10.6689062937212 | -0.346906293721227 |
23 | 11.166 | 11.1989869326756 | -0.0329869326755912 |
24 | 11.5454 | 11.2878092146824 | 0.257590785317616 |
25 | 11.3712 | 11.5475966827094 | -0.176396682709438 |
26 | 11.0723 | 11.4589796199638 | -0.386679619963772 |
27 | 10.813 | 10.9791177783629 | -0.166117778362912 |
28 | 10.3016 | 10.4781993129901 | -0.176599312990149 |
29 | 10.4227 | 10.2204339546772 | 0.202266045322812 |
30 | 10.3162 | 10.2713419192068 | 0.0448580807931744 |
31 | 10.4519 | 10.2643727782324 | 0.187527221767622 |
32 | 10.8567 | 10.4526992797168 | 0.404000720283179 |
33 | 11.2716 | 11.0642894140155 | 0.207310585984477 |
34 | 11.4341 | 11.6753163293582 | -0.241216329358149 |
35 | 12.1273 | 12.3854683180792 | -0.258168318079164 |
36 | 11.9814 | 12.4865120460467 | -0.505112046046674 |
37 | 11.8352 | 12.2017282923085 | -0.366528292308509 |
38 | 11.9847 | 11.9329464228117 | 0.0517535771883288 |
39 | 11.545 | 11.7511186119019 | -0.20611861190195 |
40 | 11.5285 | 11.2250040012305 | 0.303495998769465 |
41 | 11.5539 | 11.3515864847326 | 0.202313515267432 |
42 | 11.622 | 11.3371512614759 | 0.284848738524092 |
43 | 11.6578 | 11.5034773274921 | 0.154322672507881 |
44 | 11.6767 | 11.7652949613966 | -0.0885949613966055 |
45 | 11.8752 | 12.0598968205952 | -0.184696820595162 |
46 | 13.2643 | 12.2969627076589 | 0.967337292341057 |
47 | 14.2297 | 13.5767835753134 | 0.652916424686619 |
48 | 14.308 | 14.013540720453 | 0.294459279547038 |
49 | 13.7915 | 14.1724732985381 | -0.380973298538088 |
50 | 13.7633 | 14.0749076915119 | -0.311607691511915 |
51 | 13.9775 | 13.6184042342139 | 0.359095765786126 |
52 | 13.6478 | 13.5778192861566 | 0.0699807138433535 |
53 | 13.2247 | 13.5570782519601 | -0.332378251960144 |
54 | 13.0971 | 13.3260957755452 | -0.228995775545213 |
55 | 13.1039 | 13.1965620292357 | -0.0926620292357363 |
56 | 13.206 | 13.2426237165744 | -0.0366237165743701 |
57 | 13.7901 | 13.5245271156506 | 0.265572884349405 |
58 | 14.6457 | 14.454297845163 | 0.191402154836963 |
59 | 15.5764 | 15.2361768827209 | 0.340223117279081 |
60 | 15.6102 | 15.3766293867247 | 0.233570613275305 |
61 | 15.8855 | 15.2283857824269 | 0.657114217573103 |
62 | 16.0137 | 15.6569784931931 | 0.356721506806888 |
63 | 15.6186 | 15.8002102307539 | -0.181610230753856 |
64 | 15.384 | 15.3863607103684 | -0.00236071036841778 |
65 | 15.2751 | 15.1685755436846 | 0.10652445631543 |
66 | 15.0912 | 15.193735121429 | -0.102535121428984 |
67 | 14.9222 | 15.1854504928658 | -0.263250492865808 |
68 | 15.6231 | 15.1776995489936 | 0.445400451006449 |
69 | 16.6737 | 15.8194446655895 | 0.854255334410547 |
70 | 17.6805 | 17.0063736801376 | 0.67412631986242 |
71 | 19.1919 | 18.088189103474 | 1.10371089652601 |
72 | 19.1711 | 18.5591392735994 | 0.611960726400639 |
73 | 18.5658 | 18.7775364095943 | -0.211736409594273 |
74 | 18.1285 | 18.6778811181326 | -0.549381118132573 |
75 | 16.791 | 18.1745345751706 | -1.38353457517058 |
76 | 16.9468 | 17.2656169481082 | -0.318816948108239 |
77 | 17.3164 | 16.9446579627439 | 0.371742037256055 |
