Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999933893038648 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 8.9522 | 8.9634 | -0.0112000000000005 |
3 | 8.8682 | 8.95220074039797 | -0.0840007403979666 |
4 | 8.7331 | 8.8682055530337 | -0.135105553033698 |
5 | 8.3188 | 8.73310893141757 | -0.414308931417574 |
6 | 8.3462 | 8.31882738870452 | 0.0273726112954833 |
7 | 8.3087 | 8.34619819047984 | -0.0374981904798428 |
8 | 8.3836 | 8.30870247889143 | 0.0748975211085714 |
9 | 8.8412 | 8.38359504875247 | 0.457604951247534 |
10 | 9.5001 | 8.84116974912717 | 0.658930250872826 |
11 | 10.1883 | 9.50005644012337 | 0.688243559876629 |
12 | 10.2931 | 10.1882545023096 | 0.104845497690414 |
13 | 10.1945 | 10.2930930689827 | -0.098593068982737 |
14 | 10.3014 | 10.1945065176882 | 0.106893482311799 |
15 | 10.0675 | 10.3013929335967 | -0.233892933596694 |
16 | 9.6715 | 10.0675154619511 | -0.396015461951123 |
17 | 9.5019 | 9.67152617937884 | -0.169626179378838 |
18 | 9.4597 | 9.50191121347128 | -0.0422112134712833 |
19 | 9.4362 | 9.45970279045506 | -0.0235027904550584 |
20 | 9.5919 | 9.43620155369806 | 0.15569844630194 |
21 | 10.0167 | 9.59188970724883 | 0.424810292751172 |
22 | 10.322 | 10.0166719170824 | 0.305328082917605 |
23 | 11.166 | 10.3219798156882 | 0.844020184311779 |
24 | 11.5454 | 11.1659442043903 | 0.379455795609704 |
25 | 11.3712 | 11.5453749153304 | -0.174174915330386 |
26 | 11.0723 | 11.3712115141744 | -0.298911514174396 |
27 | 10.813 | 11.0723197601319 | -0.259319760131914 |
28 | 10.3016 | 10.8130171428414 | -0.511417142841362 |
29 | 10.4227 | 10.3016338082333 | 0.121066191766703 |
30 | 10.3162 | 10.4226919966819 | -0.106491996681941 |
31 | 10.4519 | 10.3162070398623 | 0.135692960137691 |
32 | 10.8567 | 10.4518910297507 | 0.404808970249272 |
33 | 11.2716 | 10.856673239309 | 0.41492676069095 |
34 | 11.4341 | 11.2715725704527 | 0.162527429547334 |
35 | 12.1273 | 11.4340892558055 | 0.693210744194502 |
36 | 11.9814 | 12.1272541739441 | -0.145854173944125 |
37 | 11.8352 | 11.9814096419762 | -0.14620964197624 |
38 | 11.9847 | 11.8352096654752 | 0.149490334524849 |
39 | 11.545 | 11.9846901176482 | -0.439690117648233 |
40 | 11.5285 | 11.5450290665776 | -0.0165290665776148 |
41 | 11.5539 | 11.5285010926864 | 0.0253989073136349 |
42 | 11.622 | 11.5538983209554 | 0.0681016790445828 |
43 | 11.6578 | 11.6219954980049 | 0.0358045019950648 |
44 | 11.6767 | 11.6577976330732 | 0.0189023669268291 |
45 | 11.8752 | 11.676698750422 | 0.198501249578038 |
46 | 13.2643 | 11.8751868776856 | 1.38911312231443 |
47 | 14.2297 | 13.2642081699525 | 0.965491830047489 |
48 | 14.308 | 14.2296361742689 | 0.0783638257310955 |
49 | 13.7915 | 14.3079948196056 | -0.516494819605601 |
50 | 13.7633 | 13.7915341439031 | -0.0282341439030773 |
51 | 13.9775 | 13.7633018664735 | 0.214198133526541 |