78 | 17.1816 | 17.013405108116 | 0.16819489188401 |
79 | 16.7627 | 17.0720114140829 | -0.309311414082945 |
80 | 17.239 | 17.338444047844 | -0.0994440478439707 |
81 | 17.8838 | 17.8917099067047 | -0.00790990670470393 |
82 | 18.9038 | 18.5938599255658 | 0.309940074434166 |
83 | 20.0274 | 19.6783860164676 | 0.349013983532441 |
84 | 20.0087 | 19.5842015956583 | 0.42449840434173 |
85 | 19.6366 | 19.3703189637912 | 0.266281036208753 |
86 | 19.8163 | 19.357030756521 | 0.459269243478992 |
87 | 18.8602 | 18.9909688632289 | -0.130768863228869 |
88 | 17.9206 | 19.1217332152506 | -1.20113321525055 |
89 | 17.6889 | 18.6667890731234 | -0.977889073123421 |
90 | 17.84 | 18.0066914475159 | -0.16669144751588 |
91 | 17.678 | 17.705960863279 | -0.0279608632790413 |
92 | 17.7258 | 18.190677708724 | -0.464877708723996 |
93 | 18.5865 | 18.6043578849005 | -0.0178578849004687 |
94 | 19.9804 | 19.4295011860144 | 0.550898813985615 |
95 | 21.1584 | 20.6423040948149 | 0.516095905185093 |
96 | 21.2921 | 20.6566778726749 | 0.635422127325061 |
97 | 20.9445 | 20.4765001561216 | 0.467999843878374 |
98 | 20.5731 | 20.6378453756735 | -0.0647453756735281 |
99 | 19.3274 | 19.776541073742 | -0.449141073741966 |
100 | 17.7866 | 19.3111611426841 | -1.52456114268413 |
101 | 17.7483 | 18.7899389767934 | -1.04163897679344 |
102 | 17.5648 | 18.4294091620754 | -0.864609162075372 |
103 | 17.4763 | 17.8470709071887 | -0.370770907188717 |
104 | 17.7264 | 17.9811175351567 | -0.254717535156662 |
105 | 18.5736 | 18.6724303228626 | -0.0988303228625647 |
106 | 19.9236 | 19.6864811789021 | 0.237118821097919 |
107 | 21.3286 | 20.7276639896344 | 0.600936010365604 |
108 | 20.7249 | 20.8240537330693 | -0.09915373306929 |
109 | 20.3334 | 20.2153529992671 | 0.118047000732943 |
110 | 19.7658 | 19.9798390740421 | -0.214039074042145 |
111 | 18.7569 | 18.8779844446256 | -0.121084444625627 |
112 | 17.6963 | 18.1155294754083 | -0.419229475408283 |
113 | 17.7978 | 18.3128276328719 | -0.515027632871938 |
114 | 18.1771 | 18.2705430090492 | -0.0934430090492384 |
115 | 18.3738 | 18.255656619251 | 0.118143380748961 |
116 | 18.1996 | 18.6683608018858 | -0.468760801885811 |
117 | 18.8443 | 19.3193148426882 | -0.475014842688207 |
118 | 20.1001 | 20.2889434102163 | -0.188843410216311 |
119 | 21.2458 | 21.2722960493976 | -0.0264960493976325 |
120 | 20.8381 | 20.774647209535 | 0.0634527904649609 |
121 | 20.1967 | 20.3267484052807 | -0.130048405280721 |
122 | 19.8159 | 19.8293239054349 | -0.0134239054348733 |
123 | 18.5784 | 18.8550347429995 | -0.276634742999505 |
124 | 19.21 | 17.88886549879 | 1.32113450121003 |
125 | 19.3419 | 18.8737637199314 | 0.468136280068567 |
126 | 19.12 | 19.4743777865566 | -0.354377786556554 |
127 | 19.1563 | 19.4225112705314 | -0.266211270531358 |
128 | 18.9783 | 19.4092735756887 | -0.4309735756887 |
129 | 20.2913 | 20.0747898706168 | 0.216510129383174 |
130 | 22.5439 | 21.4928224343864 | 1.05107756561364 |
131 | 23.2821 | 23.1382057197199 | 0.143894280280083 |
132 | 22.6191 | 22.7637719325874 | -0.144671932587364 |
133 | 22.1599 | 22.1413854207428 | 0.0185145792572285 |