52 | 13.6478 | 13.9774858400123 | -0.329685840012264 |
53 | 13.2247 | 13.6478217945291 | -0.423121794529084 |
54 | 13.0971 | 13.2247279712961 | -0.127627971296119 |
55 | 13.1039 | 13.0971084370974 | 0.0067915629026345 |
56 | 13.206 | 13.1038995510304 | 0.102100448969587 |
57 | 13.7901 | 13.2059932504496 | 0.584106749550434 |
58 | 14.6457 | 13.7900613864777 | 0.855638613522316 |
59 | 15.5764 | 14.6456434363312 | 0.930756563668755 |
60 | 15.6102 | 15.5763384705118 | 0.033861529488183 |
61 | 15.8855 | 15.6101977615172 | 0.275302238482821 |
62 | 16.0137 | 15.8854818006056 | 0.128218199394439 |
63 | 15.6186 | 16.0136915238844 | -0.395091523884446 |
64 | 15.384 | 15.6186261183001 | -0.234626118300101 |
65 | 15.2751 | 15.3840155104197 | -0.108915510419735 |
66 | 15.0912 | 15.2751072000734 | -0.183907200073438 |
67 | 14.9222 | 15.0912121575462 | -0.169012157546168 |
68 | 15.6231 | 14.9222111728802 | 0.700888827119833 |
69 | 16.6737 | 15.6230536663694 | 1.05064633363061 |
70 | 17.6805 | 16.6736305449634 | 1.00686945503657 |
71 | 19.1919 | 17.6804334389198 | 1.51146656108015 |
72 | 19.1711 | 19.1918000815385 | -0.0207000815384646 |
73 | 18.5658 | 19.1711013684195 | -0.605301368419489 |
74 | 18.1285 | 18.5658400146342 | -0.43734001463417 |
75 | 16.791 | 18.1285289112194 | -1.33752891121944 |
76 | 16.9468 | 16.791088419972 | 0.155711580027958 |
77 | 17.3164 | 16.9467897063806 | 0.369610293619406 |
78 | 17.1816 | 17.3163755661866 | -0.134775566186608 |
79 | 16.7627 | 17.1816089096031 | -0.418908909603147 |
80 | 17.239 | 16.7627276927951 | 0.476272307204905 |
81 | 17.8838 | 17.238968515085 | 0.644831484915006 |
82 | 18.9038 | 17.8837573721499 | 1.02004262785005 |
83 | 20.0274 | 18.9037325680814 | 1.12366743191858 |
84 | 20.0087 | 20.0273257177605 | -0.0186257177605036 |
85 | 19.6366 | 20.0087012312896 | -0.372101231289605 |
86 | 19.8163 | 19.6366245984817 | 0.179675401518281 |
87 | 18.8602 | 19.8162881222052 | -0.956088122205177 |
88 | 17.9206 | 18.8602632040805 | -0.939663204080542 |
89 | 17.6889 | 17.9206621182791 | -0.231762118279114 |
90 | 17.84 | 17.6889153210894 | 0.151084678910603 |
91 | 17.678 | 17.839990012251 | -0.161990012250968 |
92 | 17.7258 | 17.6780107086675 | 0.0477892913325206 |
93 | 18.5865 | 17.7257968407952 | 0.860703159204835 |
94 | 19.9804 | 18.5864431015295 | 1.39395689847048 |
95 | 21.1584 | 19.9803078497452 | 1.17809215025481 |
96 | 21.2921 | 21.1583221199078 | 0.133777880092246 |
97 | 20.9445 | 21.2920911563509 | -0.347591156350852 |
98 | 20.5731 | 20.9445229781951 | -0.371422978195142 |
99 | 19.3274 | 20.5731245536445 | -1.24572455364446 |
100 | 17.7866 | 19.3274823510649 | -1.54088235106492 |
101 | 17.7483 | 17.78670186305 | -0.03840186305003 |
102 | 17.5648 | 17.7483025386305 | -0.183502538630474 |
103 | 17.4763 | 17.5648121307952 | -0.0885121307952339 |