134 | 21.2766 | 21.767608118465 | -0.491008118464975 |
135 | 19.0846 | 20.4608341534551 | -1.37623415345512 |
136 | 18.9096 | 19.6298615273214 | -0.720261527321423 |
137 | 18.8095 | 19.2855725384251 | -0.4760725384251 |
138 | 20.1164 | 19.0895634974412 | 1.02683650255878 |
139 | 20.7762 | 19.7279247080939 | 1.04827529190612 |
140 | 20.9044 | 20.2725350920916 | 0.631864907908355 |
141 | 22.0026 | 21.7137595276494 | 0.288840472350582 |
142 | 23.6401 | 23.5130010472721 | 0.127098952727877 |
143 | 25.04 | 24.344575839424 | 0.695424160576025 |
144 | 24.7185 | 24.1156631493668 | 0.602836850633174 |
145 | 24.1752 | 23.9204191007899 | 0.254780899210136 |
146 | 24.1382 | 23.4536572037452 | 0.684542796254796 |
147 | 22.3949 | 22.3497238980247 | 0.0451761019753043 |
148 | 21.3743 | 22.477870416737 | -1.10357041673696 |
149 | 21.4911 | 22.0622738550886 | -0.571173855088571 |
150 | 21.2187 | 22.4507682265026 | -1.23206822650258 |
151 | 21.2137 | 22.0260716278822 | -0.812371627882225 |
152 | 21.6735 | 21.5116935244549 | 0.161806475545131 |
153 | 22.5096 | 22.5852489277214 | -0.075648927721371 |
154 | 24.3097 | 24.1408119650739 | 0.168888034926095 |
155 | 25.7989 | 25.2232507744688 | 0.575649225531187 |
156 | 25.4376 | 24.8955102806268 | 0.542089719373152 |
157 | 23.878 | 24.5240925509798 | -0.646092550979763 |
158 | 23.6966 | 23.7990621211054 | -0.102462121105393 |
159 | 23.3544 | 22.0482614370415 | 1.30613856295848 |
160 | 21.1993 | 22.2986056291484 | -1.09930562914841 |
161 | 22.0431 | 22.099515152551 | -0.0564151525510397 |
162 | 22.0203 | 22.4572829406797 | -0.43698294067968 |
163 | 21.886 | 22.582972223452 | -0.696972223451994 |
164 | 21.9771 | 22.5240808032375 | -0.546980803237481 |
165 | 23.0759 | 23.1591830278017 | -0.0832830278016559 |
166 | 24.9859 | 24.8089094707846 | 0.176990529215445 |
167 | 26.2614 | 26.059892250096 | 0.201507749904039 |
168 | 26.1127 | 25.5360998391014 | 0.576600160898625 |
169 | 25.6296 | 24.6874904365787 | 0.942109563421312 |
170 | 25.2926 | 24.9435329470225 | 0.34906705297751 |
171 | 22.8146 | 23.9901341604274 | -1.17553416042737 |
172 | 22.2974 | 22.0618201472563 | 0.235579852743683 |
173 | 22.8868 | 22.9269836324203 | -0.0401836324203195 |
174 | 22.4612 | 23.1342446551806 | -0.673044655180572 |
175 | 22.3165 | 23.0382941810491 | -0.721794181049141 |
176 | 22.7319 | 23.0272912360853 | -0.295391236085269 |
177 | 23.2692 | 23.9719409295977 | -0.70274092959767 |
178 | 24.9432 | 25.4307449389783 | -0.487544938978338 |
179 | 27.8272 | 26.3703181656894 | 1.45688183431055 |
180 | 27.4059 | 26.5976065627589 | 0.808293437241076 |
181 | 26.6232 | 26.009162326099 | 0.614037673900999 |
182 | 26.8779 | 25.8627495917819 | 1.01515040821815 |
183 | 25.105 | 24.5983409536733 | 0.506659046326682 |
184 | 23.601 | 24.0576764218647 | -0.456676421864749 |
185 | 23.5374 | 24.4822829296312 | -0.944882929631159 |
186 | 23.5248 | 23.9980996004789 | -0.473299600478878 |
187 | 22.9465 | 23.9780864052642 | -1.03158640526419 |
188 | 23.6633 | 23.9952909466309 | -0.331990946630924 |