104 | 17.7264 | 17.476305851268 | 0.250094148731993 |
105 | 18.5736 | 17.7263834670358 | 0.847216532964222 |
106 | 19.9236 | 18.5735439930894 | 1.3500560069106 |
107 | 21.3286 | 19.9235107518997 | 1.40508924810027 |
108 | 20.7249 | 21.3285071138194 | -0.603607113819379 |
109 | 20.3334 | 20.7249399026321 | -0.391539902632147 |
110 | 19.7658 | 20.3334258835132 | -0.567625883513212 |
111 | 18.7569 | 19.7658375240223 | -1.00893752402234 |
112 | 17.6963 | 18.7569666977939 | -1.06066669779391 |
113 | 17.7978 | 17.6963701174524 | 0.101429882547599 |
114 | 18.1771 | 17.7977932947787 | 0.379306705221325 |
115 | 18.3738 | 18.1770749251863 | 0.196725074813703 |
116 | 18.1996 | 18.3737869951031 | -0.174186995103081 |
117 | 18.8443 | 18.199611514973 | 0.644688485027046 |
118 | 20.1001 | 18.8442573816032 | 1.25584261839677 |
119 | 21.2458 | 20.1000169800606 | 1.14578301993944 |
120 | 20.8381 | 21.2457242557662 | -0.40762425576618 |
121 | 20.1967 | 20.8381269468009 | -0.641426946800923 |
122 | 19.8159 | 20.1967424027864 | -0.380842402786381 |
123 | 18.5784 | 19.815925176334 | -1.237525176334 |
124 | 19.21 | 18.578481809029 | 0.631518190970997 |
125 | 19.3419 | 19.2099582522514 | 0.131941747748641 |
126 | 19.12 | 19.341891277732 | -0.221891277731977 |
127 | 19.1563 | 19.1200146685581 | 0.0362853314418778 |
128 | 18.9783 | 19.156297601287 | -0.177997601286997 |
129 | 20.2913 | 18.9783117668805 | 1.31298823311945 |
130 | 22.5439 | 20.2912132023376 | 2.25268679766238 |
131 | 23.2821 | 22.5437510817209 | 0.738348918279069 |
132 | 22.6191 | 23.2820511899966 | -0.662951189996594 |
133 | 22.1599 | 22.6191438256887 | -0.459243825688695 |
134 | 21.2766 | 22.1599303592138 | -0.883330359213836 |
135 | 19.0846 | 21.2766583942859 | -2.19205839428592 |
136 | 18.9096 | 19.0847449103196 | -0.175144910319549 |
137 | 18.8095 | 18.9096115782978 | -0.10011157829782 |
138 | 20.1164 | 18.8095066180722 | 1.30689338192776 |
139 | 20.7762 | 20.1163136052497 | 0.659886394750291 |
140 | 20.9044 | 20.7761563769156 | 0.128243623084394 |
141 | 22.0026 | 20.9043915222038 | 1.09820847779624 |
142 | 23.6401 | 22.0025274007746 | 1.6375725992254 |
143 | 25.04 | 23.6399917450515 | 1.40000825494853 |
144 | 24.7185 | 25.0399074497084 | -0.321407449708399 |
145 | 24.1752 | 24.7185212472699 | -0.543321247269855 |
146 | 24.1382 | 24.1752359173167 | -0.0370359173166932 |
147 | 22.3949 | 24.138202448332 | -1.74330244833196 |
148 | 21.3743 | 22.3950152444276 | -1.02071524442757 |
149 | 21.4911 | 21.3743674763832 | 0.116732523616783 |
150 | 21.2187 | 21.4910922831676 | -0.272392283167573 |
151 | 21.2137 | 21.2187180070261 | -0.00501800702613409 |
152 | 21.6735 | 21.2137003317252 | 0.459799668274805 |
153 | 22.5096 | 21.6734696040411 | 0.8361303959589 |
154 | 24.3097 | 22.5095447259602 | 1.80015527403977 |