189 | 25.5932 | 24.7545371355291 | 0.838662864470901 |
190 | 27.7683 | 27.0404578154485 | 0.727842184551491 |
191 | 29.4691 | 29.3679515314132 | 0.101148468586846 |
192 | 28.3472 | 28.6859573226121 | -0.338757322612057 |
193 | 28.3879 | 27.4717030875885 | 0.916196912411518 |
194 | 27.9696 | 27.6360082988775 | 0.333591701122469 |
195 | 26.0075 | 25.8369481822 | 0.170551817800032 |
196 | 24.2533 | 24.737778945383 | -0.484478945383046 |
197 | 24.4999 | 24.9464870877212 | -0.446587087721181 |
198 | 23.8988 | 24.893972424939 | -0.995172424938978 |
199 | 23.6683 | 24.3937707482777 | -0.725470748277729 |
200 | 23.9427 | 24.8444807862001 | -0.901780786200089 |
201 | 26.0155 | 25.8125808893281 | 0.202919110671903 |
202 | 28.9529 | 27.74600171291 | 1.20689828709001 |
203 | 30.302 | 30.0407167740261 | 0.261283225973859 |
204 | 29.874 | 29.2514634747121 | 0.622536525287902 |
205 | 28.2257 | 29.0127891422302 | -0.787089142230229 |
206 | 28.0811 | 28.1213563467421 | -0.0402563467420549 |
207 | 26.3398 | 26.0716982688369 | 0.268101731163132 |
208 | 25.4847 | 24.7439642373648 | 0.74073576263519 |
209 | 25.4823 | 25.5502461746277 | -0.0679461746277248 |
210 | 24.9697 | 25.451386841879 | -0.481686841879036 |
211 | 25.2282 | 25.3077622430438 | -0.0795622430437568 |
212 | 25.9257 | 25.996092777663 | -0.0703927776630131 |
213 | 28.7818 | 27.8204527814472 | 0.96134721855277 |
214 | 27.9552 | 30.5359745178161 | -2.58077451781605 |
215 | 33.3475 | 30.6332814369759 | 2.71421856302407 |
216 | 32.7834 | 31.1646596287201 | 1.61874037127992 |
217 | 31.6586 | 30.8256153524858 | 0.832984647514227 |
218 | 31.6613 | 31.0242858194077 | 0.637014180592306 |
219 | 29.1839 | 29.4368058216401 | -0.252905821640098 |
220 | 28.8825 | 28.0667349085813 | 0.815765091418729 |
221 | 27.6334 | 28.5866919976225 | -0.953291997622536 |
222 | 27.7511 | 27.9043718132665 | -0.153271813266503 |
223 | 27.3792 | 28.0926156501799 | -0.713415650179883 |
224 | 27.7748 | 28.4907365133578 | -0.715936513357818 |
225 | 31.4329 | 30.4389871218274 | 0.993912878172551 |
226 | 33.2735 | 31.7163332751328 | 1.55716672486724 |
227 | 35.0962 | 35.9847728236153 | -0.888572823615291 |
228 | 34.9537 | 34.3562408133524 | 0.597459186647647 |
229 | 31.8307 | 33.2117541657466 | -1.38105416574664 |
230 | 30.9984 | 32.2737711509282 | -1.27537115092818 |
231 | 28.629 | 29.4019935661006 | -0.772993566100631 |
232 | 26.4379 | 28.2166246605336 | -1.77872466053355 |
233 | 25.4408 | 26.7563803575192 | -1.31558035751916 |
234 | 24.6681 | 26.2149856052307 | -1.54688560523067 |
235 | 24.0994 | 25.488427913921 | -1.38902791392103 |
236 | 24.6043 | 25.5417053730366 | -0.937405373036572 |
237 | 27.2492 | 28.0665888838137 | -0.817388883813699 |
238 | 29.5511 | 28.6856711728318 | 0.865428827168174 |
239 | 29.8522 | 31.58702163426 | -1.73482163425999 |
240 | 31.6989 | 30.1359682275771 | 1.56293177242295 |
241 | 29.6357 | 28.6066739771142 | 1.02902602288576 |
242 | 30.5197 | 28.8377094912655 | 1.68199050873449 |
243 | 32.7823 | 27.5673540667102 | 5.21494593328982 |