155 | 25.7989 | 24.3095809972049 | 1.48931900279513 |
156 | 25.4376 | 25.7988015456462 | -0.361201545646242 |
157 | 23.878 | 25.4376238779366 | -1.55962387793662 |
158 | 23.6966 | 23.8781031019954 | -0.181503101995421 |
159 | 23.3544 | 23.6966119986186 | -0.342211998618552 |
160 | 21.1993 | 23.3544226225954 | -2.15512262259536 |
161 | 22.0431 | 21.1994424686079 | 0.843657531392079 |
162 | 22.0203 | 22.0430442283642 | -0.0227442283641786 |
163 | 21.886 | 22.0203015035518 | -0.134301503551825 |
164 | 21.9771 | 21.8860088782643 | 0.0910911217356976 |
165 | 23.0759 | 21.9770939782427 | 1.09880602175727 |
166 | 24.9859 | 23.0758273612728 | 1.91007263872721 |
167 | 26.2614 | 24.9857737309019 | 1.2756262690981 |
168 | 26.1127 | 26.2613156722235 | -0.148615672223528 |
169 | 25.6296 | 26.1127098245305 | -0.483109824530501 |
170 | 25.2926 | 25.6296319369225 | -0.3370319369225 |
171 | 22.8146 | 25.2926222801572 | -2.47802228015723 |
172 | 22.2974 | 22.8147638145231 | -0.517363814523101 |
173 | 22.8868 | 22.2974342013497 | 0.589365798650309 |
174 | 22.4612 | 22.8867610388179 | -0.425561038817925 |
175 | 22.3165 | 22.4612281325471 | -0.144728132547147 |
176 | 22.7319 | 22.3165095675371 | 0.415390432462932 |
177 | 23.2692 | 22.7318725398007 | 0.537327460199268 |
178 | 24.9432 | 23.2691644789144 | 1.67403552108565 |
179 | 27.8272 | 24.9430893345985 | 2.88411066540149 |
180 | 27.4059 | 27.8270093402077 | -0.42110934020771 |
181 | 26.6232 | 27.4059278382589 | -0.782727838258875 |
182 | 26.8779 | 26.623251743759 | 0.254648256241047 |
183 | 25.105 | 26.8778831659776 | -1.77288316597757 |
184 | 23.601 | 25.1051171999189 | -1.50411719991894 |
185 | 23.5374 | 23.6010994326176 | -0.0636994326176001 |
186 | 23.5248 | 23.5374042109759 | -0.0126042109759332 |
187 | 22.9465 | 23.5248008332261 | -0.578300833226088 |
188 | 23.6633 | 22.9465382297108 | 0.716761770289168 |
189 | 25.5932 | 23.6632526170574 | 1.92994738294265 |
190 | 27.7683 | 25.5930724170429 | 2.17522758295706 |
191 | 29.4691 | 27.7681562023142 | 1.70094379768576 |
192 | 28.3472 | 29.4689875557741 | -1.12178755577411 |
193 | 28.3879 | 28.3472741579666 | 0.0406258420334034 |
194 | 27.9696 | 28.387897314349 | -0.418297314349029 |
195 | 26.0075 | 27.9696276523644 | -1.96212765236439 |
196 | 24.2533 | 26.0076297102969 | -1.75432971029688 |
197 | 24.4999 | 24.2534159734064 | 0.246484026593645 |
198 | 23.8988 | 24.49988370569 | -0.60108370568998 |
199 | 23.6683 | 23.8988397358173 | -0.230539735817302 |
200 | 23.9427 | 23.6683152402814 | 0.274384759718593 |
201 | 26.0155 | 23.9426818612573 | 2.07281813874271 |
202 | 28.9529 | 26.0153629722914 | 2.93753702770859 |
203 | 30.302 | 28.9527058083532 | 1.34929419164676 |
204 | 29.874 | 30.301910802261 | -0.427910802261021 |
205 | 28.2257 | 29.8740282878829 | -1.64832828788287 |
206 | 28.0811 | 28.2258089659744 | -0.144708965974424 |
207 | 26.3398 | 28.08110956627 | -1.74130956627002 |
208 | 25.4847 | 26.3399151126842 | -0.855215112684199 |
209 | 25.4823 | 25.4847565356724 | -0.00245653567240467 |
210 | 24.9697 | 25.4823001623941 | -0.512600162394108 |
211 | 25.2282 | 24.9697338864391 | 0.258466113560878 |
212 | 25.9257 | 25.2281829135906 | 0.697517086409377 |
213 | 28.7818 | 25.9256538892649 | 2.85614611073508 |
214 | 27.9552 | 28.7816111888594 | -0.826411188859442 |
215 | 33.3475 | 27.9552546315325 | 5.39224536846747 |
216 | 32.7834 | 33.3471435350438 | -0.56374353504382 |
217 | 31.6586 | 32.7834372673721 | -1.12483726737209 |
218 | 31.6613 | 31.6586743595738 | 0.00262564042623836 |
219 | 29.1839 | 31.6612998264269 | -2.47739982642689 |
220 | 28.8825 | 29.1840637733746 | -0.301563773374578 |
221 | 27.6334 | 28.8825199354647 | -1.24911993546471 |
222 | 27.7511 | 27.6334825755233 | 0.117617424476702 |
223 | 27.3792 | 27.7510922246695 | -0.371892224669466 |
224 | 27.7748 | 27.3792245846649 | 0.395575415335074 |
225 | 31.4329 | 27.7747738497113 | 3.65812615028869 |
226 | 33.2735 | 31.432658172396 | 1.84084182760403 |
227 | 35.0962 | 33.2733783075404 | 1.82282169245956 |
228 | 34.9537 | 35.0960794987968 | -0.142379498796828 |
229 | 31.8307 | 34.953709412276 | -3.12300941227602 |
230 | 30.9984 | 31.8309064526625 | -0.832506452662518 |
231 | 28.629 | 30.9984550344719 | -2.36945503447189 |
232 | 26.4379 | 28.6291566374724 | -2.19125663747239 |
233 | 25.4408 | 26.4380448573178 | -0.997244857317845 |
234 | 24.6681 | 25.4408659248272 | -0.77276592482724 |
235 | 24.0994 | 24.6681510852071 | -0.568751085207126 |
236 | 24.6043 | 24.099437598406 | 0.504862401593989 |
237 | 27.2492 | 24.6042666250807 | 2.64493337491927 |
238 | 29.5511 | 27.2490251514916 | 2.3020748485084 |
239 | 29.8522 | 29.550947816827 | 0.301252183173037 |
240 | 31.6989 | 29.8521800851336 | 1.84671991486643 |
241 | 29.6357 | 31.698777918958 | -2.06307791895796 |
242 | 30.5197 | 29.6358363838123 | 0.883863616187746 |
243 | 32.7823 | 30.5196415704621 | 2.26265842953791 |
244 | 24.9942 | 32.7821504225266 | -7.78795042252665 |
245 | 23.5187 | 24.9947148377376 | -1.47601483773759 |
246 | 24.0249 | 23.5187975748558 | 0.506102425144167 |
247 | 24.5692 | 24.0248665431065 | 0.544333456893458 |
248 | 24.402 | 24.5691640157692 | -0.167164015769199 |
249 | 26.7089 | 24.4020110507051 | 2.30688894929487 |
250 | 31.6874 | 26.7087474985814 | 4.97865250141862 |
251 | 32.8801 | 31.6870708764115 | 1.1930291235885 |
252 | 32.7906 | 32.8800211324698 | -0.0894211324698375 |
253 | 30.8785 | 32.7906059113593 | -1.91210591135934 |
254 | 30.3024 | 30.8786264035116 | -0.576226403511583 |
255 | 28.3679 | 30.3024380925766 | -1.93453809257659 |
256 | 25.6578 | 28.3680278864349 | -2.71022788643492 |