244 | 24.9942 | 28.822015330372 | -3.82781533037195 |
245 | 23.5187 | 26.5732433048479 | -3.05454330484788 |
246 | 24.0249 | 25.0999889530405 | -1.07508895304048 |
247 | 24.5692 | 24.6563300019965 | -0.0871300019965453 |
248 | 24.402 | 25.5126028273958 | -1.11060282739576 |
249 | 26.7089 | 28.0006942403101 | -1.29179424031011 |
250 | 31.6874 | 29.0823155045771 | 2.60508449542285 |
251 | 32.8801 | 31.7403538905904 | 1.13974610940958 |
252 | 32.7906 | 33.0254845231796 | -0.234884523179652 |
253 | 30.8785 | 30.4225300097341 | 0.455969990265849 |
254 | 30.3024 | 30.6508827349147 | -0.348482734914658 |
255 | 28.3679 | 29.8650080498423 | -1.49710804984231 |
256 | 25.6578 | 24.1723270425545 | 1.48547295744549 |
257 | 25.1598 | 24.7647720633969 | 0.395027936603096 |
258 | 24.6143 | 25.7517135975505 | -1.13741359755051 |
259 | 24.528 | 25.6866028634125 | -1.15860286341254 |
260 | 25.2905 | 25.6087293904743 | -0.318229390474308 |
261 | 30.0016 | 28.3998353810094 | 1.60176461899064 |
262 | 34.2728 | 32.4741819262759 | 1.79861807372405 |
263 | 34.4408 | 34.1501847849393 | 0.290615215060676 |
264 | 34.1907 | 34.4679846355662 | -0.277284635566232 |
265 | 33.6636 | 32.1331605933847 | 1.53043940661526 |
266 | 33.9073 | 32.5483218894522 | 1.35897811054778 |
267 | 30.2175 | 32.1136578811878 | -1.89615788118785 |
268 | 28.5274 | 27.4704010455408 | 1.05699895445921 |
269 | 25.9505 | 27.418328153444 | -1.46782815344404 |
270 | 26.2398 | 26.8901647716637 | -0.650364771663668 |
271 | 26.2819 | 27.0535085943215 | -0.771608594321471 |
272 | 26.7362 | 27.5126070417817 | -0.776407041781688 |
273 | 28.8395 | 30.8818074047264 | -2.04230740472638 |
274 | 31.0951 | 33.2963800073389 | -2.20128000733894 |
275 | 33.7015 | 32.4293337239832 | 1.2721662760168 |
276 | 33.8091 | 32.9670957987167 | 0.842004201283338 |
277 | 32.1126 | 31.9000878738458 | 0.212512126154209 |
278 | 32 | 31.6027456126281 | 0.397254387371913 |
279 | 29.122 | 29.3516109877461 | -0.229610987746145 |
280 | 26.8124 | 26.7072432270369 | 0.105156772963142 |
281 | 25.4654 | 25.146395802326 | 0.319004197673973 |
282 | 23.8331 | 25.7964904786171 | -1.96339047861709 |
283 | 24.714 | 25.2709931498161 | -0.556993149816055 |
284 | 28.3288 | 25.8175015862791 | 2.51129841372089 |
285 | 29.6391 | 30.227274453255 | -0.588174453255004 |
286 | 32.4542 | 33.2693049406338 | -0.815104940633844 |
287 | 33.5657 | 34.4983328388712 | -0.93263283887125 |
288 | 33.1856 | 33.80664725701 | -0.621047257009963 |
289 | 33.297 | 31.7772878980169 | 1.5197121019831 |
290 | 33.51 | 32.1763731336535 | 1.33362686634647 |
291 | 31.3789 | 30.1131194219273 | 1.26578057807269 |
292 | 29.4555 | 28.323410471431 | 1.13208952856902 |
293 | 27.2699 | 27.3470954558095 | -0.0771954558095125 |
294 | 27.2586 | 26.8738918689937 | 0.384708131006349 |
295 | 27.8591 | 28.0591807336772 | -0.200080733677197 |
296 | 29.6362 | 30.0539711656321 | -0.417771165632093 |
297 | 30.9587 | 31.7965756377964 | -0.837875637796394 |
298 | 31.8633 | 34.6309522670717 | -2.76765226707166 |
299 | 33.8188 | 34.880877077543 | -1.06207707754302 |