257 | 25.1598 | 25.6579791649301 | -0.498179164930143 |
258 | 24.6143 | 25.1598329331108 | -0.545532933110803 |
259 | 24.528 | 24.6143360635245 | -0.0863360635245272 |
260 | 25.2905 | 24.5280057074148 | 0.762494292585188 |
261 | 30.0016 | 25.2904495938193 | 4.71115040618073 |
262 | 34.2728 | 30.0012885601622 | 4.27151143983782 |
263 | 34.4408 | 34.2725176233583 | 0.168282376641677 |
264 | 34.1907 | 34.4407888753634 | -0.250088875363431 |
265 | 33.6636 | 34.1907165326156 | -0.527116532615615 |
266 | 33.9073 | 33.6636348460722 | 0.243665153927751 |
267 | 30.2175 | 33.9072838920371 | -3.68978389203708 |
268 | 28.5274 | 30.2177439204011 | -1.69034392040115 |
269 | 25.9505 | 28.5275117435002 | -2.57701174350021 |
270 | 26.2398 | 25.9506703584157 | 0.289129641584267 |
271 | 26.2819 | 26.239780886518 | 0.0421191134820447 |
272 | 26.7362 | 26.2818972156334 | 0.454302784366607 |
273 | 28.8395 | 26.7361699674234 | 2.10333003257661 |
274 | 31.0951 | 28.8393609552428 | 2.25573904475717 |
275 | 33.7015 | 31.0949508799461 | 2.60654912005386 |
276 | 33.8091 | 33.7013276889581 | 0.107772311041941 |
277 | 32.1126 | 33.8090928755 | -1.6964928755 |
278 | 32 | 32.112712149989 | -0.112712149988958 |
279 | 29.122 | 32.0000074510577 | -2.87800745105774 |
280 | 26.8124 | 29.1221902563273 | -2.30979025632734 |
281 | 25.4654 | 26.8125526932152 | -1.34715269321521 |
282 | 23.8331 | 25.465489056171 | -1.63238905617102 |
283 | 24.714 | 23.8332079122802 | 0.880792087719751 |
284 | 28.3288 | 24.7139417735115 | 3.6148582264885 |
285 | 29.6391 | 28.3285610327069 | 1.31053896729307 |
286 | 32.4542 | 29.6390133642511 | 2.81518663574886 |
287 | 33.5657 | 32.4540138965659 | 1.11168610343412 |
288 | 33.1856 | 33.5656265098097 | -0.380026509809724 |
289 | 33.297 | 33.1856251223978 | 0.111374877602202 |
290 | 33.51 | 33.2969926373453 | 0.213007362654729 |
291 | 31.3789 | 33.5099859187305 | -2.13108591873051 |
292 | 29.4555 | 31.3790408796145 | -1.92354087961447 |
293 | 27.2699 | 29.4556271594426 | -2.18572715944259 |
294 | 27.2586 | 27.2700444917809 | -0.0114444917808534 |
295 | 27.8591 | 27.2586007565606 | 0.600499243439426 |
296 | 29.6362 | 27.8590603028197 | 1.77713969718027 |
297 | 30.9587 | 29.6360825186947 | 1.32261748130528 |
298 | 31.8633 | 30.9586125657773 | 0.904687434222719 |
299 | 33.8188 | 31.8632401938627 | 1.95555980613726 |
300 | 33.7531 | 33.8186707238835 | -0.0655707238834751 |
301 | 33.6103 | 33.7531043346813 | -0.142804334681308 |
302 | 32.9052 | 33.6103094403606 | -0.705109440360637 |
303 | 29.5005 | 32.9052466126425 | -3.40474661264252 |
304 | 27.3634 | 29.5007250774527 | -2.13732507745274 |
305 | 27.2298 | 27.3635412920663 | -0.13374129206629 |
306 | 26.5211 | 27.2298088412304 | -0.708708841230425 |
307 | 26.5228 | 26.521146850588 | 0.00165314941202155 |