300 | 33.7531 | 34.2549901312807 | -0.501890131280739 |
301 | 33.6103 | 33.1640878970798 | 0.446212102920249 |
302 | 32.9052 | 32.9715189950188 | -0.0663189950188325 |
303 | 29.5005 | 30.2059594170856 | -0.705459417085581 |
304 | 27.3634 | 27.4092054253926 | -0.0458054253926043 |
305 | 27.2298 | 25.3571506908782 | 1.87264930912183 |
306 | 26.5211 | 25.992255706697 | 0.528844293302985 |
307 | 26.5228 | 26.9947367708277 | -0.47193677082775 |
308 | 27.2991 | 28.7591178074658 | -1.46001780746584 |
309 | 29.1726 | 29.8180306485655 | -0.645430648565544 |
310 | 30.297 | 31.9351449398479 | -1.63814493984789 |
311 | 32.5287 | 33.4156404876455 | -0.886940487645489 |
312 | 32.487 | 33.0941331093994 | -0.607133109399349 |
313 | 32.4197 | 32.3336479016168 | 0.0860520983831776 |
314 | 30.854 | 31.7470570980797 | -0.893057098079748 |
315 | 28.6995 | 28.3107506347346 | 0.388749365265426 |
316 | 27.7881 | 26.2966040076239 | 1.49149599237613 |
317 | 26.5609 | 25.761312186852 | 0.799587813148033 |
318 | 25.9431 | 25.3222345010321 | 0.620865498967852 |
319 | 25.5578 | 25.9471325673605 | -0.389332567360494 |
320 | 27.1275 | 27.3349089259084 | -0.207408925908421 |
321 | 30.2556 | 29.320991644519 | 0.934608355481036 |
322 | 34.0976 | 31.7807336266369 | 2.31686637336313 |
323 | 34.5614 | 35.4648866545652 | -0.903486654565249 |
324 | 34.2948 | 35.2609292289445 | -0.966129228944489 |
325 | 33.3418 | 34.6242551438542 | -1.28245514385424 |
326 | 31.8187 | 32.9875615694042 | -1.16886156940421 |
327 | 29.0818 | 29.9527306567994 | -0.870930656799434 |
328 | 27.3444 | 27.7941097309204 | -0.449709730920436 |
329 | 26.6233 | 26.0446359178699 | 0.578664082130139 |
330 | 26.1869 | 25.421698310771 | 0.765201689228963 |
331 | 26.2953 | 25.6944210011853 | 0.600878998814689 |
332 | 28.7043 | 27.6270326621856 | 1.07726733781439 |
333 | 32.0653 | 30.6974935635775 | 1.36780643642254 |
334 | 34.5401 | 33.9362503248501 | 0.603849675149881 |
335 | 34.6636 | 35.47534376811 | -0.811743768109977 |
336 | 34.2557 | 35.2877224121335 | -1.03202241213355 |
337 | 32.0526 | 34.487556612849 | -2.43495661284898 |
338 | 30.6892 | 32.3437811521206 | -1.65458115212057 |
339 | 28.012 | 29.1941033782195 | -1.18210337821945 |
340 | 26.1528 | 27.0537281257153 | -0.900928125715268 |
341 | 23.2276 | 25.5047823456402 | -2.27718234564018 |
342 | 24.244 | 23.5820724879836 | 0.661927512016447 |
343 | 24.8141 | 23.7212575683178 | 1.09284243168221 |
344 | 27.8632 | 26.0693027913849 | 1.7938972086151 |
345 | 29.6233 | 29.5876038908298 | 0.0356961091702068 |
346 | 32.4245 | 31.8600038949629 | 0.564496105037062 |
347 | 33.3417 | 32.7798314868824 | 0.561868513117588 |
348 | 33.0442 | 33.1424581789294 | -0.0982581789293846 |
349 | 32.0526 | 32.1981791548532 | -0.145579154853174 |
350 | 30.2182 | 31.4622410932519 | -1.24404109325192 |
351 | 28.9292 | 28.6996922284089 | 0.229507771591077 |
352 | 26.8221 | 27.3483602151292 | -0.526260215129245 |
353 | 26.1032 | 25.412446455943 | 0.690753544057017 |
354 | 25.9792 | 26.1248824211871 | -0.14568242118715 |
355 | 27.1443 | 26.0647888568858 | 1.07951114311419 |
356 | 29.4993 | 28.7031976060837 | 0.796102393916346 |
357 | 31.656 | 31.026555519806 | 0.629444480194046 |
358 | 33.3665 | 33.8063702163256 | -0.439870216325616 |
359 | 35.0521 | 34.2505598878795 | 0.801540112120513 |
360 | 34.4076 | 34.4597922402601 | -0.0521922402601405 |
361 | 33.069 | 33.5226003872809 | -0.453600387280893 |
362 | 31.5816 | 32.1909938761108 | -0.609393876110815 |
363 | 30.0695 | 30.3436391907877 | -0.274139190787693 |
364 | 29.0035 | 28.4450648595911 | 0.558435140408879 |
365 | 28.6813 | 27.5345974114463 | 1.14670258855368 |
366 | 28.359 | 28.1279071110605 | 0.231092888939543 |
367 | 30.0447 | 28.7617412722835 | 1.28295872771652 |
368 | 31.5073 | 31.3902971067754 | 0.117002893224576 |
369 | 34.16 | 33.3296520771063 | 0.830347922893672 |
370 | 35.57 | 35.7731549823104 | -0.203154982310359 |
371 | 36.42 | 36.8511358375616 | -0.431135837561641 |
372 | 35.12 | 36.1272873862051 | -1.00728738620513 |
373 | 33.14 | 34.5730110712064 | -1.4330110712064 |
374 | 30.29 | 32.7112494016535 | -2.42124940165354 |
375 | 28.2 | 30.1345780088238 | -1.93457800882378 |
376 | 26.5 | 27.7791733974942 | -1.2791733974942 |
377 | 25.47 | 26.2216860507305 | -0.751686050730459 |
378 | 24.96 | 25.5139134343944 | -0.553913434394357 |
379 | 25.6 | 26.1857351607658 | -0.585735160765751 |
380 | 27.76 | 27.4167984481629 | 0.343201551837151 |
381 | 30.13 | 29.7317204186135 | 0.398279581386493 |
382 | 32.35 | 31.516058003105 | 0.833941996894968 |
383 | 32.8 | 32.9695652836361 | -0.169565283636132 |
384 | 32.54 | 32.1090618092023 | 0.430938190797747 |
385 | 29.78 | 31.0446019864125 | -1.26460198641252 |
386 | 28.79 | 28.8364276243664 | -0.0464276243664337 |
387 | 26.8 | 27.5788188700187 | -0.778818870018679 |
388 | 25.41 | 26.0345569337433 | -0.624556933743349 |
389 | 24.34 | 24.9985993894524 | -0.658599389452377 |
390 | 24.39 | 24.4092468127578 | -0.019246812757828 |
391 | 25 | 25.3166821029955 | -0.316682102995458 |
392 | 26.27 | 27.0535724388792 | -0.783572438879169 |
393 | 27.88 | 28.8461481905897 | -0.966148190589735 |
394 | 29.35 | 30.1480089558361 | -0.79800895583606 |
395 | 29.83 | 30.393909102959 | -0.563909102959027 |
396 | 29.46 | 29.5753201969181 | -0.115320196918113 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
397 | 27.5325598959757 | 25.7163351228616 | 29.3487846690898 |
398 | 26.4130797769907 | 24.3991622536834 | 28.426997300298 |
399 | 24.8600975748479 | 22.6642237881517 | 27.0559713615441 |
400 | 23.7369280027052 | 21.3711898446781 | 26.1026661607323 |
401 | 22.9727069174368 | 20.4467455671689 | 25.4986682677047 |
402 | 22.9506819982585 | 20.2723982687348 | 25.6289657277821 |
403 | 23.7348498246996 | 20.910856742675 | 26.5588429067242 |
404 | 25.4211872328606 | 22.4571138137044 | 28.3852606520167 |
405 | 27.5049635631382 | 24.4056672602764 | 30.604259866 |
406 | 29.3322256945187 | 26.1019460068906 | 32.5625053821467 |
407 | 30.0528407223534 | 26.6953133564362 | 33.4103680882706 |
408 | 29.6874282581073 | 26.2059719611964 | 33.1688845550182 |