308 | 27.2991 | 26.5227998907153 | 0.776300109284684 |
309 | 29.1726 | 27.2990486811587 | 1.87355131884132 |
310 | 30.297 | 29.1724761452154 | 1.12452385478463 |
311 | 32.5287 | 30.296925661145 | 2.23177433885501 |
312 | 32.487 | 32.52855246418 | -0.041552464180036 |
313 | 32.4197 | 32.4870027469071 | -0.0673027469071457 |
314 | 30.854 | 32.4197044491801 | -1.56570444918009 |
315 | 28.6995 | 30.8541035039635 | -2.15460350396351 |
316 | 27.7881 | 28.6996424342906 | -0.911542434290567 |
317 | 26.5609 | 27.7881602593005 | -1.22726025930048 |
318 | 25.9431 | 26.5609811304465 | -0.617881130446531 |
319 | 25.5578 | 25.943140846244 | -0.385340846244013 |
320 | 27.1275 | 25.5578254737124 | 1.56967452628757 |
321 | 30.2556 | 27.1273962335868 | 3.12820376641324 |
322 | 34.0976 | 30.2553932039545 | 3.84220679604548 |
323 | 34.5614 | 34.0973460033838 | 0.464053996616173 |
324 | 34.2948 | 34.5613693228004 | -0.266569322800379 |
325 | 33.3418 | 34.2948176220879 | -0.95301762208792 |
326 | 31.8187 | 33.3418630010991 | -1.52316300109911 |
327 | 29.0818 | 31.8188006916776 | -2.73700069167764 |
328 | 27.3444 | 29.0819809347989 | -1.73758093479895 |
329 | 26.6233 | 27.3445148661957 | -0.721214866195702 |
330 | 26.1869 | 26.6233476773233 | -0.436447677323287 |
331 | 26.2953 | 26.1869288522297 | 0.108371147770264 |
332 | 28.7043 | 26.2952928359127 | 2.40900716408728 |
333 | 32.0653 | 28.7041407478565 | 3.36115925214349 |
334 | 34.5401 | 32.0650778039752 | 2.47502219602478 |
335 | 34.6636 | 34.5399363838033 | 0.123663616196659 |
336 | 34.2557 | 34.6635918249741 | -0.407891824974108 |
337 | 32.0526 | 34.2557269644891 | -2.20312696448911 |
338 | 30.6892 | 32.0527456420291 | -1.3635456420291 |
339 | 28.012 | 30.6892901398591 | -2.67729013985906 |
340 | 26.1528 | 28.0121769875158 | -1.85937698751581 |
341 | 23.2276 | 26.1529229177627 | -2.92532291776265 |
342 | 24.244 | 23.2277933842091 | 1.01620661579094 |
343 | 24.8141 | 24.2439328216685 | 0.570167178331477 |
344 | 27.8632 | 24.8140623079804 | 3.04913769201962 |
345 | 29.6233 | 27.8629984307724 | 1.76030156922756 |
346 | 32.4245 | 29.6231836318122 | 2.80131636818781 |
347 | 33.3417 | 32.4243148134871 | 0.917385186512888 |
348 | 33.0442 | 33.3416393544529 | -0.297439354452933 |
349 | 32.0526 | 33.0442196628119 | -0.991619662811907 |
350 | 30.2182 | 32.0526655529627 | -1.83446555296272 |
351 | 28.9292 | 30.2183212709434 | -1.28912127094341 |
352 | 26.8221 | 28.92928521989 | -2.10718521989004 |
353 | 26.1032 | 26.8222392996119 | -0.71903929961189 |
354 | 25.9792 | 26.1032475335032 | -0.124047533503191 |
355 | 27.1443 | 25.9792082004055 | 1.1650917995945 |
356 | 29.4993 | 27.1442229793214 | 2.35507702067857 |
357 | 31.656 | 29.4991443130144 | 2.15685568698558 |
358 | 33.3665 | 31.6558574168245 | 1.71064258317555 |
359 | 35.0521 | 33.3663869146169 | 1.68571308538314 |
360 | 34.4076 | 35.0519885626302 | -0.644388562630212 |
361 | 33.069 | 34.4076425985698 | -1.33864259856981 |
362 | 31.5816 | 33.0690884935945 | -1.48748849359453 |
363 | 30.0695 | 31.5816983333444 | -1.51219833334436 |
364 | 29.0035 | 30.0695999668368 | -1.06609996683678 |
365 | 28.6813 | 29.0035704766293 | -0.322270476629303 |
366 | 28.359 | 28.6813213043219 | -0.322321304321942 |
367 | 30.0447 | 28.359021307682 | 1.68567869231799 |
368 | 31.5073 | 30.0445885649038 | 1.46271143509617 |
369 | 34.16 | 31.5072033045917 | 2.65279669540831 |
370 | 35.57 | 34.1598246316714 | 1.41017536832862 |
371 | 36.42 | 35.5699067775914 | 0.850093222408574 |
372 | 35.12 | 36.4199438029202 | -1.2999438029202 |
373 | 33.14 | 35.1200859353347 | -1.98008593533473 |
374 | 30.29 | 33.1401308974644 | -2.8501308974644 |
375 | 28.2 | 30.2901884134931 | -2.09018841349309 |
376 | 26.5 | 28.2001381760047 | -1.70013817600467 |
377 | 25.47 | 26.5001123909687 | -1.0301123909687 |
378 | 24.96 | 25.4700680976 | -0.510068097600016 |
379 | 25.6 | 24.960033719052 | 0.639966280947984 |
380 | 27.76 | 25.5999576937738 | 2.1600423062262 |
381 | 30.13 | 27.7598572061667 | 2.37014279383325 |
382 | 32.35 | 30.1298433170619 | 2.22015668293807 |
383 | 32.8 | 32.349853232188 | 0.450146767812029 |
384 | 32.54 | 32.799970242165 | -0.259970242165018 |
385 | 29.78 | 32.5400171858427 | -2.76001718584275 |
386 | 28.79 | 29.7801824563494 | -0.990182456349437 |
387 | 26.8 | 28.7900654579534 | -1.99006545795337 |
388 | 25.41 | 26.8001315571803 | -1.39013155718032 |
389 | 24.34 | 25.4100918973731 | -1.07009189737312 |
390 | 24.39 | 24.3400707405237 | 0.049929259476297 |
391 | 25 | 24.3899966993284 | 0.610003300671625 |
392 | 26.27 | 24.9999596745354 | 1.27004032546462 |
393 | 27.88 | 26.2699160414933 | 1.61008395850671 |
394 | 29.35 | 27.879893562242 | 1.47010643775802 |
395 | 29.83 | 29.3499028157305 | 0.480097184269461 |
396 | 29.46 | 29.829968262234 | -0.369968262233993 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
397 | 29.4600244574776 | 26.6671144761202 | 32.252934438835 |
398 | 29.4600244574776 | 25.5103838348822 | 33.409665080073 |
399 | 29.4600244574776 | 24.6227756597264 | 34.2972732552288 |
400 | 29.4600244574776 | 23.8744814386624 | 35.0455674762928 |
401 | 29.4600244574776 | 23.2152181595429 | 35.7048307554123 |
402 | 29.4600244574776 | 22.6191969795759 | 36.3008519353793 |
403 | 29.4600244574776 | 22.0710979139191 | 36.8489510010362 |
404 | 29.4600244574776 | 21.560939045242 | 37.3591098697133 |
405 | 29.4600244574776 | 21.0817868603762 | 37.838262054579 |
406 | 29.4600244574776 | 20.6285930832793 | 38.2914558316759 |
407 | 29.4600244574776 | 20.1975466571877 | 38.7225022577675 |
408 | 29.4600244574776 | 19.7856867600147 | 39.1343621549406 |